Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
48.4%
|
2.66 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
1.25 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87%
|
1.25 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74.2%
|
1.20 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
8.50 |
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chicago Fire
28 matches
Inter Miami
29 matches
| Chicago Fire | Statistic | Inter Miami |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 14 |
| 8 | Draws | 10 |
| 7 | Losses | 5 |
| 52 | Goals For | 65 |
| 40 | Goals Against | 51 |
| 1.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.24 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.76 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 5.27 | Shots On Goal | 5.76 |
| 13.91 | Total Shots | 14.4 |
| 4.23 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 51.6% | Ball Possession | 55% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Inter Miami.
Chicago Fire approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 37 points after 21 outings. The return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 39:28, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), Maren Haile-Selassie (4 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (6 assists), Maren Haile-Selassie (4 assists), Andrew Gutman (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Placed 2 with 42 points from 22 outings, Inter Miami continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, while the 56:41 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Lionel Messi (11 goals), Luis Suárez (9 goals), Germán Berterame (7 goals), with creative support from Lionel Messi (8 assists), Rodrigo De Paul (5 assists), Telasco Segovia (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 5 times, Inter Miami won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:19 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | 32 | 57 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | 12 | 46 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Inter Miami
Away
|
26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 63:48 | 15 | 46 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | 10 | 43 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Chicago Fire
Home
|
25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 39 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
| 6 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | 8 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | 5 | 32 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 |
L
L
L
L
L
|