PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: M. Palomino
Cienciano
Match Timeline
UCV Moquegua
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
34'
Y. Zapata · Assist: C. Mejia
UCV Moquegua
🔄
46'
G. Aguirre ↔ N. Bandiera
Cienciano
🔄
46'
R. Salazar ↔ C. Souza Espana
Cienciano
🔄
46'
S. Cavero ↔ M. Martinich
Cienciano
46'
N. Bandiera · Assist: A. Hohberg
Cienciano
🟨
48'
Marcos Martinich
Cienciano
58'
C. Garces · Assist: A. Hohberg
Cienciano
🔄
66'
M. Succar ↔ A. Robles
Cienciano
🔄
66'
C. Mejia ↔ J. Collazos
UCV Moquegua
🔄
67'
A. Yovera ↔ C. Nunez
Cienciano
🟨
69'
Allonso Davila
UCV Moquegua
🔄
82'
A. Davila ↔ E. Montenegro
UCV Moquegua
🔄
82'
Y. Zapata ↔ D. Ramirez
UCV Moquegua
🔄
82'
K. Moreno ↔ J. Jimenez
UCV Moquegua
🔄
90'
A. Perleche ↔ J. Lopez
UCV Moquegua

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 87.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 98.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
87.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
86.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
98.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Cienciano Win 87.7%
Draw 0%
UCV Moquegua Win 12.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cienciano2
UCV Moquegua1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cienciano Cienciano
WWDLW
23 GF / 13 GA
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua
WLDWL
11 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
1
1.3
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
8
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
7
6.67
Shots on Goal
3.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cienciano Cienciano 10 matches
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua 11 matches
Cienciano Statistic UCV Moquegua
6 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
2 Losses 6
23 Goals For 11
13 Goals Against 17
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.3 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
8 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 5
6.67 Shots On Goal 3.4
14.78 Total Shots 9.7
4.67 Corners 3.4
50.7% Ball Possession 38.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Cienciano's more proactive style and UCV Moquegua's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward UCV Moquegua. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cienciano expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and UCV Moquegua in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UCV Moquegua having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cienciano arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 19 points compared to UCV Moquegua in 8 on 13, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Cienciano come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cienciano Analysis

Cienciano approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 19 points after 9 outings. With 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 22:12, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by C. Garces (8 goals), A. Hohberg (6 goals), N. Bandiera (4 goals), with creative support from A. Hohberg (3 assists), C. Souza Espana (2 assists), G. Aguirre (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

UCV Moquegua Analysis

So far, UCV Moquegua have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 13 points from 10 matches. The record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 8:15 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Edgar Lastre (4 goals), J. Collazos (3 goals), K. Ruiz (2 goals), with creative support from Edgar Lastre (2 assists), N. Chavez (2 assists), Ricardo Chipao  (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Cienciano won 1 times, UCV Moquegua won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Cienciano's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cienciano 3-4-2-1 / UCV Moquegua 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cienciano wins 1, draws 0, UCV Moquegua wins 0
Stats
Cienciano Cienciano
UCV Moquegua UCV Moquegua
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
0
5 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 1
59% Ball Possession 41%
23 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 3
12 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 0
13 Shots insidebox 1
10 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
380 Total passes 277
289 Passes accurate 182
1.92 expected_goals 0.14
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cienciano
Formation
UCV Moquegua
G. Falcon
G. Falcon
K. Becerra
K. Becerra
R. Aguilar
R. Aguilar
A. Yovera
A. Yovera
R. Salazar
R. Salazar
H. Caparo
H. Caparo
G. Aguirre
G. Aguirre
S. Cavero
S. Cavero
A. Hohberg
🎯
A. Hohberg
M. Succar
M. Succar
C. Garces
C. Garces
C. Grados
C. Grados
A. Perleche
A. Perleche
J. Granda
J. Granda
C. Enciso
C. Enciso
K. Moreno
K. Moreno
N. Chavez
N. Chavez
R. Chipao
R. Chipao
E. Lastre
E. Lastre
C. Mejia
🎯
C. Mejia
A. Davila
A. Davila
Y. Zapata
Y. Zapata
Cienciano 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
G. Falcon
G
3
K. Becerra
D
26
R. Aguilar
D
27
A. Yovera
↓ 67'
D
25
R. Salazar
↓ 46'
M
39
H. Caparo
M
8
G. Aguirre
↓ 46'
M
14
S. Cavero
↓ 46'
M
10
A. Hohberg
🎯 46' 🎯 58'
F
19
M. Succar
↓ 66'
F
21
C. Garces
⚽ 58'
F
Substitutes
31
I. Espinoza Gomes
G
17
R. Sandoval
F
11
N. Bandiera
⚽ 46' ↑ 46'
F
7
C. Souza Espana
↑ 46'
M
16
M. Martinich
↑ 46' 🟨 48'
D
18
D. La Torre
F
13
C. Nunez
↑ 67'
D
29
A. Robles
↑ 66'
M
37
A. Rojas
M
UCV Moquegua 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Grados
G
4
A. Perleche
↓ 90'
D
30
J. Granda
D
3
C. Enciso
24
K. Moreno
↓ 82'
D
10
N. Chavez
25
R. Chipao
M
7
E. Lastre
M
8
C. Mejia
🎯 34' ↓ 66'
M
16
A. Davila
↓ 82' 🟨 69'
M
17
Y. Zapata
⚽ 34' ↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
29
R. Figueroa
G
88
R. Torres
M
13
J. Lojas
90
J. Collazos
↑ 66'
F
22
E. Montenegro
↑ 82'
D
20
D. Ramirez
↑ 82'
M
14
C. Ramirez
28
J. Lopez
↑ 90'
M
6
J. Jimenez
↑ 82'
Last matches: Cienciano
31.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
ADT
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Cusco
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Boys
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
3
2
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Universitario
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
6
1
W
31.01.26
Pri
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Cienciano
Bolívar
1
1
D
Last matches: UCV Moquegua
29.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
23.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
ADT
2
2
D
03.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
2
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
3
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
1
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
0
0
D
23.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
4
L
06.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
2
3
L
02.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
H2H: Cienciano vs UCV Moquegua
20.04.26
H2H
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
Last matches: Cienciano
31.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
ADT
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
3
0
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Boys
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
6
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Cienciano
Bolívar
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cienciano
20.04.26
H2H
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
Last matches: UCV Moquegua
29.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
03.05.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
15.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
0
3
L
01.03.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
4
L
02.02.26
Pri
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
H2H away: UCV Moquegua
20.04.26
H2H
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
2
1
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)