ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
07.06.2026 19:00
Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda
Club Atlético Güemes
Match Timeline
Deportivo Maipu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
W. Juarez
Club Atlético Güemes
🟨
36'
L. Faggioli
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
61'
A. Bordon ↔ R. Arnay
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
61'
G. Pugliese ↔ G. Esposito
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
67'
J. Giacone ↔ L. Cabrera
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
68'
F. Melillan ↔ F. Rizzi
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
77'
W. Juarez ↔ G. Baier
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
77'
T. Amilivia ↔ S. Farrera
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
78'
M. Bonfigli ↔ J. Vera
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
89'
J. Gobetto ↔ N. Fernandez
Deportivo Maipu
🔄
89'
J. de la Reta ↔ T. Silva
Deportivo Maipu
90'
A. R. Aguero Gimenez
Club Atlético Güemes

Club Atlético Güemes vs Deportivo Maipu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Club Atlético Güemes Win 33.2%
Draw 16%
Deportivo Maipu Win 50.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Atlético Güemes1.05
Deportivo Maipu1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
WWDLW
15 GF / 23 GA
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu
WLDWL
23 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
10
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 15 matches
Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 17 matches
Club Atlético Güemes Statistic Deportivo Maipu
4 Wins 7
4 Draws 3
7 Losses 7
15 Goals For 23
23 Goals Against 19
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
10 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportivo Maipu's more proactive style and Club Atlético Güemes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Maipu. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Maipu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 21 points while Club Atlético Güemes sit 18 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Deportivo Maipu having the stronger overall control.

Club Atlético Güemes Analysis

Club Atlético Güemes sit 18 with 16 points after 15 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 15:23, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Maipu Analysis

Deportivo Maipu sit 6 with 21 points after 15 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, while the 22:18 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Club Atlético Güemes won 3 times, Deportivo Maipu won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:4 from Club Atlético Güemes's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.1%)
Predicted formations: Club Atlético Güemes - / Deportivo Maipu 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Club Atlético Güemes wins 3, draws 3, Deportivo Maipu wins 0

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 14 12 4 31:15 16 54
D D D W L
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 30 15 4 11 34:28 6 49
D W W L L
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 30 8 9 13 22:29 -7 33
D L W L L
16 30 5 16 9 24:31 -7 31
D D D L W
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation