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15.08.2026 20:30
Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Referee: R. B. Perez
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Match Timeline
FBC Melgar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
L. Pretel
FBC Melgar
⚽
36'
B. Cuesta · Assist: C. Bordacahar
FBC Melgar
VAR
39'
Bernardo Cuesta
FBC Melgar
🔄
46'
J. Ospina ↔ A. Vasquez
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
46'
O. Takeuchi ↔ K. Barrios
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🟨
58'
Matías Zegarra
FBC Melgar
⚽
59'
C. Bordacahar
FBC Melgar
🔄
65'
A. Quintana ↔ B. Guevara
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
65'
K. Sanchez ↔ A. Ayarza
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
65'
M. Zegarra ↔ N. Cabanillas
FBC Melgar
🔄
65'
J. Vidales ↔ J. D'Arrigo
FBC Melgar
🔄
73'
N. Quagliata ↔ M. Portillo
FBC Melgar
🔄
75'
G. Rizzo ↔ F. E. Espinoza Vega
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
83'
J. Escobar ↔ Jesus Alcantar
FBC Melgar
🔄
83'
B. Cuesta ↔ F. Zanelatto
FBC Melgar

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Win 56.9%
Draw 4.8%
FBC Melgar Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1.36
FBC Melgar1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas
WWDLW
31 GF / 27 GA
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar
WLDWL
43 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.29
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
12
BTTS Yes
18
10
Over 2.5
15
4.86
Shots on Goal
4.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 21 matches
FBC Melgar FBC Melgar 26 matches
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Statistic FBC Melgar
12 Wins 12
5 Draws 7
4 Losses 7
31 Goals For 43
27 Goals Against 31
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.29 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
12 BTTS Yes 18
15 Over 1.5 22
10 Over 2.5 15
8 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
4.86 Shots On Goal 4.62
12.71 Total Shots 14.81
4.14 Corners 5.1
48.3% Ball Possession 55.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FBC Melgar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected to line up in 5-3-2 and FBC Melgar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FBC Melgar having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Analysis

Club Deportivo Los Chankas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 34 points after 17 matches. The record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 25:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Jarlin Quintero (5 goals), Franco Torres (3 goals), Oshiro Takeuchi (1 goals), with creative support from Franco Torres (3 assists), Ayrthon Quintana (2 assists), Oshiro Takeuchi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

FBC Melgar Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 28 points from 17 games, FBC Melgar bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 29:20, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Jhonny Vidales (6 goals), Bernardo Cuesta (5 goals), Nicolás Quagliata (4 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Quagliata (7 assists), Matías Zegarra (3 assists), Bernardo Cuesta (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Club Deportivo Los Chankas won 1 times, FBC Melgar won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:15 from Club Deportivo Los Chankas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5-3-2 / FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins 1, draws 2, FBC Melgar wins 3

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 17 8 3 46:19 27 59
W W L D L
2 28 14 8 6 45:33 12 50
D L W D W
3 28 14 6 8 39:25 14 48
L W L W W
4 28 13 8 7 47:31 16 47
D D W W L
5 29 13 7 9 38:46 -8 46
W D D L L
6 29 14 3 12 42:42 0 45
L L W L W
7 28 13 5 10 48:40 8 44
W D L W L
8 28 12 7 9 43:36 7 43
W W L W W
9 28 12 5 11 49:40 9 41
W W W W L
10 29 12 5 12 40:45 -5 41
W W W W W
11 28 10 8 10 30:29 1 38
L D W L W
12 28 9 8 11 43:53 -10 35
D W W D W
13 28 9 6 13 26:31 -5 33
D L W L W
14 28 7 10 11 36:39 -3 31
D L L D L
15 28 7 7 14 41:52 -11 28
D L W L W
16 29 6 8 15 30:44 -14 26
L D W L L
17 28 6 7 15 24:43 -19 25
L L L L L
18 28 4 8 16 32:51 -19 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2