🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: T. Ford
Colorado Rapids
Match Timeline
St. Louis City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Hamzat Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
26'
S. Jeong · Assist: S. Becher
St. Louis City
🟨
44'
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🔄
46'
S. Jeong ↔ B. McSorley
St. Louis City
🟥
50'
Rob Holding
Colorado Rapids
🟨
55'
Miguel Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🔄
57'
D. Yapi ↔ J. Travis
Colorado Rapids
🔄
57'
D. Sealy ↔ C. Ronan
Colorado Rapids
🟨
58'
Brendan McSorley
St. Louis City
🔄
63'
K. Thompson ↔ K. Rosenberry
Colorado Rapids
🟨
67'
Conrad Wallem
St. Louis City
🔄
76'
H. Ojediran ↔ A. Harris
Colorado Rapids
🔄
76'
C. Wallem ↔ E. Lowen
St. Louis City
🔄
76'
S. Becher ↔ L. MacNaughton
St. Louis City
🟨
86'
Christopher Durkin
St. Louis City
🟨
87'
Christopher Durkin
St. Louis City
🟥
87'
Christopher Durkin
St. Louis City
🟨
90+4'
Miguel Perez
St. Louis City
🔄
90'
↔ M. Perez
St. Louis City
🔄
90'
J. Orozco ↔ F. Fall
St. Louis City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 93%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 30.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
93%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
30.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colorado Rapids Win 93%
Draw 0%
St. Louis City Win 7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids1.94
St. Louis City1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WWDLW
28 GF / 27 GA
St. Louis City St. Louis City
WLDWL
13 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
10
BTTS Yes
8
10
Over 2.5
6
4.82
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 14 matches
St. Louis City St. Louis City 14 matches
Colorado Rapids Statistic St. Louis City
5 Wins 2
1 Draws 4
8 Losses 8
28 Goals For 13
27 Goals Against 26
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
10 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 6
10 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 5
4.82 Shots On Goal 4.8
11.45 Total Shots 14.1
4.18 Corners 7
56.5% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Colorado Rapids's more proactive style and St. Louis City's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring St. Louis City. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Colorado Rapids arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 13 points compared to St. Louis City in 14 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colorado Rapids expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and St. Louis City in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St. Louis City having the stronger overall control.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

Colorado Rapids approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 13 points from 11 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 6 defeats with a 22:19 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rafael Navarro (7 goals), D. Yapi (3 goals), P. Aaronson (3 goals), with creative support from Rafael Navarro (3 assists), D. Yapi (2 assists), W. Frederick (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

