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Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
71.6%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colon Santa Fe Win 71.6%
Draw 5%
Almirante Brown Win 23.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colon Santa Fe0.98
Almirante Brown0.78
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe
WWDLW
39 GF / 25 GA
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WLDWL
26 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
12
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 33 matches
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 33 matches
Colon Santa Fe Statistic Almirante Brown
14 Wins 12
11 Draws 11
8 Losses 10
39 Goals For 26
25 Goals Against 22
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
12 BTTS Yes 9
21 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 3
15 Clean Sheets 18
11 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Almirante Brown. Almirante Brown arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almirante Brown having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Colon Santa Fe Analysis

Colon Santa Fe arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 52 points after 32 matches. Their overall return of 14 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 39:25 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Almirante Brown Analysis

Almirante Brown sit 6 with 46 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 10 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 25:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Colon Santa Fe won 2 times, Almirante Brown won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Colon Santa Fe's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
H2H summary: Colon Santa Fe wins 2, draws 2, Almirante Brown wins 1

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 37:28 9 62
D L W W D
2 33 17 7 9 51:34 17 58
L W L L W
3 33 16 9 8 42:29 13 57
D W D W W
4 33 14 11 8 47:30 17 53
L W D W L
5 33 14 11 8 39:25 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 13 9 11 31:27 4 48
W L W W W
7 33 12 12 9 28:28 0 48
W W W L D
8 33 12 11 10 26:22 4 47
D L L L D
9 33 9 13 11 25:24 1 40
L L W L D
10 33 10 10 13 32:34 -2 40
W D L W D
11 33 10 10 13 30:39 -9 40
W D D L L
12 33 8 13 12 25:32 -7 37
L D L W W
13 33 9 10 14 28:37 -9 37
L W W L W
14 33 7 15 11 29:39 -10 36
D W L L D
15 33 6 16 11 21:30 -9 34
D D D L D
16 33 6 16 11 18:28 -10 34
D L D D L
17 33 8 8 17 25:35 -10 32
W L W W L
18 33 6 14 13 26:39 -13 32
D L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation