🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.05.2026 01:30
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Referee: Tim Ford, USA
Colorado Rapids
Match Timeline
St. Louis City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Hamzat Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
26'
S. Jeong · Assist: S. Becher
St. Louis City
🟨
44'
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🔄
46'
S. Jeong ↔ B. McSorley
St. Louis City
🟥
50'
Rob Holding
Colorado Rapids
🟨
55'
Miguel Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🔄
57'
D. Yapi ↔ J. Travis
Colorado Rapids
🔄
57'
D. Sealy ↔ C. Ronan
Colorado Rapids
🟨
58'
Brendan McSorley
St. Louis City
🔄
63'
K. Thompson ↔ K. Rosenberry
Colorado Rapids
🟨
67'
Conrad Wallem
St. Louis City
🔄
76'
H. Ojediran ↔ A. Harris
Colorado Rapids
🔄
76'
C. Wallem ↔ E. Lowen
St. Louis City
🔄
76'
S. Becher ↔ L. MacNaughton
St. Louis City
🟨
86'
Christopher Durkin
St. Louis City
🟨
87'
Christopher Durkin
St. Louis City
🟥
87'
Christopher Durkin
St. Louis City
🟨
90+4'
Miguel Perez
St. Louis City
🔄
90'
↔ M. Perez
St. Louis City
🔄
90'
J. Orozco ↔ F. Fall
St. Louis City

Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 93%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
93%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colorado Rapids Win 93%
Draw 0%
St. Louis City Win 7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids1.94
St. Louis City1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WWDLW
28 GF / 27 GA
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WLDWL
13 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
10
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
6
4.82
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 14 matches
St. Louis City St. Louis City 14 matches
Colorado Rapids Statistic St. Louis City
5 Wins 2
1 Draws 4
8 Losses 8
28 Goals For 13
27 Goals Against 26
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
10 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 6
10 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 5
4.82 Shots On Goal 4.8
11.45 Total Shots 14.1
4.18 Corners 7
56.5% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Colorado Rapids's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring St. Louis City. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Colorado Rapids arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 13 points compared to St. Louis City in 14 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colorado Rapids expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St. Louis City in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

Colorado Rapids approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 13 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 22:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rafael Navarro (7 goals), D. Yapi (3 goals), P. Aaronson (3 goals), with creative support from Rafael Navarro (3 assists), D. Yapi (2 assists), W. Frederick (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

St. Louis City Analysis

St. Louis City sit 14 with 6 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 9:18 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Hartel (3 goals), B. McSorley (1 goals), Christopher Durkin (1 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (2 assists), D. Edelman (2 assists), L. MacNaughton (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Colorado Rapids won 3 times, St. Louis City won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Colorado Rapids's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1 / St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Colorado Rapids 6, St. Louis City 5
H2H summary: Colorado Rapids wins 3, draws 2, St. Louis City wins 3

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)