ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

25.04.2026 14:00

Colchester

0 - 1

Notts County

Colchester Community Stadium

Referee: C. Breakspear

Colchester

Match Timeline

Notts County

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Colchester vs Notts County Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 82.2%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 77.6%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 63.5%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	82.2%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	77.6%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	63.5%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Colchester Win 44.6%

Draw 17.8%

Notts County Win 37.6%

Expected Goals (xG)

Colchester1.27

Notts County1.43

Recent Form (Last 5)

Colchester

WWDLW

60 GF / 50 GA

Notts County

WLDWL

74 GF / 53 GA

Key Stats

1.33

Average Goals Scored

1.64

1.11

Average Goals Conceded

1.18

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

4.14

Shots on Goal

4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colchester 45 matches

Notts County 45 matches

Colchester	Statistic	Notts County
17	Wins	23
12	Draws	8
16	Losses	14
60	Goals For	74
50	Goals Against	53
1.33	Avg Goals Scored	1.64
1.11	Avg Goals Conceded	1.18
23	BTTS Yes	26
31	Over 1.5	35
16	Over 2.5	27
9	Over 3.5	14
11	Clean Sheets	12
14	Failed To Score	8
4.14	Shots On Goal	4.31
12.52	Total Shots	11.2
4.7	Corners	4.84
54.4%	Ball Possession	55.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colchester won 4 times, Notts County won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:25 from Colchester's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (82.2%)

Predicted formations: Colchester 4-2-3-1 / Notts County 5-3-2

Missing players: Colchester 1, Notts County 0

H2H summary: Colchester wins 4, draws 3, Notts County wins 8

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Bromley	46	24	15	7	71:46	25	87	W L D L W
2	Milton Keynes Dons	46	24	14	8	86:45	41	86	D W W W D
3	Cambridge United	46	22	16	8	66:33	33	82	D W L D W
4	Salford City	46	25	6	15	61:51	10	81	L D W D W
5	Notts County Away	46	24	8	14	74:52	22	80	W D W D W
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	15	79	D L W W D
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74:50	24	78	D L D W W
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76	W W W W W
9	Swindon Town	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75	L L D L W
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68	W L L L L
11	Crewe	46	19	10	17	64:58	6	67	D L L L W
12	Colchester Home	46	18	12	16	62:49	13	66	W L L W W
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65	L L W L L
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62	D W W W W
15	Fleetwood Town	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61	D D D W L
16	Accrington ST	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53	L D D L L
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53	W L L L D
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52	L L L W W
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49	L D D W L
20	Newport County	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43	W W L W L
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41	D L W L D
22	Crawley Town	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40	D D D L L
23	Harrogate Town	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39	L W W L L
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36	L L L W L

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