ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio de Colegiales
Colegiales
Match Timeline
Patronato
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
W. Rueda · Assist: D. Diaz
Patronato
🔄
46'
E. Ocampo ↔ M. Albertengo
Colegiales
49'
F. Rivero
Colegiales
🔄
60'
B. Cortes ↔ J. Salas
Patronato
64'
M. Albertengo · Assist: E. Di Fulvio
Colegiales
70'
W. Rueda · Assist: J. Salas
Patronato
🔄
71'
L. Gonzalez ↔ F. Montiel
Colegiales
🔄
71'
R. E. Monserrat ↔ N. Toloza
Colegiales
🟨
79'
F. Rivero
Colegiales
🔄
79'
A. Miro ↔ V. Villarreal
Patronato
🔄
79'
D. Diaz ↔ R. Reynaga
Patronato
🔄
84'
F. Zicarelli ↔ L. Juarez
Colegiales
🔄
84'
E. Trinidad ↔ M. Mamani
Colegiales
🟨
88'
S. Piccioni
Patronato
🔄
88'
V. L. Pereyra ↔ F. Heredia
Patronato
🔄
89'
N. Genez ↔ S. Piccioni
Patronato
🟨
90+6'
L. Ortiz
Colegiales

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.7%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colegiales Win 74.7%
Draw 5.6%
Patronato Win 19.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colegiales0.95
Patronato0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colegiales Colegiales
WWDLW
21 GF / 21 GA
Patronato Patronato
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
0.73
0.95
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
8
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colegiales Colegiales 22 matches
Patronato Patronato 22 matches
Colegiales Statistic Patronato
8 Wins 4
5 Draws 11
9 Losses 7
21 Goals For 16
21 Goals Against 21
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 0.73
0.95 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
8 BTTS Yes 8
13 Over 1.5 13
7 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 8
9 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Patronato. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patronato having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Colegiales Analysis

Colegiales sit 12 with 26 points after 21 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, while the 19:20 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Patronato Analysis

Patronato approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 22 points from 21 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 13:18 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Colegiales won 1 times, Patronato won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:4 from Colegiales's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
H2H summary: Colegiales wins 1, draws 2, Patronato wins 1

Lineups

Colegiales
Formation
Patronato
E. Di Fulvio
🎯
E. Di Fulvio
F. Malagueno
F. Malagueno
F. Rivero
F. Rivero
L. Ortiz
L. Ortiz
F. Hanashiro
F. Hanashiro
F. Marin
F. Marin
E. Ocampo
E. Ocampo
L. Gonzalez
L. Gonzalez
F. Zicarelli
F. Zicarelli
E. Trinidad
E. Trinidad
R. E. Monserrat
R. E. Monserrat
A. Sosa
A. Sosa
W. Rueda
⚽ 2
W. Rueda
G. Diaz
G. Diaz
F. Meritello
F. Meritello
N. Genez
N. Genez
A. Picco
A. Picco
A. Miro
A. Miro
F. Soldano
F. Soldano
B. Cortes
B. Cortes
V. L. Pereyra
V. L. Pereyra
D. Diaz
🎯
D. Diaz
Colegiales 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
E. Di Fulvio
🎯 64'
4
F. Malagueno
2
F. Rivero
⚽ 49' 🟨 79'
6
L. Ortiz
🟨 90+6'
3
F. Hanashiro
5
F. Marin
8
E. Ocampo
↓ 46'
7
L. Gonzalez
↓ 71'
10
F. Zicarelli
↓ 84'
11
E. Trinidad
↓ 84'
9
R. E. Monserrat
↓ 71'
Substitutes
12
A. Alcorcel
13
E. Aguirre
14
M. Ramirez
15
F. Montiel
↑ 71'
16
A. Acevedo
17
L. Juarez
↑ 84'
18
M. Mamani
↑ 84'
19
M. Albertengo
⚽ 64' ↑ 46'
20
N. Toloza
↑ 71'
Patronato 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
A. Sosa
4
W. Rueda
⚽ 42' ⚽ 70'
2
G. Diaz
6
F. Meritello
3
N. Genez
↓ 89'
5
A. Picco
8
A. Miro
↓ 79'
7
F. Soldano
10
B. Cortes
↓ 60'
11
V. L. Pereyra
↓ 88'
9
D. Diaz
🎯 42' ↓ 79'
Substitutes
12
F. Rivasseau
13
F. N. Diaz
14
S. Piccioni
↑ 89' 🟨 88'
15
F. Heredia
↑ 88'
16
J. Salas
🎯 70' ↑ 60'
17
V. Villarreal
↑ 79'
18
G. Salega
19
R. Reynaga
↑ 79'
20
J. Barolin
Last matches: Colegiales
22.08.26
Pri
Colegiales
Almagro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Miguel
0
2
L
01.08.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
1
W
26.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Quilmes
1
0
W
14.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atlanta
0
1
L
04.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Quilmes
3
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Agropecuario
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Club Atlético Güemes
4
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Chacarita Juniors
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin S.J.
2
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Nueva Chicago
0
0
D
19.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Temperley
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Maipu
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Almagro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Miguel
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
Patronato
0
2
L
Last matches: Patronato
26.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Atlanta
2
0
W
22.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Jujuy
3
3
D
15.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
01.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Quilmes
3
3
D
26.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Midland
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
05.07.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
21.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Midland
1
1
D
14.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
07.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Agropecuario
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Tristan Suarez
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Club Atlético Güemes
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Temperley
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Deportivo Maipu
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Almagro
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
2
L
H2H: Colegiales vs Patronato
09.08.26
H2H
Colegiales
Patronato
2
2
D
22.03.26
H2H
Patronato
Colegiales
2
0
L
24.08.25
H2H
Colegiales
Patronato
0
0
D
20.04.25
H2H
Patronato
Colegiales
0
1
W
Last matches: Colegiales
01.08.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Jujuy
2
1
W
04.07.26
Pri
Colegiales
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
2
L
20.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
Quilmes
3
1
W
13.06.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Agropecuario
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
Club Atlético Güemes
4
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Martin S.J.
2
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Temperley
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Colegiales
Almagro
1
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Colegiales
San Miguel
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Colegiales
Atlanta
1
0
W
16.11.24
Pri
Colegiales
Los Andes
2
0
W
03.11.24
Pri
Colegiales
Sportivo Italiano
0
0
D
20.10.24
Pri
Colegiales
Liniers
2
0
W
05.10.24
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Armenio
1
0
W
21.09.24
Pri
Colegiales
Fénix
2
0
W
10.09.24
Pri
Colegiales
Los Andes
2
0
W
24.08.24
Pri
Colegiales
Deportivo Laferrere
3
0
W
11.08.24
Pri
Colegiales
Sacachispas
0
1
L
27.07.24
Pri
Colegiales
Acassuso
0
0
D
H2H at home: Colegiales
09.08.26
H2H
Colegiales
Patronato
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
Colegiales
Patronato
0
0
D
Last matches: Patronato
15.08.26
Pri
Patronato
Colon Santa Fe
0
3
L
26.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Midland
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Patronato
Agropecuario
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Patronato
Club Atlético Güemes
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin S.J.
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Temperley
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Almagro
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Patronato
Gimnasia Jujuy
0
2
L
14.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Quilmes
0
3
L
03.03.26
Pri
Patronato
Atlanta
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
Patronato
San Martin Tucuman
0
0
D
H2H away: Patronato
09.08.26
H2H
Colegiales
Patronato
2
2
D
24.08.25
H2H
Colegiales
Patronato
0
0
D

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 9 3 28:13 15 48
W W W W W
2 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
3 26 11 10 5 29:22 7 43
W W L L W
4 25 13 3 9 31:25 6 42
W L W L L
5 25 10 8 7 27:19 8 38
L D W D W
6 26 11 5 10 34:27 7 38
W W L W L
7 26 10 8 8 27:25 2 38
L D W W W
8 26 9 9 8 18:19 -1 36
D D W D W
9 26 8 11 7 26:23 3 35
W D D L L
10 26 8 8 10 27:22 5 32
L W D W D
11 24 8 8 8 26:24 2 32
W D D D L
12 25 8 7 10 23:25 -2 31
D L D W W
13 26 8 7 11 21:29 -8 31
D L D L D
14 25 7 8 10 20:24 -4 29
L L L W L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 26 7 6 13 19:28 -9 27
L D L L W
17 25 4 13 8 21:29 -8 25
D L D D L
18 26 5 7 14 21:43 -22 22
D D D L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation