PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Rogelio Livieres
Referee: A. Quinonez
Club Guarani
Match Timeline
Sportivo Luqueno
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Lautaro Comas
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
32'
Sebastián Quintana
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
34'
Imanol Segovia
Club Guarani
37'
P. Tanda · Assist: N. Romero
Club Guarani
VAR
40'
Patricio Tanda
Club Guarani
🔄
46'
T. Franco ↔ J. Ramos
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
55'
Sergio Díaz
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
57'
Diego Fernández
Club Guarani
VAR
57'
Diego Fernández
Club Guarani
58'
I. Maggi · Assist: L. Comas
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
64'
Luis Martinez
Club Guarani
🔄
67'
P. Tanda ↔ A. Manzur
Club Guarani
🔄
67'
N. Romero ↔ I. Ramirez
Club Guarani
🔄
74'
M. Ramos ↔ A. Barbotte
Club Guarani
🔄
75'
J. Diaz ↔ S. Ocampos
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
75'
A. Balbuena ↔ A. M. Martinez Cubilla
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
78'
Thiago Servin
Club Guarani
🟨
81'
Agustín Manzur
Club Guarani
🟨
83'
Iván Maggi
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
84'
M. Lopez ↔ R. Torales
Club Guarani
🔄
84'
D. Rodriguez ↔ K. Ferreira Gonzalez
Club Guarani
🔄
85'
L. Comas ↔ O. Ruiz
Sportivo Luqueno
🔄
85'
A. Maiz ↔ F. Benitez
Sportivo Luqueno
🟨
86'
Fernando Benítez
Sportivo Luqueno
90'
G. Servio
Club Guarani

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 68.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.5%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
68.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Club Guarani Win 74.5%
Draw 4.7%
Sportivo Luqueno Win 20.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Guarani1.36
Sportivo Luqueno1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Guarani Club Guarani
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
WLDWL
18 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
8
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
8
4.22
Shots on Goal
4.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Guarani Club Guarani 18 matches
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno 16 matches
Club Guarani Statistic Sportivo Luqueno
5 Wins 4
7 Draws 3
6 Losses 9
22 Goals For 18
19 Goals Against 25
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
8 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 0
7 Failed To Score 6
4.22 Shots On Goal 4.06
10.89 Total Shots 11.5
4.17 Corners 3.13
47.9% Ball Possession 48%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Guarani expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Sportivo Luqueno in 4-4-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sportivo Luqueno having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sportivo Luqueno. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sportivo Luqueno arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Club Guarani Analysis

Club Guarani sit 6 with 21 points after 16 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a -:- goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Rodriguez (3 goals), Matías López (3 goals), Alcides Barbotte (2 goals), with creative support from D. Rodriguez (2 assists), I. Ramirez (1 assists), R. Torales (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a balanced approach.

Sportivo Luqueno Analysis

Sportivo Luqueno approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 15 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the -:- goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Iván Maggi (7 goals), Sebastián Quintana (3 goals), L. Comas (2 goals), with creative support from G. Bogado (2 assists), O. Ruiz (2 assists), Iván Maggi (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a balanced approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Guarani won 7 times, Sportivo Luqueno won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Club Guarani's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Club Guarani 4-1-4-1 / Sportivo Luqueno 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Club Guarani wins 7, draws 2, Sportivo Luqueno wins 6
Stats
Club Guarani Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Luqueno
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
0
5 Corner Kicks 9
15 Fouls 11
0 Offsides 1
44% Ball Possession 56%
21 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 0
14 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
276 Total passes 352
198 Passes accurate 272
3.37 expected_goals 0.67
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Club Guarani
Formation
Sportivo Luqueno
G. Servio
G. Servio
M. Ramos
M. Ramos
I. Segovia
I. Segovia
S. Zaracho
S. Zaracho
T. Servin
T. Servin
L. Martinez
L. Martinez
D. Fernandez
D. Fernandez
M. Lopez
M. Lopez
P. Tanda
P. Tanda
D. Rodriguez
D. Rodriguez
N. Romero
🎯
N. Romero
F. Mongelos
F. Mongelos
A. Villalba
A. Villalba
J. Diaz
J. Diaz
F. Wiechniak
F. Wiechniak
A. Balbuena
A. Balbuena
L. Comas
🎯
L. Comas
A. Maiz
A. Maiz
S. Quintana
S. Quintana
S. Diaz
S. Diaz
I. Maggi
I. Maggi
T. Franco
T. Franco
Club Guarani 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
G. Servio
⚽ 90'
G
14
M. Ramos
↓ 74'
D
2
I. Segovia
🟨 34'
D
4
S. Zaracho
D
15
T. Servin
🟨 78'
D
36
L. Martinez
🟨 64'
M
26
D. Fernandez
🟨 57'
M
8
M. Lopez
↓ 84'
M
5
P. Tanda
⚽ 37' ↓ 67'
M
10
D. Rodriguez
↓ 84'
M
28
N. Romero
🎯 37' ↓ 67'
Substitutes
31
M. Arzamendia
G
11
Jhon Sanchez
F
29
J. Llano
M
17
R. Torales
↑ 84'
F
19
C. G. Ramirez Perdesen
D
20
R. Quinonez
F
7
A. Manzur
↑ 67' 🟨 81'
M
3
A. Barbotte
↑ 74'
D
9
I. Ramirez
↑ 67'
F
25
G. Gomez
M
33
K. Ferreira Gonzalez
↑ 84'
16
L. Paredes
D
Sportivo Luqueno 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
F. Mongelos
G
5
A. Villalba
D
26
J. Diaz
↓ 75'
D
6
F. Wiechniak
D
24
A. Balbuena
↓ 75'
D
37
L. Comas
🎯 58' ↓ 85' 🟨 18'
M
23
A. Maiz
↓ 85'
M
18
S. Quintana
🟨 32'
M
10
S. Diaz
🟨 55'
M
20
I. Maggi
⚽ 58' 🟨 83'
F
30
T. Franco
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
40
A. Espinola
G
16
A. Benitez
M
9
W. Gonzalez
F
7
K. Pereira
F
22
S. Ocampos
↑ 75'
D
34
A. M. Martinez Cubilla
↑ 75'
11
O. Ruiz
↑ 85'
F
14
F. Benitez
↑ 85' 🟨 86'
M
15
S. Maldonado
M
25
J. Ramos
↑ 46'
M
27
M. Ojeda
M
19
J. Bobadilla
M
Last matches: Club Guarani
23.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
16.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
11.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
03.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
26.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
2
2
D
10.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
05.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Rubio NU
2
0
W
29.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
25.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Olimpia
0
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
07.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
01.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
26.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
1
2
L
23.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
3
L
19.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
0
0
D
13.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
1
W
08.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
3
3
D
Last matches: Sportivo Luqueno
23.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
1
2
L
17.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
10.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
2
3
L
02.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
0
D
25.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
2
1
W
11.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
2
2
D
31.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
2
3
L
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
2
3
L
22.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
0
2
L
17.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
0
1
L
13.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
1
D
07.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
02.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
23.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
3
2
W
13.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
06.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
0
1
L
02.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
27.01.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
1
2
L
H2H: Club Guarani vs Sportivo Luqueno
18.04.26
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
23.02.26
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
3
2
L
30.11.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
05.09.25
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
2
3
W
24.05.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
23.03.25
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
0
1
W
03.12.24
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
0
0
D
28.10.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
2
D
16.08.24
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
2
1
L
25.05.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
0
1
L
10.03.24
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
1
0
L
07.03.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
0
1
L
24.09.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
09.07.23
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
1
2
W
06.05.23
H2H
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
3
0
L
Last matches: Club Guarani
16.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
03.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
05.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
29.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
25.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Olimpia
0
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
3
1
W
07.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
26.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
1
2
L
13.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
1
W
01.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Rubio NU
4
0
W
H2H at home: Club Guarani
18.04.26
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
30.11.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
24.05.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
28.10.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
2
D
25.05.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
0
1
L
07.03.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
0
1
L
24.09.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
Last matches: Sportivo Luqueno
17.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
0
D
02.05.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
0
0
D
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
2
2
D
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
2
3
L
17.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
0
1
L
07.03.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
13.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
2
1
W
02.02.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
23.01.26
Div
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
2
1
W
H2H away: Sportivo Luqueno
18.04.26
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
L
30.11.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
L
24.05.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
L
28.10.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
2
D
25.05.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
0
1
W
07.03.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
0
1
W
24.09.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)