🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Referee: C. Penso
Colorado Rapids
Match Timeline
San Diego
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Christopher McVey
San Diego
🟨
22'
Loïc Williams
Colorado Rapids
🟨
28'
Reggie Cannon
Colorado Rapids
🔄
70'
A. Godoy ↔ A. Alvarado Jr
San Diego
🔄
70'
K. Sargeant ↔ I. Murphy
San Diego
🟨
71'
Ian Murphy
San Diego
🔄
72'
G. Minoungou ↔ D. Yapi
Colorado Rapids
🟨
82'
Rafael Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🔄
83'
M. Ingvartsen ↔ L. Morgan
San Diego
🟨
84'
Darren Yapi
Colorado Rapids
VAR
88'
Jeppe Tverskov
San Diego
🟨
90+5'
Lewis Morgan
San Diego
🔄
90'
R. Holding ↔ N. Cobb
Colorado Rapids
🔄
90'
R. Cannon ↔ L. Herrington
Colorado Rapids
🔄
90+3'
J. Atencio ↔ D. Phillip
Colorado Rapids
🔄
90+2'
A. Mighten ↔ B. B. Zamble
San Diego
90'
L. Williams · Assist: P. Aaronson
Colorado Rapids

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.2%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colorado Rapids Win 64.2%
Draw 23.7%
San Diego Win 12.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids1.71
San Diego1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WWDLW
32 GF / 33 GA
San Diego San Diego
WLDWL
39 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
13
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
14
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.42

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 19 matches
San Diego San Diego 20 matches
Colorado Rapids Statistic San Diego
6 Wins 7
2 Draws 5
11 Losses 8
32 Goals For 39
33 Goals Against 35
1.68 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
13 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
4.4 Shots On Goal 4.42
11.07 Total Shots 11.26
4.87 Corners 4.53
56% Ball Possession 58.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colorado Rapids expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and San Diego in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward San Diego having the stronger overall control. Colorado Rapids have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring San Diego.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

Colorado Rapids approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 16 points from 15 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 25:24, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Rafael Navarro (8 goals), P. Aaronson (4 goals), D. Yapi (3 goals), with creative support from Rafael Navarro (3 assists), P. Aaronson (3 assists), D. Yapi (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

