BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Ticha
Referee: G. Davidov
Cherno More Varna
Match Timeline
Botev Plovdiv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
Celso Sidney
Cherno More Varna
41'
A. Chandarov
Cherno More Varna
🔄
46'
Lucas Araujo ↔ E. Martinho da Silva
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
46'
S. Tsonov ↔ W. Chimezie
Botev Plovdiv
🟨
55'
Konstantinos Balogiannis
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
60'
C. Sidney ↔ A. Donchev
Cherno More Varna
🟨
73'
Antoine Conte
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
88'
A. Conte ↔ I. Videv
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
89'
E. Kwateng ↔ Z. Tindano
Botev Plovdiv
🟨
90+6'
Zhivko Atanasov
Cherno More Varna
🟨
90+13'
Samuel Kalu
Botev Plovdiv
🟨
90+2'
Edson Silva
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
90+19'
G. Lazarov ↔ D. Teles
Cherno More Varna
🔄
90+19'
V. Panayotov ↔ N. Zlatev
Cherno More Varna
🔄
90+19'
B. Beyhan ↔ N. Kostadinov
Cherno More Varna
🔄
90+6'
Mascote ↔ I. Dorgu
Botev Plovdiv
90'
A. Donchev
Cherno More Varna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
89.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cherno More Varna Win 30.4%
Draw 0%
Botev Plovdiv Win 69.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cherno More Varna1.1
Botev Plovdiv1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
WWDLW
34 GF / 31 GA
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
WLDWL
38 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
13
BTTS Yes
16
13
Over 2.5
17
2.47
Shots on Goal
3.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna 34 matches
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 31 matches
Cherno More Varna Statistic Botev Plovdiv
12 Wins 11
12 Draws 7
10 Losses 13
34 Goals For 38
31 Goals Against 39
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.23
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
13 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 17
7 Over 3.5 6
16 Clean Sheets 9
13 Failed To Score 10
2.47 Shots On Goal 3.59
6.59 Total Shots 10.03
3 Corners 3.97
31.7% Ball Possession 40.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Botev Plovdiv. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Cherno More Varna Analysis

From their first 32 matches, Cherno More Varna have collected 48 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 12 wins, 12 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 34:26 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through G. Lazarov (8 goals), Nikolay Zlatev (5 goals), C. Sidney (4 goals), with creative support from A. Donchev (4 assists), C. Sidney (3 assists), V. Panayotov (3 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Botev Plovdiv Analysis

Botev Plovdiv sit 8 with 43 points after 32 league matches. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 42:39 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Okoflex (8 goals), Mascote (8 goals), N. Minkov (4 goals), with creative support from A. Okoflex (6 assists), N. Minkov (6 assists), Todor Nedelev (5 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cherno More Varna won 6 times, Botev Plovdiv won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Cherno More Varna's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Cherno More Varna 4-2-3-1 / Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cherno More Varna wins 6, draws 3, Botev Plovdiv wins 5

Lineups

Cherno More Varna
Formation
Botev Plovdiv
K. Tomov
K. Tomov
V. Drobarov
V. Drobarov
Z. Atanasov
Z. Atanasov
Joao Bandaro
Joao Bandaro
E. Tombak
E. Tombak
V. Panayotov
V. Panayotov
A. Chandarov
A. Chandarov
B. Beyhan
B. Beyhan
E. Nyagolov
E. Nyagolov
G. Lazarov
G. Lazarov
C. Sidney
C. Sidney
D. Naumov
D. Naumov
E. Kwateng
E. Kwateng
S. Petrov
S. Petrov
A. Conte
A. Conte
K. Balogiannis
K. Balogiannis
Lucas Araujo
Lucas Araujo
C. Algarra
C. Algarra
S. Kalu
S. Kalu
S. Tsonov
S. Tsonov
N. Iliev
N. Iliev
Mascote
Mascote
Cherno More Varna 3-5-2
Starting XI
81
K. Tomov
G
28
V. Drobarov
D
3
Z. Atanasov
🟨 90+6'
D
26
Joao Bandaro
D
50
E. Tombak
D
71
V. Panayotov
↓ 90+19'
M
10
A. Chandarov
⚽ 41'
M
29
B. Beyhan
↓ 90+19'
M
13
E. Nyagolov
D
19
G. Lazarov
↓ 90+19'
F
77
C. Sidney
↓ 60' 🟨 26'
F
Substitutes
70
A. Manasiev
G
16
A. Calcan
M
8
A. Donchev
⚽ 90' ↑ 60'
D
93
G. Ventsislavov
D
24
D. Teles
↑ 90+19'
M
39
N. Zlatev
↑ 90+19'
M
22
N. Kostadinov
↑ 90+19'
M
4
R. Stefanov
D
34
K. Mihaylov
M
Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
29
D. Naumov
G
22
E. Kwateng
↓ 89'
D
87
S. Petrov
D
19
A. Conte
↓ 88' 🟨 73'
D
38
K. Balogiannis
🟨 55'
D
77
Lucas Araujo
↓ 46'
M
14
C. Algarra
M
90
S. Kalu
🟨 90+13'
M
13
S. Tsonov
↓ 46'
M
7
N. Iliev
M
30
Mascote
↓ 90+6'
F
Substitutes
1
H. Slavkov
G
23
I. Dorgu
↑ 90+6'
F
27
B. Hein
D
28
H. Jocu
M
41
Z. Tindano
↑ 89'
D
42
I. Videv
↑ 88'
44
C. Meotti
F
45
E. Martinho da Silva
↑ 46'
88
W. Chimezie
↑ 46'
F
Last matches: Cherno More Varna
19.07.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Dunav Ruse
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
2
2
D
08.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Farul Constanta
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Pleven
1
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0
0
D
24.06.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Yantra 2019
1
0
W
25.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
2
3
L
16.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
12.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
0
W
03.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
26.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
0
W
15.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
0
4
L
09.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
0
0
D
05.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
1
3
L
21.03.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia
1
2
L
15.03.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Montana
1
0
W
07.03.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
28.02.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
1
2
L
Last matches: Botev Plovdiv
21.07.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
12.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Beroe
4
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1
2
L
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
4
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Ballkani
2
0
W
26.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
1
W
23.06.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Pleven
4
0
W
25.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
16.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
5
0
W
12.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
1
2
L
03.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
2
L
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
08.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
04.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
5
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
1
W
20.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
1
3
L
08.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
H2H: Cherno More Varna vs Botev Plovdiv
16.05.26
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
5
0
L
09.05.26
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
29.11.25
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
2
1
L
27.07.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
25.10.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
1
0
L
25.06.24
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
31.03.24
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
26.09.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
04.03.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
19.08.22
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
3
4
W
16.04.22
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
1
0
L
20.11.21
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
0
2
W
02.08.21
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
17.05.21
H2H
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
Last matches: Cherno More Varna
11.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Dunav Ruse
1
1
D
08.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
2
2
D
03.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Pleven
1
0
W
01.07.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0
0
D
25.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
2
3
L
12.05.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2
0
W
15.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
0
4
L
05.04.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
1
3
L
15.03.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Montana
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
3
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0
1
L
14.01.26
Fri
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
06.12.25
Fir
Cherno More Varna
CSKA Sofia
2
0
W
22.11.25
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
1
L
02.11.25
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
0
0
D
19.10.25
Fir
Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
H2H at home: Cherno More Varna
09.05.26
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
27.07.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
25.06.24
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
26.09.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
W
04.03.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
02.08.21
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
W
Last matches: Botev Plovdiv
25.05.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
2
0
W
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Dobrudzha
3
0
W
20.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Slavia Sofia
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
27.02.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Montana
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Levski Sofia
0
3
L
06.12.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
3
L
02.12.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
22.11.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
CSKA Sofia
1
2
L
24.10.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Spartak Varna
2
3
L
05.10.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
2
1
W
21.09.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Septemvri Sofia
3
1
W
31.08.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Ludogorets
1
2
L
16.08.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Beroe
2
1
W
27.07.25
Fir
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
1
2
L
H2H away: Botev Plovdiv
09.05.26
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
L
27.07.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
1
1
D
25.06.24
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
26.09.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
1
0
L
04.03.23
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
W
02.08.21
H2H
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
2
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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