31.08.2026 00:00
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Referee: Julio Cesar Quiroz, Peru
Cienciano
Match Timeline
Cusco
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
5'
Iván Colman
Cusco
10'
L. Colitto · Assist: D. Soto
Cusco
🔄
46'
C. Nunez ↔ A. Yovera
Cienciano
47'
C. Garces · Assist: K. Becerra
Cienciano
59'
S. D. Arias Fierro
Cusco
63'
Carlos Garcés
Cienciano
🔄
73'
C. Montano ↔ O. Valenzuela
Cusco
🔄
73'
F. Callejo ↔ J. Manzaneda
Cusco
🔄
73'
N. Silva ↔ J. Tevez
Cusco
🟨
78'
Oswaldo Valenzuela
Cusco
🔄
81'
L. Colitto ↔ C. Diez
Cusco
🟨
84'
Oswaldo Valenzuela
Cusco
🟥
84'
Oswaldo Valenzuela
Cusco
🔄
86'
A. Robles ↔ G. Aguirre
Cienciano
🔄
86'
G. Barreto ↔ R. Sandoval
Cienciano
🟨
90+4'
Santiago Arias
Cienciano

Cienciano vs Cusco Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58%
Odds 2.12
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58%
2.12
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.75
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.9%
1.38
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Cienciano Win 58%
Draw 21.3%
Cusco Win 20.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cienciano1.62
Cusco1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cienciano Cienciano
WWDLW
39 GF / 34 GA
Cusco Cusco
WLDWL
39 GF / 48 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.42
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
15
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
17
5.61
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cienciano Cienciano 24 matches
Cusco Cusco 30 matches
Cienciano Statistic Cusco
11 Wins 11
5 Draws 5
8 Losses 14
39 Goals For 39
34 Goals Against 48
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.3
1.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
15 BTTS Yes 19
19 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 4
6 Failed To Score 7
5.61 Shots On Goal 4.17
15.35 Total Shots 11.48
5.3 Corners 3.69
52.1% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Cienciano's more proactive style and Cusco's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cienciano expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cusco in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cusco having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cusco. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Cienciano Analysis

Cienciano approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 37 points from 23 matches. Their record of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 38:33, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Alejandro Hohberg (5 goals), Carlos Garcés (4 goals), Matías Succar (3 goals), with creative support from Alejandro Hohberg (2 assists), Carlos Garcés (2 assists), Cristian Souza (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cusco Analysis

With 36 points from 23 games and a place of 7, Cusco still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 34:35 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Facundo Callejo (5 goals), Iván Colman (3 goals), José Miguel Manzaneda (2 goals), with creative support from Lucas Colitto (4 assists), Facundo Callejo (2 assists), Iván Colman (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Cienciano won 4 times, Cusco won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from Cienciano's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (79.3%)
Predicted formations: Cienciano 4-2-3-1 / Cusco 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Cienciano wins 4, draws 4, Cusco wins 4

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5
Cusco Away
26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 25 10 7 8 37:31 6 37
W W W D W
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
12 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
13 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
14 25 8 5 12 22:27 -5 29
L W W W D
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2