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CHILE › PRIMERA B
17.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Zorros del Desierto

Cobreloa vs Recoleta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 50%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
50%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cobreloa Win 48.6%
Draw 16.4%
Recoleta Win 35%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cobreloa1.49
Recoleta1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cobreloa Cobreloa
WWDLW
55 GF / 40 GA
Recoleta Recoleta
WLDWL
45 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.42
22
BTTS Yes
21
17
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cobreloa Cobreloa 36 matches
Recoleta Recoleta 33 matches
Cobreloa Statistic Recoleta
15 Wins 12
12 Draws 10
9 Losses 11
55 Goals For 45
40 Goals Against 47
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.42
22 BTTS Yes 21
27 Over 1.5 25
17 Over 2.5 19
10 Over 3.5 10
13 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Recoleta having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Recoleta.

Cobreloa Analysis

Cobreloa come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 48 points after 26 matches. The return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 44:27, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Recoleta Analysis

From their first 26 matches, Recoleta have collected 41 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 38:34 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Cobreloa won 6 times, Recoleta won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:3 from Cobreloa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
H2H summary: Cobreloa wins 6, draws 1, Recoleta wins 0

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 14 8 5 42:29 13 50
W W W W W
2 27 13 9 5 45:29 16 48
L W W D L
3 27 13 7 7 44:39 5 46
W W W D D
4 27 12 8 7 47:26 21 44
W W L D L
5 27 12 8 7 42:30 12 44
L L L L W
6 27 11 8 8 39:36 3 41
L W D W W
7 27 11 7 9 42:40 2 40
W W W D L
8 27 10 9 8 33:27 6 39
L W W L W
9 27 10 6 11 32:35 -3 36
L L D L D
10 27 9 8 10 42:37 5 35
W L D W L
11 27 8 10 9 36:30 6 34
W W W L L
12 27 10 4 13 26:35 -9 34
L L L L W
13 27 7 9 11 24:40 -16 30
W L L W L
14 27 4 10 13 28:42 -14 22
L L D W D
15 27 5 7 15 16:48 -32 22
L L L L D
16 27 5 6 16 27:42 -15 21
W L L W W