BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay
Cianorte
Match Timeline
Joinville
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
Crysthyan
Cianorte
16'
Iago Dias
Joinville
20'
Joao Victor
Joinville

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 50.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
50.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Cianorte Win 77.6%
Draw 13.9%
Joinville Win 8.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cianorte0.9
Joinville1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cianorte Cianorte
WWDLW
3 GF / 2 GA
Joinville Joinville
WLDWL
2 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
0
1
BTTS Yes
0
1
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cianorte Cianorte 2 matches
Joinville Joinville 2 matches
Cianorte Statistic Joinville
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
3 Goals For 2
2 Goals Against 0
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0
1 BTTS Yes 0
1 Over 1.5 1
1 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Joinville having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Joinville. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cianorte Analysis

Placed 3 with 3 points from 2 outings, Cianorte continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 3:2 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Carlito Thiago (1 goals), Ibson (1 goals), Kaua Davi (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Joinville Analysis

Placed 1 with 4 points from 2 outings, Joinville continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 2:0 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Erverson (1 goals), Rigley (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Cianorte won 1 times, Joinville won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from Cianorte's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.25 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (91.5%)
H2H summary: Cianorte wins 1, draws 2, Joinville wins 1
Last matches: Cianorte
18.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
ASA
0
1
L
11.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
4
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
3
1
W
06.09.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
1
L
31.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
2
0
W
17.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
1
1
D
10.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
1
D
Last matches: Joinville
07.06.26
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cascavel
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cascavel
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
2
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
0
4
L
03.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Sao Jose
0
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Azuriz
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Marcílio Dias
1
1
D
30.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Barra
0
1
L
14.06.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
2
1
W
08.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
1
L
01.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
26.05.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
0
W
H2H: Cianorte vs Joinville
23.05.26
H2H
Joinville
Cianorte
0
0
D
19.04.26
H2H
Cianorte
Joinville
1
2
L
10.08.25
H2H
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
W
03.08.25
H2H
Joinville
Cianorte
1
1
D
Last matches: Cianorte
18.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
ASA
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
4
0
W
28.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
1
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
3
1
W
31.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
1
1
D
10.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Itabirito
3
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Monte Azul
2
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Cianorte
Uberlandia
3
2
W
31.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Goiatuba EC
2
3
L
17.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
3
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Cianorte
Operario Ferroviario
1
0
W
H2H at home: Cianorte
19.04.26
H2H
Cianorte
Joinville
1
2
L
10.08.25
H2H
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
W
Last matches: Joinville
07.06.26
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Joinville
Cascavel
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
Joinville
Cianorte
0
4
L
27.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Guarany de Bagé
1
2
L
13.07.25
Ser
Joinville
Azuriz
0
0
D
30.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Barra
0
1
L
08.06.25
Ser
Joinville
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
1
L
26.05.25
Ser
Joinville
São Luiz
1
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Joinville
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
27.04.25
Ser
Joinville
Sao Jose
1
1
D
H2H away: Joinville
19.04.26
H2H
Cianorte
Joinville
1
2
W
10.08.25
H2H
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)