🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Soldier Field
Referee: J. Dickerson
Chicago Fire
Match Timeline
FC Cincinnati
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire
24'
Evander
FC Cincinnati
28'
H. Cuypers · Assist: P. Zinckernagel
Chicago Fire
31'
Evander · Assist: K. Mboma
FC Cincinnati
🔄
46'
T. Anunga ↔ N. Hagglund
FC Cincinnati
🟥
56'
Kyle Smith
FC Cincinnati
🔄
59'
R. Lod ↔ J. Bamba
Chicago Fire
🔄
66'
G. Valenzuela ↔ M. Miazga
FC Cincinnati
🟨
68'
Kévin Denkey
FC Cincinnati
🔄
77'
K. Denkey ↔ A. Jabbari
FC Cincinnati
🔄
77'
K. Mboma ↔ T. Barlow
FC Cincinnati
🔄
88'
B. J. Ramirez Leon ↔ A. Lajhar
FC Cincinnati
🟨
90+3'
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Chicago Fire
🟨
90+12'
Andrei Chirila
FC Cincinnati
🟨
90'
Ayoub Lajhar
FC Cincinnati
🔄
90+8'
J. Dean ↔ J. Shokalook
Chicago Fire
90'
Evander
FC Cincinnati

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 92.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
92.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chicago Fire Win 92.3%
Draw 0%
FC Cincinnati Win 7.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chicago Fire1.77
FC Cincinnati1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
WWDLW
26 GF / 16 GA
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
WLDWL
41 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.73
Average Goals Scored
2.28
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.83
7
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
10
4.56
Shots on Goal
6.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 15 matches
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 18 matches
Chicago Fire Statistic FC Cincinnati
7 Wins 7
5 Draws 5
3 Losses 6
26 Goals For 41
16 Goals Against 33
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 2.28
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.83
7 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
4.56 Shots On Goal 6.07
13.22 Total Shots 14.5
3.78 Corners 5.29
52.3% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Chicago Fire's more proactive style and FC Cincinnati's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward FC Cincinnati. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Chicago Fire arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 17 points compared to FC Cincinnati in 9 on 12, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Chicago Fire come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chicago Fire expected to line up in 4-4-2 and FC Cincinnati in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Cincinnati having the stronger overall control.

Chicago Fire Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 17 points from 9 games, Chicago Fire bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 17:8, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by H. Cuypers (8 goals), Philip Zinckernagel (4 goals), J. Bamba (2 goals), with creative support from J. Bamba (2 assists), A. Gutman (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

FC Cincinnati Analysis

FC Cincinnati sit 9 with 12 points after 10 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 19:23 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Denkey (6 goals), Evander (2 goals), T. Barlow (2 goals), with creative support from E. Echenique (3 assists), P. Bucha (2 assists), K. Denkey (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chicago Fire won 4 times, FC Cincinnati won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:25 from Chicago Fire's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Chicago Fire 4-4-2 / FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
Missing players: Chicago Fire 5, FC Cincinnati 4
H2H summary: Chicago Fire wins 4, draws 4, FC Cincinnati wins 7
Stats
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
Shots on Goal
10
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
16
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
4
10 Corner Kicks 1
12 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 0
56% Ball Possession 44%
33 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Goal 4
16 Shots off Goal 2
7 Blocked Shots 4
29 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 7
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
506 Total passes 419
430 Passes accurate 356
4.47 expected_goals 1.58
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Chicago Fire
Formation
FC Cincinnati
C. Brady
C. Brady
J. Dean
J. Dean
J. Elliott
J. Elliott
M. Mbokazi
M. Mbokazi
A. Gutman
A. Gutman
D. D'Avilla
D. D'Avilla
A. Saletros
A. Saletros
P. Zinckernagel
🎯
P. Zinckernagel
R. Lod
R. Lod
M. Haile-Selassie
M. Haile-Selassie
H. Cuypers
⚽ 2
H. Cuypers
R. Celentano
R. Celentano
K. Smith
K. Smith
A. Chirila
A. Chirila
S. Gidi
S. Gidi
P. Bucha
P. Bucha
G. Valenzuela
G. Valenzuela
T. Anunga
T. Anunga
B. J. Ramirez Leon
B. J. Ramirez Leon
Evander
⚽ 3
Evander
K. Mboma
🎯
K. Mboma
K. Denkey
K. Denkey
Chicago Fire 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
C. Brady
G
24
J. Dean
↓ 90+8'
D
3
J. Elliott
D
4
M. Mbokazi
D
15
A. Gutman
D
42
D. D'Avilla
🟨 90+3'
M
6
A. Saletros
M
11
P. Zinckernagel
🎯 28'
M
17
R. Lod
↓ 59'
M
7
M. Haile-Selassie
M
9
H. Cuypers
⚽ 16' ⚽ 28'
F
Substitutes
44
J. Cohen
G
16
J. Waterman
D
22
M. Pineda
D
20
J. Shokalook
↑ 90+8'
F
27
D. Borso
F
19
J. Bamba
↑ 59'
F
14
V. Radojevic
D
12
P. Dithejane
F
35
S. Oregel
M
FC Cincinnati 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
18
R. Celentano
G
24
K. Smith
🟥 56'
D
88
A. Chirila
🟨 90+12'
D
11
S. Gidi
D
20
P. Bucha
M
22
G. Valenzuela
↓ 66'
M
27
T. Anunga
↓ 46'
M
29
B. J. Ramirez Leon
↓ 88'
M
10
Evander
⚽ 24' ⚽ 31' ⚽ 90'
F
17
K. Mboma
🎯 31' ↓ 77'
F
9
K. Denkey
↓ 77' 🟨 68'
F
Substitutes
13
E. Louro
G
21
M. Miazga
↑ 66'
D
4
N. Hagglund
↑ 46'
D
66
E. Echenique
F
99
A. Jabbari
↑ 77'
F
3
G. Flores
D
37
S. Jimenez
M
16
T. Barlow
↑ 77'
F
55
A. Lajhar
↑ 88' 🟨 90'
D
Last matches: Chicago Fire
24.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
W
16.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
2
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
3
1
W
09.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
5
0
W
18.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
12.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
1
0
W
21.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
0
0
D
28.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
3
0
W
22.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Houston Dynamo
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
3
4
L
13.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
11.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Austin
2
2
D
08.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
2
W
01.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Indy Eleven
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
Last matches: FC Cincinnati
23.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
6
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
3
3
D
13.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
3
5
L
09.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
2
2
D
25.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
0
W
22.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
4
4
D
18.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
4
L
22.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
CF Montreal
4
3
W
20.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
15.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
1
6
L
13.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
08.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
0
1
L
28.02.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
0
1
L
26.02.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
9
0
W
21.02.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Atlanta United FC
2
0
W
19.02.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
4
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
2
3
L
07.02.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Detroit City
1
0
W
H2H: Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati
03.05.26
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
18.04.26
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
3
D
05.07.25
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
2
1
L
20.04.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
17.07.24
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
0
1
W
03.03.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
1
2
L
03.06.23
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
1
0
L
19.03.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
01.10.22
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
2
3
W
15.05.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
1
2
L
20.10.21
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
3
4
W
24.06.21
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
0
1
L
02.09.20
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
25.08.20
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
0
W
21.09.19
H2H
FC Cincinnati
Chicago Fire
0
0
D
Last matches: Chicago Fire
24.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Toronto FC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
New York Red Bulls
1
3
L
26.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Sporting Kansas City
5
0
W
12.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United FC
1
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
Nashville SC
1
0
W
15.03.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
DC United
1
2
L
28.02.26
Maj
Chicago Fire
CF Montreal
3
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Chicago Fire
Portland Timbers
3
4
L
H2H at home: Chicago Fire
03.05.26
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
20.04.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
L
03.03.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
1
2
L
19.03.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
15.05.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
1
2
L
24.06.21
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
0
1
L
25.08.20
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
0
W
Last matches: FC Cincinnati
17.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
San Diego
3
3
D
09.05.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte
2
2
D
22.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York City FC
4
4
D
11.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
2
4
L
20.03.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Tigres UANL
1
5
L
15.03.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
1
6
L
28.02.26
Maj
FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United FC
0
1
L
19.02.26
CON
FC Cincinnati
Universidad O&M
4
0
W
11.02.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
2
3
L
28.01.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
Houston Dynamo
1
1
D
23.01.26
Fri
FC Cincinnati
New England Revolution
1
1
D
H2H away: FC Cincinnati
03.05.26
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
W
20.04.25
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
2
3
W
03.03.24
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
1
2
W
19.03.23
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
3
D
15.05.22
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
1
2
W
24.06.21
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
0
1
W
25.08.20
H2H
Chicago Fire
FC Cincinnati
3
0
L

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D

Missing Players

Chicago Fire 5 missing
-
A. Franco
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
C. Mueller
Questionable Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
L. Barroso
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
J. Bamba
Questionable Personal Reasons
OUT
-
D. Borso
Questionable Injury
OUT
FC Cincinnati 4 missing
-
K. Fletcher
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Robinson
Questionable Leg Injury
OUT
-
O. Nwobodo
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
M. Miazga
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT