Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
41.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 8.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cherno More Varna
37 matches
Arda Kardzhali
41 matches
| Cherno More Varna | Statistic | Arda Kardzhali |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 16 |
| 12 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 14 |
| 38 | Goals For | 45 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.9 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 18 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 19 |
| 2.26 | Shots On Goal | 2.84 |
| 6.03 | Total Shots | 7.16 |
| 2.74 | Corners | 2.66 |
| 29% | Ball Possession | 34.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Arda Kardzhali. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cherno More Varna expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Arda Kardzhali in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arda Kardzhali having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Operating from 5 place with 54 points from 35 games, Cherno More Varna bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 14 wins, 12 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 38:31, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through G. Lazarov (8 goals), A. Chandarov (5 goals), Nikolay Zlatev (5 goals), with creative support from A. Donchev (4 assists), C. Sidney (3 assists), V. Panayotov (3 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Arda Kardzhali are currently 7 in the standings with 51 points from 35 matches. The record of 14 wins, 9 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 39:32 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through A. Vutov (7 goals), B. Karagaren (7 goals), Dimitar Velkovski (3 goals), with creative support from A. Shinyashiki (5 assists), Svetoslav Kovachev (4 assists), L. Kotev (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cherno More Varna won 4 times, Arda Kardzhali won 3 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Cherno More Varna's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Lineups
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
Dunav Ruse
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
Farul Constanta
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Pleven
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Cherno More Varna
Yantra 2019
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Montana
Cherno More Varna
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
Beitar Jerusalem
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Rilski Sportist
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Beroe
Cherno More Varna
Dunav Ruse
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Pleven
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
Botev Plovdiv
Cherno More Varna
CSKA 1948
Cherno More Varna
Slavia Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Montana
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Cherno More Varna
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Cherno More Varna
Dobrudzha
Cherno More Varna
CSKA Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
Cherno More Varna
Ludogorets
Cherno More Varna
Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Rilski Sportist
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Levski Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
Cherno More Varna
Arda Kardzhali
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
CSKA Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Wieczysta Kraków
Arda Kardzhali
Kudrivka
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Arda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
Ludogorets
Arda Kardzhali
Montana
Arda Kardzhali
Dobrudzha
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 64:22 | 42 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 60 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 50:31 | 19 | 59 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 46 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Cherno More Varna
Home
|
30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 44 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 7 |
Arda Kardzhali
Away
|
30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:27 | 6 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 39 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 37 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 25:50 | -25 | 27 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 26 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 17 |
D
L
L
L
L
|