Login Register
17.10.2026 14:00
Colchester Community Stadium
Referee: B. Atkinson
Colchester
Match Timeline
Exeter City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Jay Williams
Colchester
🟨
39'
Jack Fitzwater
Exeter City
🔄
62'
Oscar thorn ↔ ronnie harvey
Colchester
🔄
62'
George Birch ↔ Ethan Sutherland
Exeter City
🔄
62'
Anthony Scully ↔ Reece Cole
Exeter City
🔄
62'
Taylor Perry ↔ Sonny Cox
Exeter City
🟨
66'
Charlie Cummins
Exeter City
🔄
74'
Robert Donald Hunt ↔ Kane Vincent-Young
Colchester
🔄
74'
Bradley ihionvein ↔ Kien Connelly
Colchester
🟨
79'
Beryly Lubala
Colchester
🔄
80'
Josh Gordon ↔ Vincent Harper
Exeter City
🔄
90+3'
Beryly Lubala ↔ Leon Chiwome
Colchester

Colchester vs Exeter City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colchester Win 72.8%
Draw 18.7%
Exeter City Win 8.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colchester1.15
Exeter City0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colchester Colchester
L D D D L
5 GF / 8 GA
Exeter City Exeter City
W W L D L
2 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.71
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
8
BTTS Yes
4
8
Over 2.5
2
4.11
Shots on Goal
3.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colchester Colchester 16 matches
Exeter City Exeter City 14 matches
Colchester Statistic Exeter City
4 Wins 4
6 Draws 4
6 Losses 6
23 Goals For 10
21 Goals Against 10
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.71
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
8 BTTS Yes 4
12 Over 1.5 6
8 Over 2.5 2
7 Over 3.5 0
4 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 6
4.11 Shots On Goal 3.3
12.56 Total Shots 10.5
4.11 Corners 4.6
54.3% Ball Possession 45.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Exeter City. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Colchester Analysis

With 10 points from 8 games and a place of 19, Colchester still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats with a 10:12 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on M. Sesay (3 goals), H. Anderson (2 goals), K. Kouassi (1 goals), with creative support from O. Thorn (3 assists), M. Sesay (1 assists), E. Iandolo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Exeter City Analysis

Exeter City approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 9 points from 9 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 5:6 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Fitzwater (2 goals), A. Scully (1 goals), with creative support from L. Woodhouse (1 assists), George Birch (1 assists), A. Oluwabori (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colchester won 3 times, Exeter City won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:29 from Colchester's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Colchester 4-2-3-1 / Exeter City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Colchester wins 3, draws 4, Exeter City wins 8

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 25:15 10 31
W W W W W
2 13 7 5 1 28:18 10 26
D W D L W
3 13 5 7 1 21:12 9 22
W L W D D
4 14 5 7 2 17:17 0 22
D L L W W
5 14 6 3 5 23:25 -2 21
L W W L L
6 14 5 5 4 24:18 6 20
W W D L L
7 14 5 5 4 24:21 3 20
L L W D D
8 14 5 5 4 20:19 1 20
W L D L W
9 14 4 7 3 23:17 6 19
D W D W D
10 14 5 4 5 24:21 3 19
L W D L D
11 14 4 7 3 19:17 2 19
W D W L D
12 14 5 4 5 11:9 2 19
L W W D W
13 14 5 4 5 15:17 -2 19
W D W D L
14 14 4 6 4 20:17 3 18
W L D D W
15 14 5 3 6 17:22 -5 18
L D W W L
16 14 4 5 5 18:18 0 17
W L L W D
17 14 5 1 8 17:23 -6 16
L D L L L
18 14 4 3 7 15:19 -4 15
W L D L W
19 12 4 3 5 10:14 -4 15
W L D W W
20 14 4 3 7 17:26 -9 15
L L D L D
21 13 3 5 5 9:10 -1 14
L D W L W
22 14 2 6 6 18:25 -7 12
L D D L L
23 13 2 6 5 12:19 -7 12
L L D D L
24 12 2 3 7 13:21 -8 9
W D L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League