BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
17.05.2026 16:30
Jan Breydel Stadion
Referee: Lothar D'hondt, Belgium
Club Brugge KV
Match Timeline
Union St. Gilloise
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Ross Sykes
Union St. Gilloise
31'
H. Vanaken · Assist: C. Tzolis
Club Brugge KV
37'
J. Seys · Assist: H. Siquet
Club Brugge KV
🟨
42'
Christos Tzolis
Club Brugge KV
45'
H. Vanaken · Assist: C. Tzolis
Club Brugge KV
🔄
46'
Guilherme Smith ↔ O. Niang
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
61'
K. Van De Perre ↔ R. Schoofs
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
61'
M. Biondic ↔ M. Fuseini
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
62'
H. Vetlesen ↔ C. Sandra
Club Brugge KV
🟨
67'
Christian Burgess
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
75'
A. Stankovic ↔ R. Onyedika
Club Brugge KV
🔄
75'
N. Tresoldi ↔ R. Vermant
Club Brugge KV
🔄
75'
H. Siquet ↔ J. Spileers
Club Brugge KV
🔄
78'
B. Zeneli ↔ A. Ait El Hadj
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
84'
H. Vanaken ↔ B. Meijer
Club Brugge KV
87'
C. Tzolis · Assist: J. Spileers
Club Brugge KV
🔄
89'
K. Rodriguez ↔ R. Florucz
Union St. Gilloise
VAR
90+2'
Kevin Mac Allister
Union St. Gilloise
90'
C. Forbs · Assist: C. Tzolis
Club Brugge KV

Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Club Brugge KV Win 55.8%
Draw 4.4%
Union St. Gilloise Win 39.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Brugge KV1.64
Union St. Gilloise1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
WWDLW
111 GF / 70 GA
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
WLDWL
69 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
31
BTTS Yes
20
36
Over 2.5
19
6.16
Shots on Goal
5.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV 51 matches
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 45 matches
Club Brugge KV Statistic Union St. Gilloise
33 Wins 27
5 Draws 10
13 Losses 8
111 Goals For 69
70 Goals Against 38
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
31 BTTS Yes 20
41 Over 1.5 32
36 Over 2.5 19
20 Over 3.5 11
13 Clean Sheets 20
7 Failed To Score 9
6.16 Shots On Goal 5.22
16.53 Total Shots 14.29
5.98 Corners 5.27
57.8% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Union St. Gilloise. Club Brugge KV come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Club Brugge KV expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Union St. Gilloise in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union St. Gilloise having the stronger overall control.

Club Brugge KV Analysis

Club Brugge KV come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 63 points after 30 matches. The return of 20 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 59:36, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through N. Tresoldi (15 goals), C. Tzolis (14 goals), R. Vermant (8 goals), with creative support from C. Tzolis (18 assists), C. Forbs (8 assists), M. Diakhon (7 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Union St. Gilloise Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 66 points from 30 games, Union St. Gilloise bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 19 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, with a 50:17 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on K. Rodriguez (9 goals), P. David (9 goals), R. Florucz (7 goals), with creative support from A. Khalaili (5 assists), A. Ait El Hadj (5 assists), A. Zorgane (4 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Club Brugge KV won 5 times, Union St. Gilloise won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Club Brugge KV's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.6%)
Predicted formations: Club Brugge KV 4-2-3-1 / Union St. Gilloise 3-4-3
H2H summary: Club Brugge KV wins 5, draws 5, Union St. Gilloise wins 5

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5 40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs