Colchester vs Cheltenham Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
47.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Colchester
Cheltenham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Colchester
13 matches
Cheltenham
8 matches
| Colchester | Statistic | Cheltenham |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 5 | Losses | 2 |
| 20 | Goals For | 16 |
| 17 | Goals Against | 12 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 13.67 | Total Shots | 9.83 |
| 4.33 | Corners | 4 |
| 53.3% | Ball Possession | 43.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Cheltenham's more proactive style and Colchester's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cheltenham. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colchester expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cheltenham in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cheltenham having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
From their first 5 matches, Colchester have collected 7 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 6:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Anderson (1 goals), Jaden Williams (1 goals), K. Kouassi (1 goals), with creative support from O. Thorn (1 assists), M. Sesay (1 assists), Kane Vincent-Young (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Cheltenham have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 8 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 10:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. McCann (2 goals), R. Broom (2 goals), A. Weimann (1 goals), with creative support from P. Sweeney (1 assists), J. Evans (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colchester won 6 times, Cheltenham won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:19 from Colchester's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:11 | 9 | 18 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 15 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 15 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 |
Cheltenham
Away
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 13 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 0 | 12 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:6 | 0 | 12 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 19 |
Colchester
Home
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
| 20 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
D
L
L
L
D
|