ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Colon Santa Fe
Match Timeline
Central Norte
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
1'
I. Lago · Assist: J. Marcioni
Colon Santa Fe
16'
I. Lago · Assist: M. Peinipil
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
20'
E. Calderon
Central Norte
🟨
29'
A. Bonansea
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
39'
M. Munoz
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
46'
A. Pucheta ↔ T. Taobas
Central Norte
🔄
46'
F. Borda ↔ E. Bodencer
Central Norte
50'
A. Bonansea · Assist: D. Sarmiento
Colon Santa Fe
61'
A. Bonansea · Assist: J. Marcioni
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
62'
D. Sarmiento ↔ F. Garcia
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
62'
M. Munoz ↔ A. Toledo
Colon Santa Fe
🟨
70'
S. Quiroga
Central Norte
🔄
71'
M. Villarreal ↔ G. Mancuso
Central Norte
🔄
71'
S. Quiroga ↔ M. Moravec
Central Norte
🔄
72'
L. Allende ↔ F. Castet
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
72'
J. Marcioni ↔ Z. Ibarra
Colon Santa Fe
🔄
80'
T. Castro ↔ F. Vedoya
Central Norte
🔄
84'
F. Lertora ↔ M. Cardozo
Colon Santa Fe

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.1%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colon Santa Fe Win 68.1%
Draw 9.1%
Central Norte Win 22.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colon Santa Fe1.09
Central Norte0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
WWDLW
23 GF / 15 GA
Central Norte Central Norte
WLDWL
13 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
0.65
0.79
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
9
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 19 matches
Central Norte Central Norte 20 matches
Colon Santa Fe Statistic Central Norte
8 Wins 4
8 Draws 8
3 Losses 8
23 Goals For 13
15 Goals Against 18
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 0.65
0.79 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
9 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colon Santa Fe's more proactive style and Central Norte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Colon Santa Fe arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 29 points compared to Central Norte in 15 on 18, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Central Norte. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Central Norte having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Colon Santa Fe Analysis

Colon Santa Fe come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 29 points from 18 matches. The record of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 21:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Central Norte Analysis

Central Norte sit 15 with 18 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 11:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Colon Santa Fe won 3 times, Central Norte won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:3 from Colon Santa Fe's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.9%)
H2H summary: Colon Santa Fe wins 3, draws 1, Central Norte wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 5 6 34:25 9 53
D W W W L
2 27 14 7 6 43:25 18 49
W D D W W
3 27 12 9 6 34:21 13 45
L W W W D
4 27 12 8 7 23:16 7 44
W W L W W
5 27 11 10 6 38:25 13 43
L W W D W
6 27 12 7 8 32:24 8 43
W L W L W
7 27 9 11 7 23:23 0 38
W D L L L
8 27 9 9 9 25:24 1 36
D L W L D
9 27 9 8 10 25:29 -4 35
W D D W L
10 26 8 10 8 20:15 5 34
D L L L L
11 27 6 12 9 27:35 -8 30
D L D W W
12 27 7 8 12 25:29 -4 29
D W W L L
13 27 6 11 10 19:27 -8 29
D D W D D
14 27 6 11 10 21:30 -9 29
L L L W L
15 27 5 13 9 15:24 -9 28
D L W D L
16 27 6 9 12 22:33 -11 27
L W D L L
17 26 5 11 10 16:24 -8 26
L L D L D
18 27 5 8 14 19:32 -13 23
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation