ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.1%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.78
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.1%
1.40
BTTS Yes
78.8%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.78
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.40
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Club Atlético Güemes Win 33.2%
Draw 16%
Deportivo Maipu Win 50.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Atlético Güemes1.05
Deportivo Maipu1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
WWDLW
15 GF / 23 GA
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WLDWL
23 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
10
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 15 matches
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 17 matches
Club Atlético Güemes Statistic Deportivo Maipu
4 Wins 7
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 7
15 Goals For 23
23 Goals Against 19
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
10 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Maipu's more proactive style and Club Atlético Güemes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Maipu. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Maipu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 21 points while Club Atlético Güemes sit 18 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Maipu having the stronger overall control.

Club Atlético Güemes Analysis

Club Atlético Güemes sit 18 with 16 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 15:23, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

Deportivo Maipu sit 6 with 21 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Club Atlético Güemes won 2 times, Deportivo Maipu won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from Club Atlético Güemes's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
H2H summary: Club Atlético Güemes wins 2, draws 3, Deportivo Maipu wins 0
Last matches: Club Atlético Güemes
31.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Almagro
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Patronato
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Colegiales
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Quilmes
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Midland
1
2
L
26.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atlanta
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
29.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico Mitre
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Agropecuario
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Tristan Suarez
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Chacarita Juniors
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
15.02.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Nueva Chicago
0
1
L
Last matches: Deportivo Maipu
31.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Chacarita Juniors
3
2
W
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Nueva Chicago
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Temperley
5
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Almagro
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Patronato
0
0
D
12.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Colegiales
3
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Quilmes
1
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Godoy Cruz
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Midland
0
1
L
17.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Atlanta
1
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
San Martin Tucuman
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
1
W
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Agropecuario
1
2
L
05.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Maipu
Deportivo Riestra
0
1
L
25.01.26
Fri
Deportivo Maipu
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
H2H: Club Atlético Güemes vs Deportivo Maipu
27.07.25
H2H
Deportivo Maipu
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
23.03.25
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
1
1
D
07.09.24
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
4
0
W
22.04.24
H2H
Deportivo Maipu
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
03.07.22
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
Last matches: Club Atlético Güemes
24.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Patronato
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Quilmes
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atlanta
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
San Martin Tucuman
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Atletico Mitre
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Agropecuario
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Chacarita Juniors
2
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Club Atlético Güemes
Nueva Chicago
0
1
L
H2H at home: Club Atlético Güemes
23.03.25
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
1
1
D
07.09.24
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
4
0
W
03.07.22
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
Last matches: Deportivo Maipu
23.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Temperley
5
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Patronato
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Quilmes
1
2
L
17.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Atlanta
1
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
San Martin Tucuman
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Maipu
Agropecuario
1
2
L
05.02.26
Cop
Deportivo Maipu
Deportivo Riestra
0
1
L
25.01.26
Fri
Deportivo Maipu
Rangers de Talca
1
0
W
H2H away: Deportivo Maipu
23.03.25
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
1
1
D
07.09.24
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
4
0
L
03.07.22
H2H
Club Atlético Güemes
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.55
Draw 2.79
Home 2.44
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.32
Draw 1.95
Home 3.18
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.25 1.40
Over 1.5 1.56
Over 1.75 1.73
Over 2.0 2.05
Over 2.25 2.42
Over 2.5 2.78
Over 3.5 5.51
Under 0.5 6.02
Under 1.25 2.91
Under 1.5 2.45
Under 1.75 2.13
Under 2.0 1.80
Under 2.25 1.58
Under 2.5 1.45
Under 3.5 1.15
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.80
Home 2.35
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 1.91
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.10
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.53
Over 2.5 2.70
Over 3.5 5.50
Over 4.5 13.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 6.00
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.44
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 4.5 1.04
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.36
Draw 2.63
Home 2.37
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.61
Draw 1.73
Home 3.24
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.88
Draw 2.07
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 0.75 1.13
Over 1.0 1.17
Over 1.25 1.39
Over 1.5 1.57
Over 1.75 1.74
Over 2.0 1.99
Over 2.25 2.33
Over 2.5 2.62
Over 2.75 3.20
Over 3.0 4.33
Over 3.25 4.70
Over 3.5 5.10
Over 3.75 6.85
Over 4.0 8.90
Over 4.5 11.50
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 5.05
Under 0.75 4.54
Under 1.0 4.00
Under 1.25 2.76
Under 1.5 2.25
Under 1.75 1.98
Under 2.0 1.66
Under 2.25 1.48
Under 2.5 1.38
Under 2.75 1.26
Under 3.0 1.14
Under 3.25 1.12
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 3.75 1.06
Under 4.0 1.02
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.95
Home 2.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 1.95
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.65
Draw 2.20
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.0 1.15
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.0 1.93
Over 2.5 2.55
Over 3.0 4.10
Over 3.25 4.50
Over 3.5 4.80
Under 0.5 5.75
Under 1.0 4.60
Under 1.5 2.35
Under 2.0 1.76
Under 2.5 1.43
Under 3.0 1.18
Under 3.25 1.16
Under 3.5 1.14

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 4 3 23:13 10 28
?
1 16 9 3 4 21:10 11 30
?
2 16 6 8 2 12:4 8 26
?
2 15 8 3 4 21:18 3 27
?
3 15 6 8 1 13:8 5 26
?
3 16 6 8 2 15:10 5 26
?
4 15 6 7 2 18:13 5 25
?
4 16 7 4 5 17:11 6 25
?
5 15 7 4 4 15:11 4 25
?
5 16 7 4 5 14:12 2 25
?
6 15 6 5 4 20:15 5 23
?
6 15 6 3 6 22:18 4 21
?
7 15 5 7 3 16:11 5 22
?
7 15 5 6 4 14:12 2 21
?
8 16 4 8 4 12:12 0 20
?
8 15 5 5 5 15:16 -1 20
?
9 15 5 5 5 9:10 -1 20
?
9 16 5 5 6 16:18 -2 20
?
10 16 5 5 6 10:13 -3 20
?
10 15 4 8 3 12:15 -3 20
?
11 16 4 8 4 12:17 -5 20
?
11 14 4 6 4 13:12 1 18
?
12 16 5 3 8 11:15 -4 18
?
12 15 5 3 7 14:17 -3 18
?
13 15 3 8 4 16:15 1 17
?
13 15 4 6 5 10:13 -3 18
?
14 15 4 4 7 13:18 -5 16
?
14 15 4 5 6 14:11 3 17
?
15 15 3 6 6 12:16 -4 15
?
15 16 4 5 7 12:16 -4 17
?
16 15 3 6 6 8:15 -7 15
?
16 15 4 5 6 12:17 -5 17
?
17 16 3 5 8 10:16 -6 14
?
17 16 4 4 8 11:18 -7 16
?
18 15 1 6 8 11:20 -9 9
?
18 15 4 4 7 15:23 -8 16
?