PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: J. Espinoza
Cienciano
Match Timeline
Deportivo Garcilaso
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
7'
F. Arancibia
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
7'
S. D. Arias Fierro
Cienciano
🟨
13'
A. Salazar
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟨
30'
G. Barreto
Cienciano
🟨
31'
B. Da Silva
Deportivo Garcilaso
41'
B. Da Silva · Assist: B. Da Silva
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
46'
G. Barreto ↔ N. Bandiera
Cienciano
🔄
46'
C. Souza Espana ↔ M. Succar
Cienciano
VAR
53'
N. Bandiera
Cienciano
🔄
63'
C. Olivares ↔ F. Castelli
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
63'
K. Sandoval ↔ A. Ascues
Deportivo Garcilaso
🟥
68'
M. Succar
Cienciano
🟨
71'
C. I. Ramos Rodriguez
Deportivo Garcilaso
🔄
84'
A. Robles ↔ H. Caparo
Cienciano
🔄
84'
A. Hohberg ↔ D. La Torre
Cienciano
🟨
87'
A. Gonzalez
Deportivo Garcilaso

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.1%
2.21
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.86
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.2%
1.34
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Cienciano Win 53.1%
Draw 15.7%
Deportivo Garcilaso Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cienciano1.42
Deportivo Garcilaso1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cienciano Cienciano
WWDLW
38 GF / 29 GA
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso
WLDWL
26 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
14
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
7
5.71
Shots on Goal
4.05

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cienciano Cienciano 22 matches
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 21 matches
Cienciano Statistic Deportivo Garcilaso
11 Wins 10
4 Draws 5
7 Losses 6
38 Goals For 26
29 Goals Against 20
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
14 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 7
8 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 8
5 Failed To Score 5
5.71 Shots On Goal 4.05
15.33 Total Shots 11.52
5.14 Corners 3.48
52.1% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Deportivo Garcilaso. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cienciano have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Cienciano Analysis

Cienciano sit 3 with 33 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 34:22 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Alejandro Hohberg (5 goals), Carlos Garcés (3 goals), Matías Succar (3 goals), with creative support from Alejandro Hohberg (2 assists), Carlos Garcés (2 assists), Cristian Souza (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Deportivo Garcilaso Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Deportivo Garcilaso have collected 26 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:18 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Christopher Olivares (6 goals), Beto Da Silva (4 goals), Francisco Arancibia (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Arancibia (3 assists), Christopher Olivares (2 assists), Kevin Sandoval (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cienciano won 3 times, Deportivo Garcilaso won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from Cienciano's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.3%)
Predicted formations: Cienciano 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Garcilaso 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cienciano wins 3, draws 1, Deportivo Garcilaso wins 4
Stats
Cienciano Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
0
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 1
10 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 2
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Goal 0
7 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 3
7 Shots outsidebox 5
0 Goalkeeper Saves 4
325 Total passes 283
239 Passes accurate 183
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 1 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cienciano
Formation
Deportivo Garcilaso
Gonzalo Falcón
Gonzalo Falcón
Carlos Cabello
Carlos Cabello
Maximiliano Amondarain
Maximiliano Amondarain
Kevin Becerra
Kevin Becerra
Marcos Martinich
Marcos Martinich
Santiago Arias
Santiago Arias
Ademar Robles
Ademar Robles
Cristian Souza
Cristian Souza
Alejandro Hohberg
Alejandro Hohberg
Gerson Barreto
Gerson Barreto
Carlos Garcés
Carlos Garcés
Patrick Zubczuk
Patrick Zubczuk
Erick Canales
Erick Canales
Aldair Salazar
Aldair Salazar
Agustin Gomez
Agustin Gomez
Xavi Moreno
Xavi Moreno
Carlos Ramos
Carlos Ramos
Agustín González
Agustín González
Francisco Arancibia
Francisco Arancibia
Kevin Sandoval
Kevin Sandoval
Beto Da Silva
Beto Da Silva
Christopher Olivares
Christopher Olivares
Cienciano 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Gonzalo Falcón
G
22
Carlos Cabello
D
4
Maximiliano Amondarain
D
3
Kevin Becerra
D
16
Marcos Martinich
D
5
Santiago Arias
🟨 7'
M
29
Ademar Robles
↓ 84'
M
7
Cristian Souza
↓ 46'
M
10
Alejandro Hohberg
↓ 84'
M
88
Gerson Barreto
↓ 46' 🟨 30'
M
21
Carlos Garcés
F
Substitutes
11
Neri Bandiera
↑ 46'
F
19
Matías Succar
↑ 46' 🟥 68'
F
39
Henry Caparó
↑ 84'
M
18
Didier La Torre
↑ 84'
F
31
Ítalo Espinoza
G
26
Rotceh Aguilar
D
14
Sebastian Cavero
D
27
Alonso Yovera
D
8
Gonzalo Aguirre
M
Deportivo Garcilaso 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Patrick Zubczuk
G
55
Erick Canales
D
2
Aldair Salazar
🟨 13'
D
19
Agustin Gomez
D
23
Xavi Moreno
D
18
Carlos Ramos
🟨 71'
M
8
Agustín González
🟨 87'
M
11
Francisco Arancibia
🟨 7'
M
10
Kevin Sandoval
↓ 63'
M
30
Beto Da Silva
M
24
Christopher Olivares
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
27
Adrián Ascues
↑ 63'
M
9
Facundo Castelli
↑ 63'
F
31
Juniors Barbieri
G
33
Samir Villacorta
D
22
Jefferson Portales
D
20
Anthony Rosell
D
35
Joao Mendoza
M
17
Sharif Ramírez
F
6
Cesar Flores
M
Last matches: Cienciano
06.08.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
0
1
L
02.08.26
Pri
Cienciano
Universitario
2
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
ADT
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Cusco
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Boys
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
3
2
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Universitario
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
6
1
W
Last matches: Deportivo Garcilaso
09.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
2
0
W
02.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
1
0
W
27.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
2
1
W
17.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
4
1
W
25.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
2
1
W
04.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
1
0
W
23.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
3
2
W
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
08.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
2
3
L
23.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
1
0
W
09.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
H2H: Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso
21.06.26
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
W
28.02.26
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
2
3
W
02.08.25
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
2
1
L
23.02.25
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
3
L
21.09.24
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
1
0
L
20.04.24
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
2
L
25.09.23
H2H
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
0
3
W
07.05.23
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
Last matches: Cienciano
02.08.26
Pri
Cienciano
Universitario
2
0
W
18.07.26
Pri
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
16.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
ADT
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
3
0
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Boys
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
6
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
Cienciano
Bolívar
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cienciano
21.06.26
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
W
23.02.25
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
3
L
20.04.24
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
2
L
07.05.23
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
Last matches: Deportivo Garcilaso
02.08.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
1
0
W
17.07.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
0
1
L
25.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
0
W
23.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
1
4
L
18.04.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
1
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
08.03.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
0
1
L
23.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
0
1
L
09.02.26
Pri
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
H2H away: Deportivo Garcilaso
21.06.26
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
L
23.02.25
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
3
W
20.04.24
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
2
W
07.05.23
H2H
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.83
Draw 3.34
Home 2.21
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.31
Draw 2.14
Home 2.68
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.31
Over 2.0 1.40
Over 2.25 1.63
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 2.75 2.09
Over 3.0 2.47
Over 3.25 2.78
Under 1.75 3.08
Under 2.0 2.69
Under 2.25 2.16
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 2.75 1.67
Under 3.0 1.47
Under 3.25 1.37
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 3.20
Home 2.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.25
Draw 2.20
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.50
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.25
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 11.00
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.33
Under 4.5 1.12
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.93
Draw 3.36
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.62
Draw 2.09
Home 2.90
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.26
Draw 2.45
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.23
Over 1.75 1.30
Over 2.0 1.39
Over 2.25 1.64
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 2.75 2.08
Over 3.0 2.46
Over 3.25 2.80
Over 3.5 3.08
Over 3.75 3.85
Over 4.0 5.25
Over 4.25 5.67
Over 4.5 6.05
Over 4.75 7.90
Over 5.0 9.20
Over 5.5 11.50
Over 6.5 26.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 9.95
Under 0.75 8.65
Under 1.0 8.90
Under 1.25 4.80
Under 1.5 3.42
Under 1.75 3.09
Under 2.0 2.66
Under 2.25 2.18
Under 2.5 1.88
Under 2.75 1.66
Under 3.0 1.45
Under 3.25 1.36
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 3.75 1.20
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 4.75 1.02
Under 5.0 1.02
Under 5.5 1.04
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 3.30
Home 2.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.30
Draw 2.23
Home 2.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.50
Home 2.70
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.63
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 2.75 2.08
Over 3.0 2.48
Over 3.25 2.80
Over 3.5 3.10
Over 3.75 3.75
Over 4.0 5.00
Over 4.25 5.30
Over 4.5 5.60
Under 1.5 3.35
Under 2.0 2.63
Under 2.25 2.08
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 2.75 1.64
Under 3.0 1.45
Under 3.25 1.37
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 3.75 1.21
Under 4.0 1.12
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.10

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 3 2 0 9:5 4 11
W D W D W
2 5 3 1 1 9:4 5 10
W D W L W
3 5 3 1 1 10:6 4 10
W L D W W
4 5 3 1 1 5:2 3 10
D W W W L
5 5 3 1 1 8:7 1 10
W D L W W
6 5 3 0 2 12:7 5 9
W L W L W
7 5 2 2 1 5:3 2 8
D D W W L
8 5 2 1 2 7:7 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
W D L L W
10 5 2 1 2 7:9 -2 7
D W L W L
11 5 2 1 2 6:9 -3 7
L D W L W
12 5 1 2 2 9:9 0 5
L W L D D
13 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
L D L W D
14 5 1 1 3 9:11 -2 4
L W L L D
15 5 0 4 1 3:5 -2 4
D L D D D
16 5 1 1 3 3:6 -3 4
D L W L L
17 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4 2
D D L L L
18 5 0 2 3 3:9 -6 2
L D L D L
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)