URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Gran Parque Central
Referee: A. M. Matonte Cabrera
Club Nacional
Match Timeline
Albion FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
S. Costa
Albion FC
🟨
19'
E. Ancheta
Club Nacional
🟥
21'
F. Ginella
Albion FC
🔄
39'
S. Costa ↔ P. Alcoba
Albion FC
🟨
43'
A. Rogel
Club Nacional
🔄
46'
E. Ancheta ↔ C. Candido
Club Nacional
🟨
51'
A. Pereira
Albion FC
🔄
59'
T. Veron ↔ N. Lopez
Club Nacional
🔄
59'
H. Toledo ↔ M. de los Santos
Albion FC
🟨
62'
T. Viera
Club Nacional
🟨
63'
P. Alcoba
Albion FC
🔄
69'
A. Dos Santos ↔ J. De Los Santos
Club Nacional
🔄
69'
R. Martinez ↔ M. Silvera
Club Nacional
73'
M. Gomez
Club Nacional
🟥
77'
N. Lodeiro
Club Nacional
🔄
80'
↔ L. Boggio
Club Nacional
🟨
87'
C. Airala
Albion FC
🔄
89'
J. Alvarez ↔ F. Puente
Albion FC
🔄
89'
A. Pereira ↔ B. Acosta
Albion FC
🟨
90+2'
M. Gomez
Club Nacional
🟨
90+3'
A. Lopez
Albion FC
🟨
90+7'
F. Puente
Albion FC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.5%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Club Nacional Win 42.2%
Draw 0%
Albion FC Win 57.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Nacional1.37
Albion FC1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Nacional Club Nacional
WWDLW
34 GF / 31 GA
Albion FC Albion FC
WLDWL
26 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
1
13
BTTS Yes
9
14
Over 2.5
9
4.2
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Nacional Club Nacional 21 matches
Albion FC Albion FC 16 matches
Club Nacional Statistic Albion FC
9 Wins 8
3 Draws 5
9 Losses 3
34 Goals For 26
31 Goals Against 16
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 1
13 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 10
14 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 3
4.2 Shots On Goal 0
10.2 Total Shots 0
5.6 Corners 0
40.8% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Albion FC. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Albion FC having the stronger overall control. Albion FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Club Nacional Analysis

Club Nacional sit 7 with 22 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 26:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Gomez (10 goals), T. Veron (4 goals), Agustín Rogel (2 goals), with creative support from T. Veron (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Albion FC Analysis

Albion FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 28 points after 15 matches. They have recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a 26:16 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on A. Lopez (13 goals), C. Airala (4 goals), F. Ginella (3 goals), with creative support from A. Lopez (1 assists), C. Airala (1 assists), S. Costa (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Club Nacional won 3 times, Albion FC won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Club Nacional's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Club Nacional 4-2-3-1 / Albion FC -
H2H summary: Club Nacional wins 3, draws 0, Albion FC wins 1

Lineups

Club Nacional
Formation
Albion FC
L. Mejia
L. Mejia
E. Ancheta
E. Ancheta
A. Rogel
A. Rogel
T. Viera
T. Viera
N. Rodriguez
N. Rodriguez
J. I. Garcia Lantean
J. I. Garcia Lantean
A. Dos Santos
A. Dos Santos
T. Veron
T. Veron
N. Lodeiro
N. Lodeiro
R. Martinez
R. Martinez
M. Gomez
M. Gomez
S. Jaume
S. Jaume
A. Pereira
A. Pereira
F. Couture
F. Couture
E. Burdin
E. Burdin
J. Alvarez
J. Alvarez
T. Moschion
T. Moschion
F. Ginella
F. Ginella
S. Costa
S. Costa
C. Airala
C. Airala
H. Toledo
H. Toledo
A. Lopez
A. Lopez
Club Nacional 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
L. Mejia
13
E. Ancheta
↓ 46' 🟨 19'
2
A. Rogel
🟨 43'
32
T. Viera
🟨 62'
77
N. Rodriguez
56
J. I. Garcia Lantean
10
A. Dos Santos
↓ 69'
27
T. Veron
↓ 59'
14
N. Lodeiro
🟥 77'
31
R. Martinez
↓ 69'
9
M. Gomez
⚽ 73' 🟨 90+2'
Substitutes
25
I. Suarez
15
P. Calione
4
S. Coates
21
C. Candido
↑ 46'
6
L. Boggio
↑ 80'
39
L. Gonzalez
19
J. De Los Santos
↑ 69'
7
N. Lopez
↑ 59'
11
M. Silvera
↑ 69'
18
P. Nunez
Albion FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
S. Jaume
34
A. Pereira
↓ 89' 🟨 51'
2
F. Couture
24
E. Burdin
16
J. Alvarez
↓ 89'
6
T. Moschion
5
F. Ginella
🟥 21'
27
S. Costa
↓ 39' 🟨 19'
10
C. Airala
🟨 87'
11
H. Toledo
↓ 59'
9
A. Lopez
🟨 90+3'
Substitutes
31
D. Lerda
13
P. Lacoste
17
M. de los Santos
↑ 59'
29
F. Puente
↑ 89' 🟨 90+7'
15
P. Alcoba
↑ 39' 🟨 63'
80
Leonardo Pais
21
L. Rodriguez Trezza
79
N. Roldan
18
B. Acosta
↑ 89'
32
T. Figueroa
Last matches: Club Nacional
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
0
3
L
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
07.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
0
3
L
03.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
3
L
30.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
2
4
L
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Deportivo Maldonado
2
4
L
08.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
3
2
W
24.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
2
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
1
3
L
Last matches: Albion FC
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Central Espanol
6
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Penarol
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Boston River
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
H2H: Club Nacional vs Albion FC
23.05.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
03.05.26
H2H
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
L
13.10.22
H2H
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
W
21.05.22
H2H
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
0
W
Last matches: Club Nacional
06.06.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Juventud
2
1
W
27.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Coquimbo Unido
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Club Nacional
Universitario
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro
4
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Danubio
1
2
L
14.04.26
CON
Club Nacional
Deportes Tolima
3
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Central Espanol
0
1
L
24.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
3
0
W
13.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Wanderers
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
1
1
D
30.11.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Penarol
1
0
W
18.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Miramar
3
1
W
04.10.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Cerro Largo
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Liverpool Montevideo
3
1
W
07.09.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Racing Montevideo
3
0
W
23.08.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Boston River
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Progreso
3
1
W
02.08.25
Pri
Club Nacional
Atletico Torque
5
2
W
H2H at home: Club Nacional
23.05.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
W
21.05.22
H2H
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
0
W
Last matches: Albion FC
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
1
0
W
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Boston River
0
0
D
H2H away: Albion FC
23.05.26
H2H
Club Nacional
Albion FC
1
0
L
21.05.22
H2H
Club Nacional
Albion FC
2
0
L

Standings

Primera: Promedios
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 12 3 4 35:20 15 39
W W D W W
2 56 35 9 12 94:52 42 114
W L W W W
3 56 34 11 11 107:59 48 110
W L W W W
4 19 9 5 5 29:20 9 32
W L L D W
5 19 9 4 6 27:25 2 31
D W L W W
6 56 24 18 14 73:57 16 90
D W D L L
7 56 24 18 14 64:53 11 90
D D D W L
8 56 23 15 18 57:54 3 84
D D L L L
9 55 23 10 22 67:68 -1 79
L L W W W
10 56 21 15 20 83:75 8 78
L W W L W
11 56 20 16 20 69:65 4 76
D L L W L
12 56 19 16 21 62:61 1 73
D W W L L
13 55 14 20 21 60:67 -7 62
D L L L L
14 56 15 15 26 43:73 -30 59
L L W L L
15 56 13 18 25 47:71 -24 57
D W D D W
16 56 13 13 30 54:90 -36 52
L W L L L
Relegation - Segunda Division