San Diego Analysis

So far, San Diego have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 17 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 30:27 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Ingvartsen (11 goals), A. Dreyer (6 goals), D. Vazquez (3 goals), with creative support from A. Dreyer (7 assists), O. Valakari (3 assists), M. Ingvartsen (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Colorado Rapids won 2 times, San Diego won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Colorado Rapids's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (87.9%)
Predicted formations: Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1 / San Diego 4-3-3
Missing players: Colorado Rapids 5, San Diego 3
H2H summary: Colorado Rapids wins 2, draws 0, San Diego wins 1
Stats
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
San Diego San Diego
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
1
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 3
17 Fouls 7
4 Offsides 0
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Goal 2
3 Shots off Goal 1
3 Blocked Shots 3
5 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
461 Total passes 428
410 Passes accurate 368
0.47 expected_goals 0.78
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Colorado Rapids
Formation
San Diego
N. Hansen
N. Hansen
R. Cannon
R. Cannon
R. Holding
R. Holding
L. Williams
L. Williams
K. Thompson
K. Thompson
H. Ojediran
H. Ojediran
P. Aaronson
🎯
P. Aaronson
J. Atencio
J. Atencio
D. Sealy
D. Sealy
Rafael Navarro
Rafael Navarro
G. Minoungou
G. Minoungou
dos Santos CJ
dos Santos CJ
O. Verhoeven
O. Verhoeven
C. McVey
C. McVey
M. Duah
M. Duah
K. Sargeant
K. Sargeant
A. Godoy
A. Godoy
J. Tverskov
J. Tverskov
A. Dreyer
A. Dreyer
O. Valakari
O. Valakari
A. Mighten
A. Mighten
M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
Colorado Rapids 4-3-3
Starting XI
41
N. Hansen
G
4
R. Cannon
↓ 90' 🟨 28'
D
6
R. Holding
↓ 90'
D
5
L. Williams
⚽ 90' 🟨 22'
D
33
K. Thompson
D
8
H. Ojediran
M
10
P. Aaronson
🎯 90'
M
12
J. Atencio
↓ 90+3'
M
7
D. Sealy
F
9
Rafael Navarro
🟨 82'
F
93
G. Minoungou
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
31
A. Beaudry
G
77
D. Yapi
↑ 72' 🟨 84'
F
15
A. Fadal
M
16
A. Harris
F
2
K. Rosenberry
D
24
N. Cobb
↑ 90'
D
18
B. Jamison
22
L. Herrington
↑ 90'
D
32
D. Phillip
↑ 90+3'
San Diego 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
dos Santos CJ
G
33
O. Verhoeven
D
97
C. McVey
🟨 19'
D
26
M. Duah
D
5
K. Sargeant
↓ 70'
20
A. Godoy
↓ 70'
M
6
J. Tverskov
M
10
A. Dreyer
M
8
O. Valakari
M
77
A. Mighten
↓ 90+2'
M
7
M. Ingvartsen
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
18
D. Ferree
G
9
L. Morgan
↑ 83' 🟨 90+5'
F
70
A. Alvarado Jr
↑ 70'
F
19
D. Vazquez
M
25
I. Pilcher
D
2
W. Kumado
D
32
I. Murphy
↑ 70' 🟨 71'
D
15
P. Soma
M
14
B. B. Zamble
↑ 90+2'
F
Last matches: Colorado Rapids
20.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles FC
1
0
W
16.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
2
0
W
02.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Austin
1
0
W
26.07.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
0
1
L
10.07.26
Fri
Colorado Rapids
FC Juarez
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas
1
2
L
17.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Real Salt Lake
1
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Minnesota United FC
1
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
0
1
L
03.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
3
L
23.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles FC
0
0
D
18.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
2
3
L
12.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
6
2
W
04.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Toronto FC
2
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
4
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
New York City FC
1
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
1
W
28.02.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
23.02.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Seattle Sounders
0
2
L
Last matches: San Diego
20.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
3
L
16.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
1
0
W
02.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
1
0
W
24.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
4
L
17.05.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
14.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Austin
5
0
W
10.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
2
2
D
26.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
4
L
12.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
22.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
2
D
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
12.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
3
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
02.03.26
Maj
San Diego
St. Louis City
2
0
W
H2H: Colorado Rapids vs San Diego
23.07.26
H2H
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
1
0
W
15.05.25
H2H
San Diego
Colorado Rapids
2
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
3
2
W
Last matches: Colorado Rapids
20.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles FC
1
0
W
16.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Sporting Kansas City
2
0
W
02.08.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Austin
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Colorado Rapids
FC Juarez
1
1
D
24.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
FC Dallas
1
2
L
10.05.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
St. Louis City
0
1
L
18.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Inter Miami
2
3
L
12.04.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Houston Dynamo
6
2
W
08.03.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
1
W
28.02.26
Maj
Colorado Rapids
Portland Timbers
2
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
Colorado Rapids
Columbus Crew
1
4
L
H2H at home: Colorado Rapids
23.07.26
H2H
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
1
0
W
13.04.25
H2H
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
3
2
W
Last matches: San Diego
20.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Portland Timbers
1
3
L
16.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Los Angeles FC
1
0
W
02.08.26
Maj
San Diego
Minnesota United FC
1
1
D
10.05.26
Maj
San Diego
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
23.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Maj
San Diego
Real Salt Lake
2
4
L
05.04.26
Maj
San Diego
San Jose Earthquakes
0
3
L
19.03.26
CON
San Diego
Toluca
0
4
L
15.03.26
Maj
San Diego
FC Dallas
3
3
D
08.03.26
Maj
San Diego
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
11.02.26
CON
San Diego
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
H2H away: San Diego
23.07.26
H2H
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
1
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Colorado Rapids
San Diego
3
2
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 2 6 29:24 5 38
W W W W W
2 19 11 4 4 40:18 22 37
L W D D L
3 21 10 4 7 35:21 14 34
L L D W W
4 20 10 3 7 38:28 10 33
L L L D L
5 20 9 6 5 38:29 9 33
W W D L D
6 20 8 6 6 28:26 2 30
D W D W W
7 20 9 1 10 30:25 5 28
W W W L W
8 19 8 4 7 33:30 3 28
L D D L L
9 20 8 3 9 37:36 1 27
W L W W D
10 21 6 7 8 25:30 -5 25
W L D D L
11 20 6 7 7 22:28 -6 25
L D D D L
12 19 7 3 9 21:26 -5 24
L L L L L
13 20 6 6 8 34:32 2 24
L W D W L
14 20 5 5 10 25:39 -14 20
W L L L W
15 20 4 3 13 19:49 -30 15
D L L L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Colorado Rapids 5 missing
-
Z. Steffen
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
M. Navarro
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
J. Travis
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
W. Frederick
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
T. Ku-DiPietro
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
San Diego 3 missing
-
P. Sisniega
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
L. Bombino
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
A. Pellegrino
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT