PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Referee: D. Benitez
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Match Timeline
Olimpia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
33'
A. Chala
Olimpia
🟨
38'
A. F. Franco Zayas
Olimpia
🔄
46'
C. Colman ↔ J. Barrios
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
46'
A. F. Franco Zayas ↔ R. Benitez
Olimpia
🔄
46'
T. I. Caballero Fleytas ↔ I. Leguizamon
Olimpia
🔄
61'
R. Lezcano ↔ L. Abreu
Olimpia
🔄
68'
A. Galeano ↔ T. Jara
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
68'
S. Ferreira ↔ F. Barone
Olimpia
🔄
68'
A. Silva ↔ J. F. Alfaro
Olimpia
🔄
74'
I. Torres ↔ V. Cespedes
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
74'
A. Alvarez ↔ H. Villamayor
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
80'
J. Barrios
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
84'
L. Esteche
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🔄
87'
D. Meza Montiel ↔ T. Paredes
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
🟨
90+4'
G. Vargas
Olimpia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 79.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
79.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Win 20.8%
Draw 0%
Olimpia Win 79.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Sp. San Lorenzo0.69
Olimpia1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo
WWDLW
12 GF / 41 GA
Olimpia Olimpia
WLDWL
30 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1.58
2.16
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
8
2
Shots on Goal
5.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Club Sp. San Lorenzo 19 matches
Olimpia Olimpia 19 matches
Club Sp. San Lorenzo Statistic Olimpia
1 Wins 12
5 Draws 4
13 Losses 3
12 Goals For 30
41 Goals Against 15
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.58
2.16 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
9 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 1
2 Shots On Goal 5.33
7.79 Total Shots 15.78
2.89 Corners 4.78
30% Ball Possession 56.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Olimpia's more proactive style and Club Sp. San Lorenzo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Club Sp. San Lorenzo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Olimpia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 43 points while Club Sp. San Lorenzo sit 12 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Olimpia. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Club Sp. San Lorenzo Analysis

With 8 points from 19 games and a place of 12, Club Sp. San Lorenzo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 12:41 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Galeano (3 goals), J. Barrios (2 goals), Luis Cáceres (2 goals), with creative support from Héctor Villamayor (3 assists), J. Barrios (1 assists), A. Paez (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Olimpia Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 43 points from 19 games, Olimpia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 13 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 32:13, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Alcaraz (6 goals), G. Vargas (3 goals), S. Ferreira (3 goals), with creative support from H. Quintana (2 assists), R. Sanchez (2 assists), A. F. Rodriguez Armoa (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Club Sp. San Lorenzo won 1 times, Olimpia won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:24 from Club Sp. San Lorenzo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 4-1-4-1 / Olimpia 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Club Sp. San Lorenzo wins 1, draws 3, Olimpia wins 6

Lineups

Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Formation
Olimpia
F. Cristoforo
F. Cristoforo
L. Esteche
L. Esteche
L. Caceres
L. Caceres
J. Doldan
J. Doldan
D. Meza Montiel
D. Meza Montiel
A. Galeano
A. Galeano
A. Quinonez
A. Quinonez
B. Pinatares
B. Pinatares
I. Torres
I. Torres
A. Alvarez
A. Alvarez
C. Colman
C. Colman
G. Olveira
G. Olveira
L. Morales
L. Morales
J. Vera
J. Vera
G. Vargas
G. Vargas
A. Chala
A. Chala
R. Perez
R. Perez
R. Lezcano
R. Lezcano
A. Silva
A. Silva
A. F. Franco Zayas
A. F. Franco Zayas
T. I. Caballero Fleytas
T. I. Caballero Fleytas
S. Ferreira
S. Ferreira
Club Sp. San Lorenzo 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
F. Cristoforo
2
L. Esteche
🟨 84'
19
L. Caceres
4
J. Doldan
20
D. Meza Montiel
↓ 87'
30
A. Galeano
↓ 68'
8
A. Quinonez
15
B. Pinatares
11
I. Torres
↓ 74'
10
A. Alvarez
↓ 74'
35
C. Colman
↓ 46'
Substitutes
33
R. Olazar
28
A. Oviedo
16
V. Cespedes
↑ 74'
21
H. Gonzalez
26
J. Duarte
5
T. Paredes
↑ 87'
6
H. Villamayor
↑ 74'
9
J. Barrios
⚽ 80' ↑ 46'
29
M. Garcia
17
T. Jara
↑ 68'
24
M. Aguero
27
E. Ortiz
Olimpia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Olveira
4
L. Morales
22
J. Vera
14
G. Vargas
🟨 90+4'
16
A. Chala
🟨 33'
23
R. Perez
19
R. Lezcano
↓ 61'
3
A. Silva
↓ 68'
8
A. F. Franco Zayas
↓ 46' 🟨 38'
24
T. I. Caballero Fleytas
↓ 46'
11
S. Ferreira
↓ 68'
Substitutes
25
S. Lentinelly
2
B. Bentaberry
30
A. F. Rodriguez Armoa
35
F. Alfonso
18
F. Barone
↑ 68'
37
R. Benitez
↑ 46'
33
L. Ramirez
7
F. Cardozo
5
J. F. Alfaro
↑ 68'
29
I. Leguizamon
↑ 46'
20
E. Delmas
39
L. Abreu
↑ 61'
Last matches: Club Sp. San Lorenzo
22.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 de Mayo
1
0
W
17.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
01.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
5
L
26.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Rubio NU
0
1
L
17.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
10.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
1
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
2
4
L
31.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
28.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
22.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
17.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
13.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
1
1
D
08.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
1
D
02.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
7
L
26.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Rubio NU
0
2
L
19.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
13.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
1
3
L
06.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
0
3
L
31.01.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
0
1
L
27.01.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
2
4
L
Last matches: Olimpia
17.07.26
Fri
Olimpia
Flamengo
2
4
L
23.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
15.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
03.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
25.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
2
3
L
12.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
2
0
W
04.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
3
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
28.03.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
4
1
W
21.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Guarani
2
0
W
17.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
14.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
08.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
25.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
21.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
14.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
0
0
D
08.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
01.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
3
2
W
28.01.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
H2H: Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Olimpia
10.05.26
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
0
W
08.03.26
H2H
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
19.07.23
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
0
0
D
01.11.20
H2H
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
1
L
17.08.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
2
2
D
01.02.20
H2H
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
2
L
01.12.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
4
L
15.09.19
H2H
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
4
1
L
30.03.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
4
L
26.01.19
H2H
Olimpia
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
0
L
Last matches: Club Sp. San Lorenzo
17.05.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
0
0
D
26.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Rubio NU
0
1
L
10.04.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Club Guarani
1
0
W
31.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Ameliano
1
2
L
22.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion
0
0
D
17.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
02.03.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Libertad Asuncion
0
7
L
19.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
06.02.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Deportivo Recoleta
0
3
L
27.01.26
Div
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Cerro Porteno
2
4
L
H2H at home: Club Sp. San Lorenzo
10.05.26
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
0
W
19.07.23
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
0
0
D
17.08.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
2
2
D
01.12.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
4
L
30.03.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
4
L
Last matches: Olimpia
17.07.26
Fri
Olimpia
Flamengo
2
4
L
23.05.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
25.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Libertad Asuncion
2
3
L
12.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Rubio NU
2
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
21.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Club Guarani
2
0
W
14.03.26
Div
Olimpia
Deportivo Recoleta
1
0
W
28.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
21.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Cerro Porteno
1
0
W
08.02.26
Div
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2
1
W
28.01.26
Div
Olimpia
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
19.01.26
Fri
Olimpia
Boca Juniors
1
2
L
H2H away: Olimpia
10.05.26
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
0
L
19.07.23
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
0
0
D
17.08.20
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
2
2
D
01.12.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
4
W
30.03.19
H2H
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Olimpia
1
4
W

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)