BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay
Cianorte
Match Timeline
Independiente FSJ
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
Juliano
Independiente FSJ
120+7'
D. Adisa
Cianorte
120+6'
Niltinho
Independiente FSJ
120+6'
Cristovam
Cianorte
120+5'
Joao Mafra
Independiente FSJ
120+7'
Brian
Independiente FSJ
120+5'
Felipe Laurindo
Cianorte
120+4'
Lucas Gaucho
Independiente FSJ
120+4'
Lucas Aruba
Cianorte
120+3'
A. Thiel
Independiente FSJ
120+3'
Robson Luiz
Cianorte
120+2'
Felipe Vieira
Independiente FSJ
120+2'
Wagner Manaus
Cianorte
120+1'
Thiaguinho
Independiente FSJ
120+1'
David Kaua
Cianorte

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 72.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 82.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
72.4%
-
BTTS No
82.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cianorte Win 43.3%
Draw 27.6%
Independiente FSJ Win 29.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cianorte0.73
Independiente FSJ0.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cianorte Cianorte
WWDLW
10 GF / 8 GA
Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ
WLDWL
3 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.91
Average Goals Scored
0.27
0.73
Average Goals Conceded
0.45
3
BTTS Yes
0
3
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cianorte Cianorte 11 matches
Independiente FSJ Independiente FSJ 11 matches
Cianorte Statistic Independiente FSJ
6 Wins 3
1 Draws 4
4 Losses 4
10 Goals For 3
8 Goals Against 5
0.91 Avg Goals Scored 0.27
0.73 Avg Goals Conceded 0.45
3 BTTS Yes 0
3 Over 1.5 1
3 Over 2.5 0
2 Over 3.5 0
6 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Cianorte's more proactive style and Independiente FSJ's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Cianorte hold an advantage after winning the first leg 1-0, so Independiente FSJ now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Independiente FSJ. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Independiente FSJ having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cianorte Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Cianorte arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 16 points after 10 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with goals at 9:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Independiente FSJ Analysis

Independiente FSJ enter this tie with a season profile built on 13 points from 10 matches, placing them 3 in their league. With 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses plus a goal ratio of 3:4, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Cianorte won 5 times, Independiente FSJ won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:3 from Cianorte's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.4%)
H2H summary: Cianorte wins 5, draws 1, Independiente FSJ wins 1
Last matches: Cianorte
26.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
ASA
1
5
L
18.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
ASA
0
1
L
11.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
4
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
1
0
W
07.06.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
3
1
W
06.09.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
1
L
31.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
2
0
W
17.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
1
1
D
10.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
W
Last matches: Independiente FSJ
20.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
L
07.06.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
0
D
19.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
1
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
H2H: Cianorte vs Independiente FSJ
28.06.26
H2H
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
20.06.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
W
15.01.26
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
0
D
18.01.25
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
5
W
17.01.24
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
0
1
W
18.01.23
H2H
Independiente FSJ
Cianorte
1
2
W
27.02.22
H2H
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
2
0
W
Last matches: Cianorte
18.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
ASA
0
1
L
04.07.26
Ser
Cianorte
XV de Piracicaba
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Santa Catarina
1
3
L
17.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Cianorte
São Luiz
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cianorte
Guarany de Bagé
3
1
W
31.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Barra
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Mixto
1
1
D
10.08.25
Ser
Cianorte
Joinville
4
0
W
19.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Itabirito
3
1
W
05.07.25
Ser
Cianorte
Monte Azul
2
0
W
14.06.25
Ser
Cianorte
Uberlandia
3
2
W
31.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Goiatuba EC
2
3
L
17.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
03.05.25
Ser
Cianorte
Cascavel
3
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Cianorte
Operario Ferroviario
1
0
W
H2H at home: Cianorte
28.06.26
H2H
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
27.02.22
H2H
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
2
0
W
Last matches: Independiente FSJ
31.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Sao Jose
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Blumenau
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Azuriz
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Brasil DE Pelotas
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Independiente FSJ
Marcílio Dias
0
0
D
H2H away: Independiente FSJ
28.06.26
H2H
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
0
1
W
27.02.22
H2H
Cianorte
Independiente FSJ
2
0
L

Standings

Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)