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UKRAINE › PREMIER LEAGUE
10.10.2026 10:00
Chornomorets Stadium
Referee: Andrey Kovalenko
Chornomorets
Match Timeline
FC Kharkiv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
17'
Jerry Yoka
Chornomorets
⚽
24'
C. Paraco
FC Kharkiv
🟨
48'
Ramik Gadzhiev
FC Kharkiv
⚽
57'
B. Zabergja · Assist: I. Kalyuzhnyi
FC Kharkiv
⚽
60'
K. Popov · Assist: M. Jobe
Chornomorets
🔄
63'
B. Zabergja ↔ O. Yatsyk
FC Kharkiv
🔄
76'
V. Klymenko ↔ O. Gusev
Chornomorets
🔄
76'
D. Alefirenko ↔ V. Gerych
Chornomorets
🔄
84'
C. Paraco ↔ S. Castillo
FC Kharkiv
🔄
84'
P. Itodo ↔ E. Rashica
FC Kharkiv
🔄
85'
M. Jobe ↔ A. Khoma
Chornomorets
🟨
90'
Oleksandr Yatsyk
FC Kharkiv
🔄
90+2'
R. Gadzhyev ↔ D. Antyukh
FC Kharkiv

Chornomorets vs FC Kharkiv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.3%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chornomorets Win 47.3%
Draw 5.7%
FC Kharkiv Win 47.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chornomorets1.12
FC Kharkiv1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chornomorets Chornomorets
WWDLW
9 GF / 13 GA
FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv
WLDWL
38 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.57
5
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
13
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chornomorets Chornomorets 11 matches
FC Kharkiv FC Kharkiv 23 matches
Chornomorets Statistic FC Kharkiv
4 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
5 Losses 12
9 Goals For 38
13 Goals Against 36
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.57
5 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 17
4 Over 2.5 13
0 Over 3.5 8
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by FC Kharkiv's more proactive style and Chornomorets's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Kharkiv carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 12 points while Chornomorets sit 12 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chornomorets expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Kharkiv in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Kharkiv having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FC Kharkiv. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Chornomorets Analysis

Chornomorets are currently 12 in the standings with 5 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 3:7 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

FC Kharkiv Analysis

FC Kharkiv approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 12 points after 6 outings. With 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 12:4, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Chornomorets won 4 times, FC Kharkiv won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Chornomorets's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.9 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.3%)
Predicted formations: Chornomorets 4-2-3-1 / FC Kharkiv 4-4-2
H2H summary: Chornomorets wins 4, draws 4, FC Kharkiv wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 20:5 15 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 17:7 10 19
D W W W W
3 7 5 1 1 10:5 5 16
W W W D L
4 7 5 0 2 14:5 9 15
W W W W L
5 8 4 2 2 15:6 9 14
L D W L D
6 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
W W L D D
7 8 3 2 3 7:9 -2 11
W L W D L
8 9 2 3 4 6:11 -5 9
L L W D D
9 8 2 2 4 10:13 -3 8
L W W L D
10 9 1 5 3 7:12 -5 8
L D L D D
11 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L L D W
12 7 1 4 2 5:6 -1 7
L W L D D
13 8 1 4 3 4:12 -8 7
W D L L
14 8 1 2 5 5:11 -6 5
L L D L D
15 9 1 2 6 10:21 -11 5
W L L L L
16 6 1 2 3 7:10 -3 5
L D L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga