🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
10.09.2026 00:30
Soldier Field
Referee: J. Marrufo
Chicago Fire
Match Timeline
Inter Miami
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
4'
Telasco Segovia
Inter Miami
10'
R. Lewandowski · Assist: A. Gutman
Chicago Fire
🟨
24'
Maximiliano Falcón
Inter Miami
48'
Casemiro · Assist: L. Messi
Inter Miami
🟨
50'
Jonathan Dean
Chicago Fire
🔄
56'
R. Lod ↔ P. Dithejane
Chicago Fire
🟨
59'
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Chicago Fire
🔄
67'
J. Dean ↔ L. Barroso
Chicago Fire
🔄
67'
M. Haile-Selassie ↔ S. Oregel
Chicago Fire
🟨
70'
Germán Berterame
Inter Miami
🔄
78'
F. Caicedo ↔ F. Mura
Inter Miami
🔄
78'
T. Segovia ↔ A. Shaw
Inter Miami
🔄
90+4'
A. Saletros ↔ M. Pineda
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.66
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.25
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.25
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
48.4%
2.66
BTTS Yes
88%
1.25
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.25
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
74.2%
1.20
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50
Probability Distribution
Chicago Fire Win 38.1%
Draw 13.5%
Inter Miami Win 48.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chicago Fire1.82
Inter Miami1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
WWDLW
52 GF / 40 GA
Inter Miami Inter Miami
WLDWL
65 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.86
Average Goals Scored
2.24
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
19
BTTS Yes
22
20
Over 2.5
22
5.27
Shots on Goal
5.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 28 matches
Inter Miami Inter Miami 29 matches
Chicago Fire Statistic Inter Miami
13 Wins 14
8 Draws 10
7 Losses 5
52 Goals For 65
40 Goals Against 51
1.86 Avg Goals Scored 2.24
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
19 BTTS Yes 22
22 Over 1.5 26
20 Over 2.5 22
12 Over 3.5 16
9 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 4
5.27 Shots On Goal 5.76
13.91 Total Shots 14.4
4.23 Corners 5.16
51.6% Ball Possession 55%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Inter Miami.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Chicago Fire approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 37 points after 21 outings. The return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 39:28, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Hugo Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (5 goals), Maren Haile-Selassie (4 goals), with creative support from Philip Zinckernagel (6 assists), Maren Haile-Selassie (4 assists), Andrew Gutman (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Inter Miami Analysis

Placed 2 with 42 points from 22 outings, Inter Miami continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, while the 56:41 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Lionel Messi (11 goals), Luis Suárez (9 goals), Germán Berterame (7 goals), with creative support from Lionel Messi (8 assists), Rodrigo De Paul (5 assists), Telasco Segovia (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 5 times, Inter Miami won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:19 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.73 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.6%)
Predicted formations: Chicago Fire 4-3-3 / Inter Miami 4-3-3
Missing players: Chicago Fire 3, Inter Miami 6
H2H summary: Chicago Fire wins 5, draws 2, Inter Miami wins 4

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 53:21 32 57
W D L D W
2 26 14 4 8 45:33 12 46
W W W L W
3 26 12 10 4 63:48 15 46
D D D D W
4 26 12 7 7 47:37 10 43
W D W D W
5 25 11 6 8 45:38 7 39
L L D D D
6 26 10 6 10 50:42 8 36
W W W W W
7 26 10 4 12 46:60 -14 34
L W W W D
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 25 8 9 8 54:61 -7 33
D D L L D
10 26 8 8 10 39:34 5 32
L W L D D
11 25 6 11 8 31:39 -8 29
L D W D L
12 26 6 11 9 39:49 -10 29
L L W D D
13 26 7 5 14 37:42 -5 26
W L L W L
14 26 7 5 14 30:43 -13 26
W D L D L
15 26 5 6 15 31:53 -22 21
L L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)