Login Register
ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
19.09.2026 14:00
Colchester Community Stadium
Colchester
Match Timeline
Cheltenham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Shaun McWilliams
Cheltenham
🟨
18'
Jake Evans
Cheltenham
🟨
28'
Oscar Thorn
Colchester
⚽
66'
M. Sesay · Assist: E. Iandolo
Colchester
🔄
69'
O. Thorn ↔ J. Williams
Colchester
🔄
74'
S. McWilliams ↔ F. Willcox
Cheltenham
🔄
74'
J. Evans ↔ R. Broom
Cheltenham
🟨
76'
Harry Anderson
Colchester
⚽
78'
A. Weimann
Cheltenham
🟥
83'
Jaden Williams
Colchester
🟨
84'
Ellis Iandolo
Colchester
🟨
85'
Jonathan Tomkinson
Cheltenham
🔄
89'
H. Anderson ↔ L. Chiwome
Colchester
🔄
89'
A. Weimann ↔ K. Otchere
Cheltenham
🟨
90+2'
Charlie McCann
Cheltenham

Colchester vs Cheltenham Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 47.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
47.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Colchester Win 36.4%
Draw 16.4%
Cheltenham Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colchester1.52
Cheltenham1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colchester Colchester
WWDLW
20 GF / 17 GA
Cheltenham Cheltenham
WLDWL
16 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
2
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
7
4.33
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colchester Colchester 13 matches
Cheltenham Cheltenham 8 matches
Colchester Statistic Cheltenham
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 2
5 Losses 2
20 Goals For 16
17 Goals Against 12
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
6 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 1
4.33 Shots On Goal 4.5
13.67 Total Shots 9.83
4.33 Corners 4
53.3% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Cheltenham's more proactive style and Colchester's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cheltenham. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colchester expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cheltenham in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cheltenham having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Colchester Analysis

From their first 5 matches, Colchester have collected 7 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 6:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Anderson (1 goals), Jaden Williams (1 goals), K. Kouassi (1 goals), with creative support from O. Thorn (1 assists), M. Sesay (1 assists), Kane Vincent-Young (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cheltenham Analysis

So far, Cheltenham have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 8 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 10:9 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. McCann (2 goals), R. Broom (2 goals), A. Weimann (1 goals), with creative support from P. Sweeney (1 assists), J. Evans (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colchester won 6 times, Cheltenham won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:19 from Colchester's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.7%)
Predicted formations: Colchester 4-2-3-1 / Cheltenham 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Colchester wins 6, draws 3, Cheltenham wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League