ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
29.08.2026 19:00
Estadio Municipal Eva Peron
Ciudad de Bolívar
Match Timeline
Defensores De Belgrano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
45+1'
I. Gutierrez ↔ P. Moyano
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
49'
G. Sanchez
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
60'
A. Gonzalez
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
61'
L. Ciccolini ↔ D. Garcia
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
67'
G. Sanchez ↔ M. Gutierrez
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
67'
K. Caraballo ↔ L. Villegas
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
72'
J. De Tomasso
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
76'
A. Benitez ↔ N. Borsotti
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
76'
J. Ardaiz ↔ E. Gonzalez
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
80'
M. Rodriguez
Defensores De Belgrano
🔄
82'
F. Mucignat ↔ F. Ilarregui
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
86'
A. Paredes
Ciudad de Bolívar
🟨
90'
D. Garcia
Defensores De Belgrano
🟨
90+2'
Ciudad de Bolívar
Ciudad de Bolívar
🔄
90+2'
A. Gonzalez ↔ A. Carrion
Ciudad de Bolívar
90'
N. Yeri
Ciudad de Bolívar

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Defensores De Belgrano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 76.5%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.33
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
76.5%
1.40
BTTS No
60.3%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.33
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.44
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.75
Correct Score 2-0
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Ciudad de Bolívar Win 51.9%
Draw 24.6%
Defensores De Belgrano Win 23.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ciudad de Bolívar0.85
Defensores De Belgrano0.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
WWDLW
22 GF / 24 GA
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano
WLDWL
16 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.64
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
11
BTTS Yes
9
6
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 27 matches
Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 25 matches
Ciudad de Bolívar Statistic Defensores De Belgrano
8 Wins 5
11 Draws 11
8 Losses 9
22 Goals For 16
24 Goals Against 23
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.64
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
11 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 14
6 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 0
12 Clean Sheets 10
10 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ciudad de Bolívar have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Defensores De Belgrano. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Defensores De Belgrano having the stronger overall control.

Ciudad de Bolívar Analysis

Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8 with 34 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 21:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Defensores De Belgrano Analysis

Defensores De Belgrano sit 14 with 26 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 11 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 16:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ciudad de Bolívar won 0 times, Defensores De Belgrano won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Ciudad de Bolívar's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (76.5%)
Predicted formations: Ciudad de Bolívar 4-4-2 / Defensores De Belgrano -
H2H summary: Ciudad de Bolívar wins 0, draws 1, Defensores De Belgrano wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation