Colchester
Match Timeline
Notts County
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
82.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.5%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Colchester Win 44.6%
Draw 17.8%
Notts County Win 37.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colchester1.27
Notts County1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colchester
WWDLW
60 GF / 50 GA
Notts County
WLDWL
74 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.64
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
23
BTTS Yes
26
16
Over 2.5
27
4.14
Shots on Goal
4.31
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Colchester
45 matches
Notts County
45 matches
| Colchester | Statistic | Notts County |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 23 |
| 12 | Draws | 8 |
| 16 | Losses | 14 |
| 60 | Goals For | 74 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 27 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 14 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 12 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.14 | Shots On Goal | 4.31 |
| 12.52 | Total Shots | 11.2 |
| 4.7 | Corners | 4.84 |
| 54.4% | Ball Possession | 55.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colchester won 4 times, Notts County won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Colchester's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)
Predicted formations: Colchester 4-2-3-1 / Notts County -
Missing players: Colchester 1, Notts County 0
H2H summary: Colchester wins 4, draws 3, Notts County wins 8
Stats
Colchester
Notts County
Shots on Goal
0
0
Shots on Goal
11
11
Shots off Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
4
4
Blocked Shots
3
3
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Colchester
Formation
Notts County
M. Macey
R. Hunt
J. Tucker
F. Terry
K. Vincent-Young
F. Barbrook
A. Read
S. Tovide
J. Payne
O. Edwards
W. Goodwin
J. Belshaw
L. Macari
R. McDonald
J. Bedeau
N. Tsaroulla
T. Iorpenda
O. Norburn
J. Jones
J. Luker
C. Grant
A. Jatta
Colchester
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Macey
G
2
R. Hunt
D
↓ 57'
5
J. Tucker
D
40
F. Terry
D
30
K. Vincent-Young
D
↓ 72'
🟨 45+1'
25
F. Barbrook
M
↓ 66'
🟨 52'
16
A. Read
M
🟨 70'
9
S. Tovide
M
↓ 58'
10
J. Payne
M
21
O. Edwards
M
↓ 46'
19
W. Goodwin
F
Substitutes
46
H. Chamberlain
15
D. Gape
M
44
S. Kuffour
D
↑ 57'
14
K. Lisbie
↑ 46'
17
J. Williams
F
↑ 72'
27
R. Akachukwu
M
↑ 66'
7
H. Anderson
M
↑ 58'
Notts County
3-4-3
(estimated)
Starting XI
31
J. Belshaw
G
28
L. Macari
D
↓ 38'
3
R. McDonald
D
4
J. Bedeau
D
25
N. Tsaroulla
M
⚽ 47'
🟨 76'
14
T. Iorpenda
M
🎯 47'
8
O. Norburn
M
↓ 82'
10
J. Jones
M
16
J. Luker
F
↓ 68'
11
C. Grant
F
🟨 61'
29
A. Jatta
F
Substitutes
21
H. Griffiths
G
19
M. Dennis
F
39
L. Ndlovu
F
47
K. Bennetts
M
↑ 82'
20
S. Robertson
M
↑ 68'
🟨 75'
12
L. Ness
D
↑ 38'
26
T. Hall
M
Last matches: Colchester
11.07.26
Fri
Colchester
Norwich
0
0
D
02.05.26
Lea
Colchester
Cheltenham
4
1
W
18.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Harrogate Town
0
1
L
14.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Accrington ST
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Swindon Town
3
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Tranmere
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Oldham
1
3
L
28.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Walsall
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Bromley
0
1
L
18.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons
0
1
L
13.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Crawley Town
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Newport County
2
1
W
03.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Chesterfield
0
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Salford City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Barnet
4
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Cambridge United
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Barrow
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Crewe
0
1
L
27.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Grimsby
0
1
L
Last matches: Notts County
11.07.26
Fri
Notts County
Viborg
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Notts County
Alfreton Town
5
0
W
25.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Salford City
3
0
W
15.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Barnet
1
2
L
11.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Cambridge United
0
4
L
06.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Newport County
3
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Salford City
1
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Harrogate Town
2
0
W
24.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Oldham
0
3
L
21.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Cheltenham
5
2
W
17.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Accrington ST
4
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
2
3
L
07.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Walsall
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Grimsby
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Tranmere
5
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Shrewsbury
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Bromley
1
1
D
H2H: Colchester vs Notts County
25.04.26
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
0
1
L
22.11.25
H2H
Notts County
Colchester
1
3
W
05.04.25
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
1
0
W
18.02.25
H2H
Notts County
Colchester
1
1
D
20.04.24
H2H
Notts County
Colchester
1
0
L
30.09.23
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
5
4
W
05.01.19
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
3
3
D
04.08.18
H2H
Notts County
Colchester
0
0
D
14.04.18
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
1
3
L
25.11.17
H2H
Notts County
Colchester
2
1
L
01.04.17
H2H
Notts County
Colchester
3
1
L
17.12.16
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
2
1
W
03.03.15
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
0
1
L
19.08.14
H2H
Notts County
Colchester
2
1
L
29.03.14
H2H
Notts County
Colchester
2
0
L
Last matches: Colchester
14.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Accrington ST
2
1
W
10.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Swindon Town
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Colchester
Oldham
1
3
L
28.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Walsall
1
1
D
13.03.26
Lea
Colchester
Crawley Town
0
0
D
28.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Salford City
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Barnet
4
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Colchester
Shrewsbury
2
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Grimsby
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Fleetwood Town
2
1
W
01.01.26
Lea
Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons
1
0
W
20.12.25
Lea
Colchester
Newport County
4
1
W
06.12.25
Lea
Colchester
Gillingham
0
0
D
29.11.25
Lea
Colchester
Cheltenham
2
0
W
08.11.25
Lea
Colchester
Bromley
0
2
L
01.11.25
FA
Colchester
Milton Keynes Dons
2
3
L
18.10.25
Lea
Colchester
Harrogate Town
3
1
W
04.10.25
Lea
Colchester
Chesterfield
6
2
W
20.09.25
Lea
Colchester
Bristol Rovers
1
1
D
06.09.25
Lea
Colchester
Crewe
1
1
D
H2H at home: Colchester
25.04.26
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
0
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
1
0
W
30.09.23
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
5
4
W
05.01.19
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
3
3
D
14.04.18
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
1
3
L
17.12.16
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
2
1
W
03.03.15
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
0
1
L
Last matches: Notts County
11.07.26
Fri
Notts County
Viborg
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Notts County
Alfreton Town
5
0
W
10.05.26
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Cambridge United
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lea
Notts County
Salford City
1
2
L
28.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Harrogate Town
2
0
W
24.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Oldham
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Accrington ST
4
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Notts County
Walsall
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Shrewsbury
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Notts County
Bromley
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lea
Notts County
Fleetwood Town
2
1
W
17.01.26
Lea
Notts County
Crawley Town
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Notts County
Milton Keynes Dons
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Notts County
Chesterfield
0
2
L
13.12.25
Lea
Notts County
Grimsby
2
0
W
29.11.25
Lea
Notts County
Bristol Rovers
1
0
W
10.11.25
Lea
Notts County
Cheltenham
2
1
W
01.11.25
FA
Notts County
Brackley Town
2
2
D
21.10.25
Lea
Notts County
Swindon Town
2
2
D
H2H away: Notts County
25.04.26
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
0
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
1
0
L
30.09.23
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
5
4
L
05.01.19
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
3
3
D
14.04.18
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
1
3
W
17.12.16
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
2
1
L
03.03.15
H2H
Colchester
Notts County
0
1
W
Standings
League Two
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Notts County
Away
|
46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Colchester
Home
|
46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Missing Players
Colchester
1 missing
-
Ben Perry
OUT
Missing Fixture
Jumpers knee
Notts County
0 missing
No missing players data