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10.10.2026 18:00
Estadio El Cobre
Referee: Gaston Philippe

Cobresal vs Universidad de Concepcion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 76.5%
Odds 2.13
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
76.5%
2.13 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.72 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.1%
1.12 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cobresal Win 76.5%
Draw 13.5%
Universidad de Concepcion Win 10.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobresal1.44
Universidad de Concepcion1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobresal Cobresal
WWDLW
37 GF / 56 GA
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion
WLDWL
25 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
14
BTTS Yes
14
16
Over 2.5
15
4.7
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobresal Cobresal 30 matches
Universidad de Concepcion Universidad de Concepcion 29 matches
Cobresal Statistic Universidad de Concepcion
7 Wins 7
5 Draws 5
18 Losses 17
37 Goals For 25
56 Goals Against 51
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
14 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 15
13 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 10
4.7 Shots On Goal 3.78
14.22 Total Shots 12.04
4.87 Corners 4.96
44.1% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Universidad de Concepcion arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cobresal expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Universidad de Concepcion in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad de Concepcion having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad de Concepcion.

Cobresal Analysis

Cobresal sit 14 with 24 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 34:44 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Brea (5 goals), S. Pino (5 goals), L. Morales (2 goals), with creative support from B. Carvallo (3 assists), C. Yanis (2 assists), G. Pacheco (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Universidad de Concepcion Analysis

Universidad de Concepcion sit 15 with 22 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 17:39, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Cecilio Waterman (5 goals), Luis Rojas (2 goals), J. Fuentealba (2 goals), with creative support from Yerco Oyanedel (2 assists), Agustín Urzi (2 assists), Luis Rojas (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Cobresal won 3 times, Universidad de Concepcion won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:7 from Cobresal's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90%)
Predicted formations: Cobresal 4-2-3-1 / Universidad de Concepcion 5-3-2
H2H summary: Cobresal wins 3, draws 1, Universidad de Concepcion wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L L W L
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 22 8 4 10 31:39 -8 28
W W D L L
13 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 23 6 4 13 17:39 -22 22
L L L W L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L