CHINA SUPER LEAGUE
06.09.2026 11:00
Longxing Football Stadium
Referee: Zhiliang Jia, China
Chongqing Tongliang Long
Match Timeline
Shanghai Shenhua
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
L. Asue · Assist: Gao Tianyi
Shanghai Shenhua
11'
Wu Xi · Assist: Gao Tianyi
Shanghai Shenhua
🟨
19'
Zexiang Yang
Shanghai Shenhua
🟨
45+2'
Ibrahim Amadou
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
46'
Liang Weipeng ↔ Ng Yu-Hei
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
56'
I. Amadou ↔ Ruan Qilong
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
56'
Xiang Yuwang ↔ Zhang Zhixiong
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
57'
Li Zhenquan ↔ Du Yuezheng
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
65'
Liu Mingshi ↔ Wei Suowei
Chongqing Tongliang Long
🔄
71'
Xie Pengfei ↔ Xu Haoyang
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
71'
Gao Tianyi ↔ Yang Haoyu
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
82'
L. Asue ↔ Liu Chengyu
Shanghai Shenhua
86'
Yang Haoyu · Assist: W. Manafa
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
90+1'
Yang Zexiang ↔ Wang Shilong
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
90+1'
Rafael Ratao ↔ Jin Shunkai
Shanghai Shenhua
90'
M. Ngadeu
Chongqing Tongliang Long

Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.9%
Odds 2.09
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.67
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.9%
2.09
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.67
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Chongqing Tongliang Long Win 29.8%
Draw 12.3%
Shanghai Shenhua Win 57.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chongqing Tongliang Long1.31
Shanghai Shenhua1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long
WWDLW
26 GF / 29 GA
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
WLDWL
53 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.04
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
13
BTTS Yes
20
8
Over 2.5
19
3.16
Shots on Goal
5.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chongqing Tongliang Long Chongqing Tongliang Long 25 matches
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 29 matches
Chongqing Tongliang Long Statistic Shanghai Shenhua
7 Wins 11
10 Draws 8
8 Losses 10
26 Goals For 53
29 Goals Against 50
1.04 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.16 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
13 BTTS Yes 20
15 Over 1.5 25
8 Over 2.5 19
6 Over 3.5 15
8 Clean Sheets 5
7 Failed To Score 5
3.16 Shots On Goal 5.84
9.2 Total Shots 15.72
3.92 Corners 6
48% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Shanghai Shenhua's more proactive style and Chongqing Tongliang Long's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shanghai Shenhua. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chongqing Tongliang Long expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Shanghai Shenhua in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shanghai Shenhua having the stronger overall control. Chongqing Tongliang Long have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Chongqing Tongliang Long Analysis

With 31 points from 25 games and a place of 8, Chongqing Tongliang Long still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 26:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Nany Dimata (1 goals), with creative support from Zhang Yingkai (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shanghai Shenhua Analysis

Shanghai Shenhua are currently 9 in the standings with 28 points from 25 matches. The record of 11 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 49:45 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luís Asué (5 goals), Rafael Ratão (3 goals), Saulo Mineiro (2 goals), with creative support from Tianyi Gao (3 assists), Luís Asué (2 assists), João Carlos Teixeira (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Chongqing Tongliang Long won 0 times, Shanghai Shenhua won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:4 from Chongqing Tongliang Long's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: Chongqing Tongliang Long 5-3-2 / Shanghai Shenhua 4-4-2
H2H summary: Chongqing Tongliang Long wins 0, draws 1, Shanghai Shenhua wins 1

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 7 4 51:30 21 52
D W L W L
2 26 12 4 10 38:42 -4 40
W D W D L
3 26 11 10 5 49:33 16 38
D D D W W
4 26 11 5 10 54:51 3 38
W L D W W
5 26 8 14 4 31:32 -1 38
D D W D D
6 26 13 4 9 46:43 3 37
D W L W W
7 26 10 8 8 40:33 7 33
D W W D W
8 26 12 5 9 52:46 6 31
W L W L W
9 26 7 10 9 27:32 -5 31
L D L D L
10 26 10 6 10 45:43 2 31
W L W D L
11 26 8 4 14 34:45 -11 28
D L D W L
12 26 8 9 9 33:35 -2 27
D D D D L
13 26 7 4 15 34:47 -13 25
L L L D L
14 26 9 8 9 36:32 4 25
W W D D L
15 26 5 11 10 39:46 -7 21
L D D W D
16 26 6 3 17 34:53 -19 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation