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18.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda
Club Atlético Güemes
Match Timeline
Almagro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
15'
T. Macies ↔ J. Orlando
Almagro
⚽
15'
S. Farrera · Assist: G. Pugliese
Club Atlético Güemes
⚽
21'
E. Martinez · Assist: F. De La Vega
Almagro
🔄
26'
S. Chamorro ↔ J. Fernandes
Almagro
🟨
28'
J. Orlando
Almagro
🟨
64'
G. Asis
Almagro
⚽
70'
C. Leineker · Assist: J. Carranza
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
73'
E. Martinez ↔ F. Bustamante
Almagro
🔄
73'
F. De La Vega ↔ T. Dornell
Almagro
🔄
73'
J. Bustos ↔ C. Salto
Almagro
🔄
76'
S. Farrera ↔ A. Pinto
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
84'
J. Carranza ↔ L. Guinazu
Club Atlético Güemes
🟨
88'
F. Bustamante
Almagro
🔄
90+2'
G. Pugliese ↔ B. Gerez
Club Atlético Güemes

Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Club Atlético Güemes Win 7.7%
Draw 7.7%
Almagro Win 84.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Atlético Güemes0.89
Almagro1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
L L L L L
0 GF / 9 GA
Almagro Almagro
W W L L D
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.7
Average Goals Scored
0.91
1.7
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
17
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 33 matches
Almagro Almagro 33 matches
Club Atlético Güemes Statistic Almagro
5 Wins 11
8 Draws 8
20 Losses 14
23 Goals For 30
56 Goals Against 39
0.7 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
1.7 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
17 BTTS Yes 14
27 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 9
14 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Almagro. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Almagro having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Club Atlético Güemes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Club Atlético Güemes Analysis

Club Atlético Güemes approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 23 points from 32 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 23:54, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Almagro Analysis

So far, Almagro have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 41 points from 33 matches. The record of 11 wins, 8 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 30:39 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Club Atlético Güemes won 2 times, Almagro won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Club Atlético Güemes's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.63 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (92.4%)
H2H summary: Club Atlético Güemes wins 2, draws 3, Almagro wins 3

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 16 16 4 34:16 18 64
D D W D D
2 36 19 5 12 42:34 8 62
D W L W W
3 36 16 13 7 43:31 12 61
D L D W W
4 36 16 10 10 53:49 4 58
L L W D L
5 36 15 10 11 43:29 14 55
D W L W D
6 36 14 10 12 43:34 9 52
D W L D W
7 36 14 10 12 36:32 4 52
D D W D W
8 36 14 10 12 37:35 2 52
L L W D L
9 36 13 12 11 42:36 6 51
W D D D L
10 36 11 14 11 39:37 2 47
D L W L W
11 36 12 11 13 29:35 -6 47
D D W L L
12 36 12 10 14 31:39 -8 46
W W L W D
13 36 12 9 15 33:30 3 45
W W L L D
14 36 12 6 18 29:35 -6 42
W W W L W
15 36 11 9 16 33:44 -11 42
L D L W W
16 36 7 17 12 29:35 -6 38
D L L W L
17 36 9 10 17 25:36 -11 37
L D L L L
18 36 6 9 21 28:62 -34 27
D L W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation