ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
06.09.2026 20:00
Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda
Club Atlético Güemes
Match Timeline
Gimnasia Y Tiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
L. Gordillo · Assist: J. Aguirre
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
32'
F. Godoy ↔ M. Martinez
Club Atlético Güemes
44'
F. Sivetti · Assist: L. Gordillo
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
46'
W. Juarez ↔ B. Gerez
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
59'
A. Pinto ↔ I. Ortigoza
Club Atlético Güemes
62'
J. Sanchez
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
70'
G. Pugliese ↔ D. Veliz
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
70'
T. Banega ↔ M. Birge
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
70'
J. Rocca ↔ N. Rinaldi
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
81'
L. Montoya ↔ A. Tallura
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
86'
W. Montoya
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
86'
J. Galetto ↔ J. C. Oviedo
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
86'
F. Rojas ↔ W. Montoya
Gimnasia Y Tiro
90'
W. Montoya
Gimnasia Y Tiro

Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.4%
Odds 2.93
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.4%
2.93
BTTS No
50.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.39
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.16
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 0-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Club Atlético Güemes Win 18.8%
Draw 4.8%
Gimnasia Y Tiro Win 76.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Atlético Güemes0.86
Gimnasia Y Tiro1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
WWDLW
22 GF / 44 GA
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
WLDWL
28 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
16
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 27 matches
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 29 matches
Club Atlético Güemes Statistic Gimnasia Y Tiro
5 Wins 11
8 Draws 9
14 Losses 9
22 Goals For 28
44 Goals Against 27
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
16 BTTS Yes 13
22 Over 1.5 18
12 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Gimnasia Y Tiro's more proactive style and Club Atlético Güemes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gimnasia Y Tiro having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Gimnasia Y Tiro. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Gimnasia Y Tiro carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 38 points while Club Atlético Güemes sit 18 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Club Atlético Güemes Analysis

Club Atlético Güemes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 22 points from 26 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 21:43, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis

So far, Gimnasia Y Tiro have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 38 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 27:25 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Club Atlético Güemes won 0 times, Gimnasia Y Tiro won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Club Atlético Güemes's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Club Atlético Güemes wins 0, draws 2, Gimnasia Y Tiro wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 14 12 4 31:15 16 54
D D D W L
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 30 15 4 11 34:28 6 49
D W W L L
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 30 8 9 13 22:29 -7 33
D L W L L
16 30 5 16 9 24:31 -7 31
D D D L W
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation