Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
- |
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Club Nacional
26 matches
Wanderers
20 matches
| Club Nacional | Statistic | Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 8 |
| 4 | Draws | 5 |
| 10 | Losses | 7 |
| 38 | Goals For | 24 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 9.83 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 39.5% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Club Nacional's more proactive style and Wanderers's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Wanderers. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Wanderers having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
From their first 20 matches, Club Nacional have collected 32 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 31:26 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Wanderers are currently 8 in the standings with 29 points from 20 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 24:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Nacional won 10 times, Wanderers won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:10 from Club Nacional's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
Lineups
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Cerro
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Cerro
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Danubio
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Deportivo Maldonado
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Cerro
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Penarol
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Penarol
Club Nacional
Miramar
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Boston River
Club Nacional
Progreso
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Juventud
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Boston River
Wanderers
Albion FC
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Central Espanol
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Penarol
Wanderers
Atletico Torque
Wanderers
Defensor Sporting
Wanderers
Progreso
Wanderers
Miramar
Wanderers
Cerro Largo
Wanderers
Liverpool Montevideo
Wanderers
Racing Montevideo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 31 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 8 | 29 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 28 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 27 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 24 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 23 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 |
Club Nacional
Home
|
15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 5 | 22 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Wanderers
Away
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 |
W
W
L
L
W
|