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11.10.2026 01:30
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Referee: F. Dujic
Colorado Rapids
Match Timeline
San Jose Earthquakes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
14'
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes
⚽
27'
D. Phillip · Assist: P. Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
🟨
44'
Jack Jasinski
San Jose Earthquakes
🟨
45+3'
Loïc Williams
Colorado Rapids
⚽
57'
D. Romney · Assist: R. Vieira
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
59'
D. Phillip ↔ G. Minoungou
Colorado Rapids
🔄
59'
Vitor Costa ↔ J. Ricketts
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
59'
T. Werner ↔ O. Bouda
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
73'
R. Cannon ↔ K. Rosenberry
Colorado Rapids
🔄
73'
P. Marie ↔ N. Fernandez
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
74'
J. Jasinski ↔ M. Floriani
San Jose Earthquakes
🔄
83'
↔ H. Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
🔄
83'
S. Abu Farkhi ↔ D. Yapi
Colorado Rapids
🔄
83'
J. Atencio ↔ I. Sadiq
Colorado Rapids
🔄
90+4'
B. Leroux ↔ I. Harkes
San Jose Earthquakes

Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colorado Rapids Win 60.3%
Draw 4.5%
San Jose Earthquakes Win 35.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids1.43
San Jose Earthquakes1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
L D W D L
7 GF / 10 GA
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
W D W W D
10 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.75
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
16
BTTS Yes
19
16
Over 2.5
18
4.15
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 31 matches
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 32 matches
Colorado Rapids Statistic San Jose Earthquakes
12 Wins 16
4 Draws 6
15 Losses 10
45 Goals For 56
47 Goals Against 45
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
16 BTTS Yes 19
21 Over 1.5 25
16 Over 2.5 18
12 Over 3.5 15
9 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 5
4.15 Shots On Goal 5.22
12.19 Total Shots 13.63
4.96 Corners 6.41
55.4% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights San Jose Earthquakes's more proactive style and Colorado Rapids's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colorado Rapids expected to line up in 4-3-3 and San Jose Earthquakes in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Jose Earthquakes having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors San Jose Earthquakes. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

Colorado Rapids are currently 8 in the standings with 36 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, while the 38:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Rafael Navarro (11 goals), P. Aaronson (4 goals), K. Thompson (2 goals), with creative support from P. Aaronson (5 assists), Georgi Minoungou (2 assists), Rafael Navarro (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Jose Earthquakes Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 45 points from 27 games, San Jose Earthquakes bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with goals at 49:39, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through P. Judd (13 goals), T. Werner (4 goals), Ousseni Bouda (4 goals), with creative support from Niko Tsakiris (7 assists), Beau Leroux (6 assists), P. Marie (5 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colorado Rapids won 7 times, San Jose Earthquakes won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:15 from Colorado Rapids's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.5%)
Predicted formations: Colorado Rapids 4-3-3 / San Jose Earthquakes 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Colorado Rapids 4, San Jose Earthquakes 3
H2H summary: Colorado Rapids wins 7, draws 3, San Jose Earthquakes wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 19 7 8 74:34 40 64
W W W L W
2 34 16 10 8 62:51 11 58
W D L W D
3 34 15 9 10 59:48 11 54
W L L L L
4 34 14 10 10 57:51 6 52
L W D L D
5 34 14 9 11 43:43 0 51
L L W D D
6 34 12 11 11 52:40 12 47
L L D D W
7 34 13 7 14 62:61 1 46
W W W W D
8 34 12 10 12 44:46 -2 46
W L L D D
9 34 13 6 15 53:52 1 45
W L W W W
10 34 11 11 12 56:58 -2 44
W W W D W
11 34 11 11 12 50:57 -7 44
L W D D W
12 34 12 7 15 47:50 -3 43
L L D W D
13 34 9 11 14 57:63 -6 38
L W L D D
14 34 8 10 16 42:65 -23 34
L L L W L
15 34 7 5 22 40:81 -41 26
W D L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)