CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Monumental David Arellano
Referee: M. Riquelme
Colo Colo
Match Timeline
Nublense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
L. Hernandez
Colo Colo
31'
J. Sosa · Assist: T. Alarcon
Colo Colo
36'
D. Sanhueza · Assist: M. Plaza
Nublense
🔄
46'
D. Cespedes ↔ G. Graciani
Nublense
🔄
46'
I. Jeraldino ↔ F. Rami
Nublense
46'
J. Correa · Assist: D. Ulloa
Colo Colo
🟨
48'
Leandro Hernández
Colo Colo
50'
A. Vidal
Nublense
57'
A. Vidal · Assist: J. Rojas
Colo Colo
VAR
61'
Leandro Hernández
Colo Colo
62'
J. Correa
Colo Colo
🔄
64'
J. Correa ↔ Y. Cuevas
Colo Colo
🔄
64'
M. Plaza ↔ F. Ovelar
Nublense
🔄
64'
D. Sanhueza ↔ P. Calderon
Nublense
🔄
74'
L. Hernandez ↔ E. Wiemberg
Colo Colo
🔄
74'
D. Ulloa ↔ L. Pastran
Colo Colo
76'
L. Pastran · Assist: E. Wiemberg
Colo Colo
🔄
78'
G. Avalos ↔ C. Mansilla
Nublense
🔄
79'
A. Vidal ↔ C. Aquino
Colo Colo
🔄
79'
A. Madrid ↔ J. Mendez
Colo Colo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 85.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 45.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
85.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
45.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colo Colo Win 48.7%
Draw 14.1%
Nublense Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colo Colo1.03
Nublense0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colo Colo Colo Colo
WWDLW
14 GF / 7 GA
Nublense Nublense
WLDWL
11 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1
0.58
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
2
4.73
Shots on Goal
3.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colo Colo Colo Colo 12 matches
Nublense Nublense 11 matches
Colo Colo Statistic Nublense
8 Wins 4
1 Draws 5
3 Losses 2
14 Goals For 11
7 Goals Against 9
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.58 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
3 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
4.73 Shots On Goal 3.45
14.55 Total Shots 12.36
6.36 Corners 4.55
61.5% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Colo Colo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 24 points compared to Nublense in 7 on 17, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Colo Colo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nublense. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colo Colo expected to line up in 3-1-4-2 and Nublense in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nublense having the stronger overall control.

Colo Colo Analysis

Colo Colo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 24 points after 11 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a 14:7 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on M. Romero (5 goals), J. Correa (4 goals), A. Madrid (2 goals), with creative support from C. Aquino (3 assists), M. Romero (1 assists), Y. Cuevas (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Nublense Analysis

Nublense are currently 7 in the standings with 17 points from 11 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, while the 11:9 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on I. Jeraldino (3 goals), Franco Rami (2 goals), D. Sanhueza (1 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Graciani (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Colo Colo won 4 times, Nublense won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from Colo Colo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.62 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.9%)
Predicted formations: Colo Colo 3-1-4-2 / Nublense 3-5-2
H2H summary: Colo Colo wins 4, draws 5, Nublense wins 4
Stats
Colo Colo Colo Colo
Nublense Nublense
Shots on Goal
11
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 4
6 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 1
69% Ball Possession 31%
18 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 7
9 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
602 Total passes 266
518 Passes accurate 177
3.24 expected_goals 1.11
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Colo Colo
Formation
Nublense
G. Maureira
G. Maureira
J. Sosa
J. Sosa
A. Vidal
⚽ 2
A. Vidal
J. Villagra
J. Villagra
J. Rojas
🎯
J. Rojas
T. Alarcon
🎯
T. Alarcon
V. Mendez
V. Mendez
D. Ulloa
🎯
D. Ulloa
A. Madrid
A. Madrid
J. Correa
⚽ 2
J. Correa
L. Hernandez
L. Hernandez
N. Perez
N. Perez
D. Sanhueza
D. Sanhueza
F. Campos Mosqueira
F. Campos Mosqueira
O. Bosso Torres
O. Bosso Torres
D. Cespedes
D. Cespedes
J. Campusano
J. Campusano
M. Plaza
🎯
M. Plaza
L. Reyes
L. Reyes
M. Rivera
M. Rivera
G. Avalos
G. Avalos
I. Jeraldino
I. Jeraldino
Colo Colo 3-4-3
Starting XI
25
G. Maureira
G
4
J. Sosa
⚽ 31'
D
23
A. Vidal
⚽ 50' ⚽ 57' ↓ 79'
D
2
J. Villagra
D
28
J. Rojas
🎯 57'
M
6
T. Alarcon
🎯 31'
M
5
V. Mendez
M
26
D. Ulloa
🎯 46' ↓ 74'
M
8
A. Madrid
↓ 79'
F
9
J. Correa
⚽ 46' ⚽ 62' ↓ 64'
F
24
L. Hernandez
⚽ 14' ↓ 74' 🟨 48'
F
Substitutes
12
E. Villanueva
G
22
C. Aquino
↑ 79'
M
20
J. Mendez
↑ 79'
D
21
E. Wiemberg
🎯 76' ↑ 74'
D
13
M. Fernandez
D
10
L. Pastran
⚽ 76' ↑ 74'
F
7
F. Marchant
M
30
Y. Cuevas
↑ 64'
F
50
F. Raipan
F
Nublense 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
N. Perez
G
16
D. Sanhueza
⚽ 36' ↓ 64'
D
5
F. Campos Mosqueira
D
4
O. Bosso Torres
D
18
D. Cespedes
↓ 46'
D
14
J. Campusano
D
10
M. Plaza
🎯 36' ↓ 64'
M
21
L. Reyes
M
28
M. Rivera
M
29
G. Avalos
↓ 78'
M
20
I. Jeraldino
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
25
H. Munoz
G
7
F. Ovelar
↑ 64'
F
6
P. Calderon
↑ 64'
D
8
G. Graciani
↑ 46'
F
3
C. Salomon
D
19
I. Tapia
M
22
A. Valdes
M
9
F. Rami
↑ 46'
F
35
C. Mansilla
↑ 78'
Last matches: Colo Colo
30.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
D. La Serena
4
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
U. Catolica
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Coquimbo Unido
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Universidad de Concepcion
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Palestino
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Concepción
1
0
W
16.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Huachipato
2
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
A. Italiano
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pri
Colo Colo
O'Higgins
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Colo Colo
Union Espanola
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Everton de Vina
2
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Deportes Limache
1
3
L
Last matches: Nublense
29.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Cobresal
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pri
Nublense
O'Higgins
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Nublense
D. La Serena
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pri
Nublense
Concepción
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Nublense
U. Catolica
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Nublense
A. Italiano
1
0
W
08.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Deportes Limache
1
1
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Palestino
1
1
D
H2H: Colo Colo vs Nublense
17.05.26
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
6
2
W
01.11.25
H2H
Nublense
Colo Colo
0
1
W
19.05.25
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
2
2
D
29.08.24
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
2
1
W
06.04.24
H2H
Nublense
Colo Colo
3
0
L
25.07.23
H2H
Nublense
Colo Colo
0
0
D
13.02.23
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
1
0
W
06.11.22
H2H
Nublense
Colo Colo
1
1
D
21.08.22
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
1
1
D
17.08.22
H2H
Nublense
Colo Colo
2
1
L
30.05.22
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
0
0
D
30.09.21
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
0
1
L
02.05.21
H2H
Nublense
Colo Colo
5
1
L
Last matches: Colo Colo
03.05.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Coquimbo Unido
3
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Palestino
0
1
L
16.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Huachipato
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Universidad de Chile
0
1
L
15.02.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
1
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
Colo Colo
Union Espanola
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pri
Colo Colo
Everton de Vina
2
0
W
H2H at home: Colo Colo
17.05.26
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
6
2
W
19.05.25
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
2
2
D
29.08.24
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
2
1
W
13.02.23
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
1
0
W
21.08.22
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
1
1
D
30.05.22
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
0
0
D
30.09.21
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
0
1
L
Last matches: Nublense
29.05.26
Pri
Nublense
Cobresal
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Nublense
Everton de Vina
0
0
D
06.03.26
Pri
Nublense
Concepción
2
0
W
20.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Union La Calera
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
Nublense
Palestino
1
1
D
H2H away: Nublense
17.05.26
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
6
2
L
19.05.25
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
2
2
D
29.08.24
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
2
1
L
13.02.23
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
1
0
L
21.08.22
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
1
1
D
30.05.22
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
0
0
D
30.09.21
H2H
Colo Colo
Nublense
0
1
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 11 0 3 26:12 14 33
?
2 14 7 2 5 30:19 11 23
?
3 14 7 2 5 22:18 4 23
?
4 14 6 4 4 18:13 5 22
?
5 14 7 1 6 21:20 1 22
?
6 14 6 3 5 28:20 8 21
?
7 14 6 3 5 21:20 1 21
?
8 14 5 6 3 16:17 -1 21
?
9 13 5 5 3 13:8 5 20
?
10 13 6 1 6 19:20 -1 19
?
11 14 5 4 5 12:21 -9 19
?
12 14 4 5 5 20:24 -4 17
?
13 14 4 3 7 17:20 -3 15
?
14 14 4 1 9 19:26 -7 13
?
15 14 3 2 9 11:21 -10 11
?
16 14 3 2 9 12:26 -14 11
?