ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
13.06.2026 18:00
Estadio de Colegiales
Colegiales
Match Timeline
San Martin Tucuman
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
N. Toloza
Colegiales
🟨
23'
L. Gonzalez
Colegiales
🟨
29'
G. Rodriguez
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
33'
V. Salazar
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
46'
E. Trinidad ↔ F. Montiel
Colegiales
🔄
46'
V. Salazar ↔ G. Monroy
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
53'
F. Montiel
Colegiales
🔄
60'
N. Castro ↔ M. Garcia
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
60'
G. Rodriguez ↔ D. Diellos
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
61'
L. Juarez ↔ E. Ocampo
Colegiales
🔄
61'
L. Gonzalez ↔ R. E. Monserrat
Colegiales
66'
F. Rivero · Assist: E. Ocampo
Colegiales
🟨
67'
G. Monroy
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
68'
J. Juarez
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
72'
S. Brinone ↔ A. Graneros
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
75'
F. Rivero
Colegiales
🔄
79'
L. Castillo ↔ A. Chiavetto
Colegiales
81'
R. E. Monserrat · Assist: N. Toloza
Colegiales
🔄
82'
J. Juarez ↔ A. Paz
San Martin Tucuman
🟨
86'
L. Diarte
San Martin Tucuman
🔄
89'
N. Toloza ↔ M. Albertengo
Colegiales

Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.1%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colegiales Win 60.1%
Draw 5%
San Martin Tucuman Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colegiales0.74
San Martin Tucuman0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colegiales Colegiales
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman
WLDWL
15 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colegiales Colegiales 16 matches
San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 18 matches
Colegiales Statistic San Martin Tucuman
4 Wins 5
5 Draws 9
7 Losses 4
12 Goals For 15
16 Goals Against 13
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
5 BTTS Yes 6
9 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
7 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around San Martin Tucuman's more proactive style and Colegiales's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward San Martin Tucuman. San Martin Tucuman carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 21 points while Colegiales sit 15 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward San Martin Tucuman having the stronger overall control.

Colegiales Analysis

With 17 points from 16 games and a place of 15, Colegiales still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 12:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

San Martin Tucuman Analysis

San Martin Tucuman are currently 7 in the standings with 21 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 14:12 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Colegiales won 2 times, San Martin Tucuman won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Colegiales's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Colegiales 4-1-4-1 / San Martin Tucuman -
H2H summary: Colegiales wins 2, draws 0, San Martin Tucuman wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 31:15 16 52
D W L W W
2 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
3 29 13 11 5 33:23 10 50
D W W W W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 28 11 8 9 31:27 4 41
L W W W W
8 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
9 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
10 29 9 12 8 30:26 4 39
W L D W D
11 29 10 9 10 21:24 -3 39
L L W D D
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 29 9 8 12 25:33 -8 35
D L W D L
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation