PARAGUAY DIVISION PROFESIONAL - APERTURA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Rogelio Livieres
Referee: C. Benitez
Club Guarani
Match Timeline
Sportivo Ameliano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Patricio Coronel
Club Guarani
🟥
31'
Elvio Vera
Sportivo Ameliano
VAR
31'
Elvio Vera
Sportivo Ameliano
33'
A. Falabella
Club Guarani
🟨
45+2'
Diego Fernández
Club Guarani
🟨
45'
Jonathan Benitez Benitez
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
46'
P. Coronel ↔ M. Lopez
Club Guarani
🔄
46'
S. Aranda ↔ L. Ayala
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
63'
I. Ramirez ↔ N. Romero
Club Guarani
🔄
69'
J. Benitez ↔ E. Moreira
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
69'
C. Ocampos ↔ A. Avalos
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
71'
Imanol Segovia
Club Guarani
🔄
75'
J. Llano ↔ Jhon Sanchez
Club Guarani
🔄
75'
A. Paredes ↔ M. Benitez
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
76'
Raúl Cabral
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
78'
R. Cabral ↔ A. Contrera
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
83'
P. Tanda ↔ A. Manzur
Club Guarani
🔄
83'
D. Fernandez ↔ K. Ferreira Gonzalez
Club Guarani
VAR
90+2'
Matías López
Club Guarani

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
68.8%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Club Guarani Win 38.2%
Draw 0%
Sportivo Ameliano Win 61.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Guarani1.07
Sportivo Ameliano1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Guarani Club Guarani
WWDLW
26 GF / 23 GA
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
WLDWL
26 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
10
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
7
3.86
Shots on Goal
3.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Guarani Club Guarani 22 matches
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 20 matches
Club Guarani Statistic Sportivo Ameliano
6 Wins 8
9 Draws 9
7 Losses 3
26 Goals For 26
23 Goals Against 18
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
10 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 7
6 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 4
3.86 Shots On Goal 3.55
10.68 Total Shots 11.45
3.91 Corners 4.05
46.2% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Ameliano. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Club Guarani Analysis

Club Guarani are currently 7 in the standings with 25 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, while the 25:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Rodriguez (3 goals), G. Servio (3 goals), Matías López (3 goals), with creative support from D. Rodriguez (2 assists), N. Romero (2 assists), I. Ramirez (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Ameliano Analysis

Placed 5 with 30 points from 19 outings, Sportivo Ameliano continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 23:16 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Vera (9 goals), C. Ocampos (3 goals), R. Cabral (3 goals), with creative support from R. Cabral (4 assists), A. Paredes (2 assists), E. Vera (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Guarani won 4 times, Sportivo Ameliano won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Club Guarani's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Club Guarani 4-1-4-1 / Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Club Guarani wins 4, draws 8, Sportivo Ameliano wins 3
Stats
Club Guarani Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 11
5 Offsides 1
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Goal 1
10 Shots off Goal 3
4 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
437 Total passes 410
350 Passes accurate 330
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Club Guarani
Formation
Sportivo Ameliano
G. Servio
G. Servio
M. Ramos
M. Ramos
I. Segovia
I. Segovia
S. Zaracho
S. Zaracho
T. Servin
T. Servin
L. Martinez
L. Martinez
D. Fernandez
D. Fernandez
J. Llano
J. Llano
P. Tanda
P. Tanda
P. Coronel
P. Coronel
I. Ramirez
I. Ramirez
M. Martinez
M. Martinez
F. Franco
F. Franco
J. Gonzalez
J. Gonzalez
A. Falabella
A. Falabella
A. Paredes
A. Paredes
J. Benitez
J. Benitez
E. Vera
E. Vera
V. Larralde
V. Larralde
R. Cabral
R. Cabral
S. Aranda
S. Aranda
C. Ocampos
C. Ocampos
Club Guarani 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
G. Servio
G
14
M. Ramos
D
2
I. Segovia
🟨 71'
D
4
S. Zaracho
D
15
T. Servin
D
36
L. Martinez
M
26
D. Fernandez
↓ 83' 🟨 45+2'
M
29
J. Llano
↓ 75'
M
5
P. Tanda
↓ 83'
M
38
P. Coronel
↓ 46' 🟨 21'
M
9
I. Ramirez
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
31
M. Arzamendia
G
11
Jhon Sanchez
↑ 75'
F
8
M. Lopez
↑ 46'
M
19
C. G. Ramirez Perdesen
D
20
R. Quinonez
F
27
M. Gomez
M
7
A. Manzur
↑ 83'
M
3
A. Barbotte
D
25
G. Gomez
M
33
K. Ferreira Gonzalez
↑ 83'
28
N. Romero
↑ 63'
35
J. Centurion
F
Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
23
M. Martinez
G
21
F. Franco
D
26
J. Gonzalez
D
22
A. Falabella
⚽ 33'
D
19
A. Paredes
↓ 75'
D
6
J. Benitez
↓ 69' 🟨 45'
M
10
E. Vera
🟥 31'
M
20
V. Larralde
M
30
R. Cabral
↓ 78' 🟨 76'
M
11
S. Aranda
↓ 46'
M
9
C. Ocampos
↓ 69'
F
Substitutes
35
A. Sanchez
G
34
M. Benitez
↑ 75'
D
27
M. Jacquet
D
8
E. Moreira
↑ 69'
M
5
H. Benitez
D
24
L. Ayala
↑ 46'
M
18
A. Avalos
↑ 69'
17
C. Favero
F
40
A. Contrera
↑ 78'
M
3
F. Baez
D
15
W. Rodriguez
M
7
F. Vera
M
Last matches: Club Guarani
23.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
1
2
L
11.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
0
D
03.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
26.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
2
2
D
18.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
10.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
0
1
L
05.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
01.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Rubio NU
2
0
W
29.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
25.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Olimpia
0
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
3
1
W
15.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
07.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
01.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
26.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
1
2
L
23.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
3
L
19.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
0
0
D
13.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
1
W
08.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
3
3
D
Last matches: Sportivo Ameliano
24.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
2
L
11.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
3
2
W
03.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
20.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
10.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
2
1
W
05.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
2
2
D
31.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
27.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
2
0
W
23.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
2
1
W
19.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
15.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
0
D
09.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
28.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
0
1
L
25.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
0
1
L
19.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
14.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
3
0
W
06.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
31.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
1
0
W
28.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
H2H: Club Guarani vs Sportivo Ameliano
16.05.26
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
15.03.26
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
0
D
12.10.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
1
1
D
31.07.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
4
1
W
18.05.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
3
L
10.03.25
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
2
0
L
12.10.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
02.10.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
1
1
D
07.08.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
2
2
D
03.05.24
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
3
W
10.02.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
01.11.23
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
3
L
17.04.23
H2H
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Guarani
1
1
D
07.03.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
3
1
W
Last matches: Club Guarani
03.05.26
Div
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
0
1
L
18.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
2
1
W
05.04.26
Div
Club Guarani
Libertad Asuncion
1
0
W
29.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Sportivo Trinidense
0
0
D
25.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Olimpia
0
2
L
18.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Deportivo Recoleta
3
1
W
07.03.26
Div
Club Guarani
Cerro Porteno
0
2
L
26.02.26
CON
Club Guarani
Juventud
1
2
L
13.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
3
1
W
01.02.26
Div
Club Guarani
Rubio NU
4
0
W
H2H at home: Club Guarani
16.05.26
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
W
31.07.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
4
1
W
18.05.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
3
L
12.10.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
10.02.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
3
L
07.03.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
3
1
W
Last matches: Sportivo Ameliano
03.05.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Olimpia
1
1
D
24.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Cerro Porteno
1
1
D
10.04.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
2 de Mayo
2
1
W
31.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
2
1
W
23.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Rubio NU
2
1
W
19.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Trinidense
1
1
D
09.03.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Deportivo Recoleta
1
1
D
19.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
1
1
D
06.02.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
1
0
W
28.01.26
Div
Sportivo Ameliano
Libertad Asuncion
0
1
L
H2H away: Sportivo Ameliano
16.05.26
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
0
L
31.07.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
4
1
L
18.05.25
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
3
W
12.10.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
1
1
D
10.02.24
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
0
3
W
07.03.23
H2H
Club Guarani
Sportivo Ameliano
3
1
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 15 4 3 37:17 20 49
W W L D L
2 22 10 9 3 31:22 9 39
W D W W W
3 22 11 5 6 30:22 8 38
W L D L D
4 22 8 9 5 27:21 6 33
L L W D D
5 22 8 8 6 30:24 6 32
W W L L L
6 22 9 4 9 34:26 8 31
L D W W W
7 22 7 8 7 27:23 4 29
L W D L D
8 22 8 4 10 35:32 3 28
W L L W L
9 22 6 5 11 15:26 -11 23
L D L D W
10 22 5 7 10 18:35 -17 22
L D W W D
11 22 5 5 12 24:33 -9 20
L D L D W
12 22 3 6 13 14:41 -27 15
W D W L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)