Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Club Nacional
Cerro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Club Nacional
18 matches
Cerro
14 matches
| Club Nacional | Statistic | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 2 |
| 2 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 8 |
| 28 | Goals For | 8 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.57 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.43 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 9.75 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 5.25 | Corners | 0 |
| 39% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Club Nacional's more proactive style and Cerro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cerro. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Club Nacional have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Club Nacional arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 19 points compared to Cerro in 16 on 10, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Nacional expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Cerro in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cerro having the stronger overall control.
With 19 points from 14 games and a place of 9, Club Nacional still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:21, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through M. Gomez (7 goals), T. Veron (4 goals), Agustín Rogel (2 goals), with creative support from T. Veron (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 10 points from 14 games and a place of 16, Cerro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 8:20, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through A. Pandiani (4 goals), T. Correa (4 goals), Alejo Macelli (3 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Nacional won 11 times, Cerro won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:10 from Club Nacional's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Lineups
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Boston River
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Juventud
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
Club Nacional
Albion FC
Club Nacional
Universitario
Club Nacional
Danubio
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Wanderers
Club Nacional
Penarol
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Penarol
Club Nacional
Miramar
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
Club Nacional
Boston River
Club Nacional
Progreso
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Liverpool Montevideo
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Boston River
Cerro
Central Espanol
Cerro
Cerro Largo
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Penarol
Cerro
Racing Montevideo
Cerro
Albion FC
Cerro
Atletico Torque
Cerro
Progreso
Cerro
Wanderers
Cerro
Danubio
Cerro
Juventud
Cerro
Plaza Colonia
Cerro
CA River Plate
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Cerro
Miramar
Cerro
La Luz
Cerro
Rampla Juniors
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 36:22 | 14 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 26:16 | 10 | 38 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 33:25 | 8 | 35 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 30:22 | 8 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 |
Club Nacional
Home
|
21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 32 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 23:22 | 1 | 25 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 22 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 19:29 | -10 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 20:28 | -8 | 21 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 |
Cerro
Away
|
20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 16 |
W
L
L
W
L
|