04.05.2026 18:00
Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Referee: Jesus Cartagena, Peru
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Match Timeline
Deportivo Garcilaso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Claudio Torrejón
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
28'
Xavi Moreno
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
37'
Carlos Ramos
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
40'
Ayrthon Quintana
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🟨
45+4'
Erick Canales
Deportivo Garcilaso
52'
B. Da Silva · Assist: K. Sandoval
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
63'
C. Olivares ↔ A. Graneros
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
63'
C. Torrejon ↔ J. Sinisterra
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
63'
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez ↔ J. Portales
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
66'
F. Torres ↔ J. Quintero
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
66'
A. Quintana ↔ B. Guevara
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
76'
K. Sanchez ↔ A. Ayarza
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
76'
O. Takeuchi ↔ K. Barrios
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
80'
D. Gonzales ↔ J. Posito
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
86'
K. Sandoval ↔ S. Villacorta
Deportivo Garcilaso

Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 31.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 35.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
31.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
35.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Win 87.9%
Draw 4.9%
Deportivo Garcilaso Win 7.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1.58
Deportivo Garcilaso1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas
WWDLW
21 GF / 14 GA
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso
WLDWL
12 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
4
4.83
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 12 matches
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 12 matches
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Statistic Deportivo Garcilaso
9 Wins 3
2 Draws 4
1 Losses 5
21 Goals For 12
14 Goals Against 16
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
7 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 4
5 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
4.83 Shots On Goal 4
11.83 Total Shots 12.5
4 Corners 3.58
47.8% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Club Deportivo Los Chankas's more proactive style and Deportivo Garcilaso's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Garcilaso. Club Deportivo Los Chankas arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 29 points compared to Deportivo Garcilaso in 14 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Club Deportivo Los Chankas come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Deportivo Garcilaso in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Garcilaso having the stronger overall control.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 29 points from 12 games, Club Deportivo Los Chankas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 9 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 21:14 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on F. Torres (6 goals), Abdiel Ayarza (5 goals), M. Torres (2 goals), with creative support from A. Quintana (3 assists), M. Torres (2 assists), Adrián Quiroz (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Garcilaso Analysis

Deportivo Garcilaso approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 13 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats with a 12:16 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on B. Da Silva (4 goals), A. Salazar (2 goals), C. Olivares (2 goals), with creative support from B. Da Silva (3 assists), Agustín González (1 assists), C. I. Ramos Rodriguez (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Club Deportivo Los Chankas won 1 times, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:7 from Club Deportivo Los Chankas's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5-3-2 / Deportivo Garcilaso 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins 1, draws 2, Deportivo Garcilaso wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2