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03.10.2026 00:00
Sports Illustrated Stadium
Referee: Pierre-Luc Lauziere, Canada
Colombia
Match Timeline
Paraguay
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
42'
Juan Cáceres
Paraguay
🔄
46'
A. Angulo ↔ J. Campaz
Colombia
🔄
46'
L. Suarez ↔ K. Viveros
Colombia
⚽
56'
H. A. Benitez
Paraguay
🔄
65'
J. Caceres ↔ A. Benitez
Paraguay
🔄
65'
H. A. Benitez ↔ A. Arce
Paraguay
🟨
71'
Yáser Asprilla
Colombia
🔄
71'
R. Rios ↔ M. Orozco
Colombia
🔄
71'
J. Lucumi ↔ S. Velasquez
Colombia
🟨
73'
Andrés Cubas
Paraguay
🔄
75'
H. F. Cuenca Martinez ↔ M. Galarza
Paraguay
🟨
80'
Gustavo Puerta
Colombia
🔄
83'
E. Ocampo ↔ D. Munoz
Colombia
🔄
83'
G. Puerta ↔ J. E. Solis Romero
Colombia
🔄
85'
J. Enciso ↔ R. Sosa
Paraguay
🔄
85'
M. Almiron ↔ Mauricio
Paraguay
🔄
88'
J. Arias ↔ C. Duran
Colombia
🟨
90+1'
Gustavo Gómez
Paraguay

Colombia vs Paraguay Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.1%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colombia Win 62.5%
Draw 4.6%
Paraguay Win 32.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colombia1.14
Paraguay1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colombia Colombia
WWDLW
13 GF / 8 GA
Paraguay Paraguay
WLDWL
11 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
4.5
Shots on Goal
1.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colombia Colombia 10 matches
Paraguay Paraguay 9 matches
Colombia Statistic Paraguay
5 Wins 4
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 3
13 Goals For 11
8 Goals Against 8
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
5 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 2
4.5 Shots On Goal 1.78
12.7 Total Shots 5.11
4.3 Corners 1.44
56.3% Ball Possession 20.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Colombia won 3 times, Paraguay won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Colombia's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Colombia 3-4-3 / Paraguay 4-4-2
H2H summary: Colombia wins 3, draws 2, Paraguay wins 0