Club Nacional
Match Timeline
Progreso
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Club Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Progreso Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Nacional1.8
Progreso1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Nacional
WWDLW
5 GF / 5 GA
Progreso
WLDWL
2 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
2
1
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Club Nacional
3 matches
Progreso
2 matches
| Club Nacional | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 1 | Draws | 0 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 5 | Goals For | 2 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Nacional won 12 times, Progreso won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 31:9 from Club Nacional's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Club Nacional 4-3-2-1 / Progreso 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Club Nacional wins 12, draws 2, Progreso wins 1
Lineups
Club Nacional
Formation
Progreso
L. Mejia
E. Ancheta
S. Coates
P. Calione
J. Patino
L. Boggio
C. Oliva
L. M. Villalba Jaume
N. Lopez
J. De Los Santos
M. Gomez
N. Gentilio
G. Trasante
A. Prieto
L. N. Olivera Moreira
F. Kidd
M. De Los Santos
A. Colombino
A. Pinheiro
A. Cougo
I. Lemmo
F. Lopez
Club Nacional
4-1-3-2
(estimated from previous match)
Starting XI
1
L. Mejia
G
13
E. Ancheta
D
4
S. Coates
D
15
P. Calione
D
33
J. Patino
D
6
L. Boggio
M
↓ 86'
🟨 79'
8
C. Oliva
M
⚽ 45'
↓ 81'
🟨 7'
16
L. M. Villalba Jaume
M
↓ 86'
7
N. Lopez
F
↓ 81'
19
J. De Los Santos
M
⚽ 57'
↓ 74'
9
M. Gomez
F
⚽ 4'
🎯 57'
Substitutes
25
I. Suarez
G
2
H. Palacios
D
↑ 86'
17
M. de los Santos
D
27
D. Romero
D
11
R. Otero
M
14
N. Lodeiro
M
↑ 81'
23
L. Rodriguez
M
↑ 81'
30
A. Dos Santos
↑ 86'
18
C. Ebere
F
24
E. Mereles
M
↑ 74'
🟨 79'
Progreso
4-4-1
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Gentilio
G
16
G. Trasante
D
🟨 62'
2
A. Prieto
↓ 46'
23
L. N. Olivera Moreira
D
6
F. Kidd
D
🟨 16'
24
M. De Los Santos
M
↓ 46'
8
A. Colombino
M
5
A. Pinheiro
M
40
A. Cougo
D
↓ 64'
10
I. Lemmo
M
↓ 64'
🟨 54'
19
F. Lopez
F
⚽ 33'
↓ 81'
Substitutes
35
F. Mendez
G
13
H. Carroso
D
↑ 46'
🟨 74'
32
C. Ordonez
D
7
A. Garcia
M
↑ 81'
11
P. Lopez
M
21
J. Rivero
M
↑ 64'
29
N. Fernandez
M
↑ 46'
17
F. Sosa
↑ 64'
18
G. Silva
M
26
M. Copelotti
F
Last matches: Club Nacional
15.08.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
0
2
L
09.08.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Boston River
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Progreso
2
1
W
17.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
Last matches: Progreso
16.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
0
2
L
31.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
3
3
D
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Albion FC
2
2
D
H2H: Club Nacional vs Progreso
02.08.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
2
1
W
21.02.26
H2H
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
W
22.01.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
3
1
W
23.05.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
0
W
16.02.25
H2H
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
5
W
29.09.24
H2H
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
3
W
23.03.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
0
0
D
19.09.21
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
0
1
L
23.05.21
H2H
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
3
W
18.02.21
H2H
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
W
26.08.20
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
2
1
W
10.11.19
H2H
Progreso
Club Nacional
0
1
W
27.07.19
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
4
2
W
04.05.19
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
4
0
W
Last matches: Club Nacional
09.08.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Boston River
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Progreso
2
1
W
17.07.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
1
2
L
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
23.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
0
1
L
24.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
13.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Miramar
3
1
W
04.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
07.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
3
0
W
H2H at home: Club Nacional
02.08.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
2
1
W
22.01.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
3
1
W
23.05.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
0
W
23.03.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
0
0
D
19.09.21
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
0
1
L
26.08.20
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
2
1
W
27.07.19
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
4
2
W
04.05.19
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
4
0
W
Last matches: Progreso
08.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Central Espanol
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Progreso
Club Nacional
1
2
L
11.07.26
Pri
Progreso
Wanderers
0
2
L
30.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Progreso
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
27.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Defensor Sporting
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
0
1
L
26.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Progreso
Cerro
1
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Danubio
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado
0
2
L
09.11.25
Pri
Progreso
Juventud
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Liverpool Montevideo
1
3
L
10.10.25
Pri
Progreso
Plaza Colonia
1
0
W
29.09.25
Pri
Progreso
Racing Montevideo
0
0
D
14.09.25
Pri
Progreso
CA River Plate
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Boston River
1
2
L
01.08.25
Pri
Progreso
Penarol
1
2
L
03.12.23
Seg
Progreso
Uruguay Montevideo
3
1
W
H2H away: Progreso
02.08.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
2
1
L
22.01.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
1
D
16.08.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
3
1
L
23.05.25
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
1
0
L
23.03.24
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
0
0
D
19.09.21
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
0
1
W
26.08.20
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
2
1
L
27.07.19
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
4
2
L
04.05.19
H2H
Club Nacional
Progreso
4
0
L
Standings
Primera Division 2025, Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 30:12 | 18 | 35 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Club Nacional
Home
|
15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25:11 | 14 | 27 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 3 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 28:17 | 11 | 27 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 26 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 24 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:13 | 5 | 21 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 |
Progreso
Away
|
15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 11 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 17 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 8:13 | -5 | 16 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 14 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 13 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:26 | -17 | 8 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7:25 | -18 | 7 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
Playoffs