31.05.2026 22:00
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: Jordi Espinoza, Peru
Cienciano
Match Timeline
Sporting Cristal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
Gabriel · Assist: Y. Yotun
Sporting Cristal
35'
R. Lutiger
Cienciano
VAR
41'
Claudio Nunez
Cienciano
🟨
44'
Gustavo Cazonatti
Sporting Cristal
45'
M. Castro
Sporting Cristal
🔄
46'
G. Aguirre ↔ G. Barreto
Cienciano
🔄
46'
H. Caparo ↔ M. Succar
Cienciano
🔄
46'
M. Martinich ↔ A. Robles
Cienciano
🟨
48'
Gustavo Cazonatti
Sporting Cristal
🟥
48'
Gustavo Cazonatti
Sporting Cristal
🔄
53'
L. Iberico ↔ L. Diaz
Sporting Cristal
61'
M. Succar · Assist: C. Garces
Cienciano
🔄
65'
M. Tavara ↔ I. Wisdom
Sporting Cristal
69'
A. Hohberg · Assist: M. Succar
Cienciano
🔄
77'
Gabriel ↔ D. Otoya
Sporting Cristal
🔄
77'
M. Castro ↔ C. Cabellos
Sporting Cristal
🔄
78'
N. Bandiera ↔ S. D. Arias Fierro
Cienciano
🔄
78'
L. Sosa ↔ J. Cuenca
Sporting Cristal
🔄
88'
A. Hohberg ↔ R. Salazar
Cienciano

Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 70.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 14.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 23.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
70.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
14.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
23.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cienciano Win 70.9%
Draw 9.3%
Sporting Cristal Win 19.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cienciano1.74
Sporting Cristal1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cienciano Cienciano
WWDLW
32 GF / 21 GA
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal
WLDWL
39 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
12
BTTS Yes
18
11
Over 2.5
17
5.88
Shots on Goal
4.81

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cienciano Cienciano 17 matches
Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 27 matches
Cienciano Statistic Sporting Cristal
9 Wins 9
4 Draws 6
4 Losses 12
32 Goals For 39
21 Goals Against 41
1.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
12 BTTS Yes 18
14 Over 1.5 23
11 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 10
2 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 4
5.88 Shots On Goal 4.81
14.94 Total Shots 14.73
5.38 Corners 5.35
52.4% Ball Possession 57.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cienciano's more proactive style and Sporting Cristal's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sporting Cristal. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cienciano expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sporting Cristal in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sporting Cristal having the stronger overall control. Cienciano arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 30 points compared to Sporting Cristal in 12 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Cienciano Analysis

Cienciano come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 30 points from 16 matches. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 31:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through C. Garces (10 goals), A. Hohberg (9 goals), N. Bandiera (6 goals), with creative support from A. Hohberg (5 assists), C. Souza Espana (3 assists), G. Aguirre (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Sporting Cristal Analysis

From their first 16 matches, Sporting Cristal have collected 19 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, while the 26:27 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Felipe Vizeu (5 goals), L. Iberico (4 goals), Gustavo Cazonatti (3 goals), with creative support from Y. Yotun (5 assists), I. Avila (3 assists), M. Castro (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cienciano won 3 times, Sporting Cristal won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:25 from Cienciano's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.42 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)
Predicted formations: Cienciano 4-4-2 / Sporting Cristal 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cienciano wins 3, draws 3, Sporting Cristal wins 6

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2