Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
35.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
64.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
84%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cherno More Varna
35 matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
32 matches
| Cherno More Varna | Statistic | Lokomotiv Plovdiv |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 13 |
| 12 | Draws | 13 |
| 10 | Losses | 6 |
| 36 | Goals For | 34 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 30 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.94 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 2.39 | Shots On Goal | 2.86 |
| 6.39 | Total Shots | 7.62 |
| 2.91 | Corners | 2.59 |
| 30.8% | Ball Possession | 32.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with Cherno More Varna's more proactive style and Lokomotiv Plovdiv's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cherno More Varna expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lokomotiv Plovdiv having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Cherno More Varna sit 6 with 51 points after 33 league matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 36:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Lazarov (8 goals), Nikolay Zlatev (5 goals), A. Chandarov (4 goals), with creative support from A. Donchev (4 assists), C. Sidney (3 assists), V. Panayotov (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 52 points after 33 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 13 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 34:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Juan Perea (7 goals), J. Zwarts (6 goals), Lucas Ryan (4 goals), with creative support from Cătălin Itu (6 assists), Parvizdzhon Umarbaev (5 assists), J. Lamy (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cherno More Varna won 6 times, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Cherno More Varna's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Lineups
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
Dunav Ruse
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
Farul Constanta
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Pleven
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Cherno More Varna
Yantra 2019
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Montana
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Rilski Sportist
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Dunav Ruse
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Pleven
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Montana
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Cherno More Varna
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
CSKA Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Rilski Sportist
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Ludogorets
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Napredak
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 64:22 | 42 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 60 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 50:31 | 19 | 59 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Away
|
30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 46 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 6 |
Cherno More Varna
Home
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 44 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:27 | 6 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 39 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 37 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 25:50 | -25 | 27 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 26 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 17 |
D
L
L
L
L
|