St. Louis City Analysis

St. Louis City sit 14 with 6 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats with a 9:18 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Hartel (3 goals), B. McSorley (1 goals), Christopher Durkin (1 goals), with creative support from S. Becher (2 assists), D. Edelman (2 assists), L. MacNaughton (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Colorado Rapids won 3 times, St. Louis City won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:5 from Colorado Rapids's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1 / St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Colorado Rapids 6, St. Louis City 5
H2H summary: Colorado Rapids wins 3, draws 2, St. Louis City wins 2
Stats
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City St. Louis City
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
11 Corner Kicks 1
19 Fouls 18
2 Offsides 3
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 6
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
425 Total passes 355
359 Passes accurate 282
1.33 expected_goals 1.94
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Colorado Rapids
Formation
St. Louis City
N. Hansen
N. Hansen
K. Thompson
K. Thompson
R. Holding
R. Holding
L. Herrington
L. Herrington
M. Navarro
M. Navarro
D. Sealy
D. Sealy
P. Aaronson
P. Aaronson
H. Ojediran
H. Ojediran
G. Minoungou
G. Minoungou
D. Yapi
D. Yapi
Rafael Navarro
Rafael Navarro
R. Burki
R. Burki
J. Orozco
J. Orozco
T. Baumgartl
T. Baumgartl
D. Polvara
D. Polvara
C. Wallem
C. Wallem
C. Durkin
C. Durkin
D. Edelman
D. Edelman
T. Totland
T. Totland
S. Jeong
S. Jeong
M. Hartel
M. Hartel
S. Becher
🎯
S. Becher
Colorado Rapids 4-4-2
Starting XI
41
N. Hansen
G
33
K. Thompson
↓ 63'
D
6
R. Holding
🟥 50'
D
22
L. Herrington
D
29
M. Navarro
🟨 55'
D
7
D. Sealy
↓ 57'
M
10
P. Aaronson
M
8
H. Ojediran
↓ 76' 🟨 19'
M
93
G. Minoungou
M
77
D. Yapi
↓ 57'
F
9
Rafael Navarro
🟨 44'
F
Substitutes
51
Z. Campagnolo
G
99
J. Travis
↑ 57'
D
16
A. Harris
↑ 76'
F
20
C. Ronan
↑ 57'
M
2
K. Rosenberry
↑ 63'
D
24
N. Cobb
D
11
A. Manyoma
M
47
S. Wathuta
F
26
M. Diop
F
St. Louis City 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
R. Burki
G
99
J. Orozco
↓ 90'
D
32
T. Baumgartl
D
21
D. Polvara
D
6
C. Wallem
↓ 76' 🟨 67'
M
8
C. Durkin
🟨 86' 🟨 87' 🟥 87'
M
24
D. Edelman
M
14
T. Totland
M
77
S. Jeong
⚽ 26' ↓ 46'
F
17
M. Hartel
F
11
S. Becher
🎯 26' ↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
39
B. Lundt
G
10
E. Lowen
↑ 76'
M
5
L. MacNaughton
↑ 76'
D
20
Rafael Santos
D
28
M. Perez
↑ 90' 🟨 90+4'
M
27
F. Fall
↑ 90'
D
59
M. Joyner
M
80
B. McSorley
↑ 46' 🟨 58'
F
Last matches: Colorado Rapids
24.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas
1
2
L
17.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
3
L
23.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
2
3
L
12.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
6
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC
2
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
4
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
1
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
1
W
28.02.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
23.02.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Seattle Sounders
0
2
L
15.02.26
Fri
Colorado Rapids
Orlando City SC
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
1
4
L
23.01.26
Fri
Colorado Rapids
Nashville SC
1
3
L
Last matches: St. Louis City
23.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
3
0
W
16.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
DC United
1
1
D
14.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
2
1
W
03.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
0
2
L
26.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Jose Earthquakes
2
3
L
19.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
1
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New York City FC
1
1
D
22.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New England Revolution
3
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
0
1
L
02.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Diego
0
2
L
21.02.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Charlotte
1
1
D
11.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Austin
1
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2
2
D
24.01.26
Fri
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
H2H: Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City
10.05.26
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
0
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
1
0
W
23.02.25
H2H
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
0
0
D
08.07.24
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
4
1
W
20.06.24
H2H
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
0
3
W
02.07.23
H2H
St. Louis City
Colorado Rapids
2
0
L
23.04.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
1
1
D
Last matches: Colorado Rapids
24.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas
1
2
L
18.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
2
3
L
12.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
6
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
1
W
28.02.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
1
4
L
H2H at home: Colorado Rapids
10.05.26
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
0
1
L
25.05.25
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
1
0
W
08.07.24
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
4
1
W
23.04.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
1
1
D
Last matches: St. Louis City
16.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
DC United
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Austin
0
2
L
19.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Seattle Sounders
1
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
FC Dallas
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
St. Louis City
New York City FC
1
1
D
15.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
Los Angeles FC
0
2
L
02.03.26
Maj
St. Louis City
San Diego
0
2
L
11.02.26
Fri
St. Louis City
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
St. Louis City
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
H2H away: St. Louis City
10.05.26
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
0
1
W
25.05.25
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
1
0
L
08.07.24
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
4
1
L
23.04.23
H2H
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
1
1
D

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 2 2 34:12 22 32
W L W D D
2 15 10 2 3 34:15 19 32
W L L D D
3 14 8 2 4 26:19 7 26
D W W L W
4 15 7 4 4 30:22 8 25
W W L W W
5 15 7 3 5 24:17 7 24
W L L L D
6 13 7 3 3 17:11 6 24
L L W D D
7 14 7 1 6 19:23 -4 22
D W L W W
8 15 6 4 5 18:22 -4 22
D L L D W
9 15 5 5 5 22:22 0 20
D W L W D
10 15 4 5 6 30:27 3 17
L D W D D
11 15 5 1 9 25:24 1 16
L L W L L
12 14 4 4 6 16:20 -4 16
W D W W L
13 14 4 2 8 22:28 -6 14
L L D W L
14 15 3 5 7 19:31 -12 14
L L L D W
15 14 3 2 9 14:36 -22 11
L W W L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Colorado Rapids 6 missing
-
C. Ronan
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
T. Ku-DiPietro
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
J. Atencio
Missing Fixture Concussion
OUT
-
J. Travis
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
W. Frederick
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
R. Holding
Questionable Injury
OUT
St. Louis City 5 missing
-
T. Ostrak
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
Celio Pompeu
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Mbacke
Questionable Back Injury
OUT
-
C. Glover
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
S. Jeong
Questionable Injury
OUT