ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO

25.04.2026 14:00

Chesterfield

2 - 0

Crewe

SMH Group Stadium

Referee: J. Bell

Chesterfield

Match Timeline

Crewe

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Chesterfield vs Crewe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

No Draw

Probability 92.7%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 79.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 75.1%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	No Draw	92.7%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	79.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	75.1%	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Chesterfield Win 45.9%

Draw 7.3%

Crewe Win 46.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Chesterfield1.42

Crewe1.36

Recent Form (Last 5)

Chesterfield

WWDLW

69 GF / 57 GA

Crewe

WLDWL

65 GF / 58 GA

Key Stats

1.5

Average Goals Scored

1.44

1.24

Average Goals Conceded

1.29

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.89

Shots on Goal

3.84

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chesterfield 46 matches

Crewe 45 matches

Chesterfield	Statistic	Crewe
20	Wins	19
16	Draws	9
10	Losses	17
69	Goals For	65
57	Goals Against	58
1.5	Avg Goals Scored	1.44
1.24	Avg Goals Conceded	1.29
28	BTTS Yes	27
33	Over 1.5	33
21	Over 2.5	25
14	Over 3.5	14
14	Clean Sheets	8
5	Failed To Score	11
3.89	Shots On Goal	3.84
12.07	Total Shots	11.91
5.6	Corners	4.89
58.4%	Ball Possession	49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Chesterfield won 6 times, Crewe won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:22 from Chesterfield's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.58 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)

Predicted formations: Chesterfield 4-2-3-1 / Crewe 4-2-3-1

H2H summary: Chesterfield wins 6, draws 2, Crewe wins 4

Standings

League Two

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Bromley	46	24	15	7	71:46	25	87	W L D L W
2	Milton Keynes Dons	46	24	14	8	86:45	41	86	D W W W D
3	Cambridge United	46	22	16	8	66:33	33	82	D W L D W
4	Salford City	46	25	6	15	61:51	10	81	L D W D W
5	Notts County	46	24	8	14	74:52	22	80	W D W D W
6	Chesterfield Home	46	21	16	9	71:56	15	79	D L W W D
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74:50	24	78	D L D W W
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76	W W W W W
9	Swindon Town	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75	L L D L W
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68	W L L L L
11	Crewe Away	46	19	10	17	64:58	6	67	D L L L W
12	Colchester	46	18	12	16	62:49	13	66	W L L W W
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65	L L W L L
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62	D W W W W
15	Fleetwood Town	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61	D D D W L
16	Accrington ST	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53	L D D L L
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53	W L L L D
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52	L L L W W
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49	L D D W L
20	Newport County	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43	W W L W L
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41	D L W L D
22	Crawley Town	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40	D D D L L
23	Harrogate Town	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39	L W W L L
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36	L L L W L

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