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13.09.2026 20:30
Monumental David Arellano
Referee: Diego Flores Seguel
Colo Colo
Match Timeline
Concepción
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
N. Rodriguez · Assist: J. Henriquez
Concepción
🟨
40'
Cristian Riquelme
Concepción
🔄
46'
D. Ulloa ↔ F. Marchant
Colo Colo
🔄
62'
A. Madrid ↔ T. Alarcon
Colo Colo
🔄
62'
L. Pastran ↔ M. Bolados
Colo Colo
🔄
66'
C. Riquelme ↔ M. Davila Carvajal
Concepción
🔄
66'
J. Henriquez ↔ J. Montecinos
Concepción
🟨
67'
Norman Rodríguez
Concepción
🟨
68'
Mario Sandoval
Concepción
🔄
76'
J. Larrivey ↔ C. Escobar
Concepción
🔄
76'
E. Espinoza ↔ M. Cavalleri
Concepción
⚽
77'
F. Martinez
Colo Colo
🔄
78'
J. Rojas ↔ F. Raipan
Colo Colo

Colo Colo vs Concepción Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colo Colo Win 57.4%
Draw 10.6%
Concepción Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colo Colo1.72
Concepción1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colo Colo Colo Colo
WWDLW
63 GF / 29 GA
Concepción Concepción
WLDWL
35 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
2.1
Average Goals Scored
1.21
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
15
BTTS Yes
11
19
Over 2.5
10
5.68
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colo Colo Colo Colo 30 matches
Concepción Concepción 29 matches
Colo Colo Statistic Concepción
22 Wins 13
4 Draws 4
4 Losses 12
63 Goals For 35
29 Goals Against 33
2.1 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
15 BTTS Yes 11
21 Over 1.5 22
19 Over 2.5 10
11 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 10
4 Failed To Score 8
5.68 Shots On Goal 3.82
15.41 Total Shots 13.45
6 Corners 4.5
62.2% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Colo Colo's more proactive style and Concepción's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Concepción. Colo Colo arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 52 points compared to Concepción in 8 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Colo Colo come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colo Colo expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Concepción in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Concepción having the stronger overall control.

Colo Colo Analysis

Colo Colo approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 52 points after 21 outings. The return of 17 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 47:21, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Javier Correa (10 goals), Leandro Hernández (7 goals), Maximiliano Romero (6 goals), with creative support from Álvaro Madrid (4 assists), Leandro Hernández (3 assists), Tomás Alarcón (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Concepción Analysis

So far, Concepción have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 30 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, while the 24:25 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Larrivey (7 goals), C. Waterman (4 goals), J. Henríquez (2 goals), with creative support from Y. Oyanedel (2 assists), Agustín Urzi (2 assists), J. Larrivey (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Colo Colo won 3 times, Concepción won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:2 from Colo Colo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)
Predicted formations: Colo Colo 3-4-2-1 / Concepción 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Colo Colo wins 3, draws 0, Concepción wins 0

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 3 4 50:27 23 54
L D D W W
2 24 13 6 5 41:19 22 45
W W W L L
3 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
4 24 11 6 7 40:27 13 39
W W L W W
5 24 11 4 9 38:35 3 37
D L W L W
6 24 10 4 10 45:37 8 34
D L W W L
7 23 9 5 9 36:33 3 32
W L L W L
8 24 9 5 10 26:27 -1 32
D D L W D
9 24 8 8 8 28:37 -9 32
L L L L L
10 23 9 4 10 33:39 -6 31
W W D L L
11 24 7 9 8 36:41 -5 30
L L W W D
12 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
13 24 8 3 13 28:38 -10 27
L L W L L
14 24 7 4 13 35:45 -10 25
D W L W D
15 24 6 5 13 18:40 -22 23
D L L L W
16 24 4 6 14 20:41 -21 18
D W L L D