Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cienciano
18 matches
FBC Melgar
22 matches
| Cienciano | Statistic | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 4 | Losses | 6 |
| 35 | Goals For | 36 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.94 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.64 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.94 | Shots On Goal | 4.53 |
| 15.59 | Total Shots | 13.76 |
| 5.41 | Corners | 4.88 |
| 52.6% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cienciano expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FBC Melgar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FBC Melgar having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FBC Melgar. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Cienciano come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 33 points from 17 matches. The record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 34:22 goal balance, points toward poor form . Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Hohberg (10 goals), C. Garces (10 goals), N. Bandiera (6 goals), with creative support from A. Hohberg (5 assists), C. Souza Espana (3 assists), C. Garces (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
FBC Melgar arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 28 points after 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, while the 29:20 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on B. Cuesta (8 goals), J. Vidales (7 goals), M. Zegarra (3 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (8 assists), B. Cuesta (4 assists), M. Zegarra (4 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cienciano won 1 times, FBC Melgar won 11 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:24 from Cienciano's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Cienciano
5
4
7
9
1
6
Lineups
Cienciano
Universitario
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
ADT
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Cusco
Cienciano
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Universitario
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
Bolívar
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Universitario
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Cusco
FBC Melgar
ADT
FBC Melgar
Atletico Grau
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Universitario
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
ADT
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
Bolívar
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
LDU de Quito
FBC Melgar
Juan Pablo II College
FBC Melgar
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
ADT
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
FC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Sporting Cristal
FBC Melgar
Universitario
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Cienciano
Home
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
FBC Melgar
Away
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
D
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
W
D
L
D
|