ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
04.07.2026 18:00
Estadio de Colegiales
Colegiales
Match Timeline
Gimnasia Y Tiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
N. Toloza
Colegiales
13'
J. Galetto · Assist: J. Rocca
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
31'
J. Aguirre
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
39'
F. Sivetti
Gimnasia Y Tiro
42'
L. Gonzalez · Assist: L. Castillo
Colegiales
🔄
46'
L. Gonzalez ↔ R. E. Monserrat
Colegiales
🟨
47'
T. Banega
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
59'
J. Rocca ↔ L. Montoya
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
60'
N. Toloza ↔ M. Mamani
Colegiales
🔄
60'
E. Ocampo ↔ F. Zicarelli
Colegiales
71'
F. Sivetti
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
72'
M. Ramirez ↔ F. Montiel
Colegiales
🔄
83'
L. Castillo ↔ M. Albertengo
Colegiales
🔄
85'
J. Aguirre ↔ J. C. Oviedo
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
85'
N. Contin ↔ J. Capano
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
89'
T. Banega ↔ W. Montoya
Gimnasia Y Tiro

Colegiales vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.2%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colegiales Win 84.2%
Draw 5.1%
Gimnasia Y Tiro Win 10.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colegiales0.98
Gimnasia Y Tiro0.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colegiales Colegiales
WWDLW
17 GF / 17 GA
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
0.8
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
6
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colegiales Colegiales 18 matches
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 20 matches
Colegiales Statistic Gimnasia Y Tiro
6 Wins 5
5 Draws 7
7 Losses 8
17 Goals For 16
17 Goals Against 21
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
6 BTTS Yes 9
11 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gimnasia Y Tiro having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gimnasia Y Tiro. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Colegiales Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Colegiales have collected 23 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 17:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis

Gimnasia Y Tiro sit 14 with 21 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 16:19 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Colegiales won 1 times, Gimnasia Y Tiro won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Colegiales's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Colegiales 4-1-4-1 / Gimnasia Y Tiro -
H2H summary: Colegiales wins 1, draws 0, Gimnasia Y Tiro wins 3

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 14 10 4 31:15 16 52
D W L W W
2 29 15 7 7 44:35 9 52
W W D D W
3 29 13 11 5 33:23 10 50
D W W W W
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 29 12 9 8 31:26 5 45
D W W L D
6 29 12 8 9 32:25 7 44
W L L W L
7 28 11 8 9 31:27 4 41
L W W W W
8 29 11 7 11 36:30 6 40
D D L W W
9 29 11 7 11 29:28 1 40
W L W W D
10 29 9 12 8 30:26 4 39
W L D W D
11 29 10 9 10 21:24 -3 39
L L W D D
12 29 9 8 12 28:24 4 35
W L L L W
13 29 9 8 12 25:33 -8 35
D L W D L
14 29 8 9 12 25:34 -9 33
L W D L W
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 29 7 6 16 19:31 -12 27
L L L L D
18 29 5 8 16 23:49 -26 23
L L D D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation