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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
19.09.2026 14:00
Proact Stadium
Chesterfield
Match Timeline
York
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
George James McEachran
Chesterfield
⚽
57'
L. Bonis · Assist: G. McEachran
Chesterfield
🔄
63'
J. King ↔ J. Malcolm
York
🔄
70'
G. McEachran ↔ K. Dyer
Chesterfield
🔄
71'
L. Marsh ↔ L. Mandeville
Chesterfield
🔄
71'
J. Koroma ↔ J. Randall
Chesterfield
🔄
73'
A. Hunt ↔ A. Read
York
🔄
73'
A. Newby ↔ F. Maguire
York
🟨
80'
Ollie Banks
York
🔄
84'
J. Grey ↔ J. Felix
York
🔄
84'
M. Kitching ↔ Z. Medley
York
🔄
85'
L. Gordon ↔ T. Pearce
Chesterfield
🔄
89'
L. Bonis ↔ F. Bryden
Chesterfield
🟨
90'
Ollie Pearce
York
⚽
90'
D. Markanday · Assist: F. Bryden
Chesterfield

Chesterfield vs York Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chesterfield Win 27.1%
Draw 24.8%
York Win 48.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chesterfield1.53
York1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chesterfield Chesterfield
WWDLW
11 GF / 12 GA
York York
WLDWL
21 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.91
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
9
5
Shots on Goal
6.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chesterfield Chesterfield 9 matches
York York 11 matches
Chesterfield Statistic York
2 Wins 4
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
11 Goals For 21
12 Goals Against 22
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2
6 BTTS Yes 10
6 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 6.33
14.67 Total Shots 18.5
3.67 Corners 7
57.2% Ball Possession 64.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by York's more proactive style and Chesterfield's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward York. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Chesterfield expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and York in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward York having the stronger overall control. York carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 8 points while Chesterfield sit 17 on 5, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Chesterfield Analysis

With 5 points from 5 games and a place of 17, Chesterfield still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 6:7, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Marsh (2 goals), L. Bonis (1 goals), L. Mandeville (1 goals), with creative support from L. Bonis (1 assists), A. Pond (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

York Analysis

York are currently 9 in the standings with 8 points from 5 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 9:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Newby (3 goals), J. Malcolm (1 goals), with creative support from H. Boyes (3 assists), O. Pearce (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Chesterfield won 3 times, York won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:10 from Chesterfield's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.2%)
Predicted formations: Chesterfield 4-2-3-1 / York 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Chesterfield wins 3, draws 3, York wins 2

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5
York Away
9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League