ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
18.04.2026 14:00
Whaddon Road
Referee: S. Mather
Cheltenham
Match Timeline
Newport County
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Matthew Baker
Newport County
🔄
42'
R. Cundy ↔ A. Jude-Boyd
Cheltenham
🔄
46'
J. Davison ↔ M. Faal
Cheltenham
🔄
57'
J. Thomas ↔ G. Miller
Cheltenham
🔄
57'
H. Ashfield ↔ J. Bickerstaff
Cheltenham
🟨
62'
Harrison Biggins
Newport County
🟨
68'
Cameron Evans
Newport County
🔄
71'
N. Opoku ↔ M. Spellman
Newport County
🔄
81'
R. Broom ↔ C. Deeming
Cheltenham
82'
G. Miller · Assist: M. Faal
Cheltenham
🟨
84'
James Crole
Newport County
🔄
85'
C. Evans ↔ B. Kamwa
Newport County
🔄
85'
B. Lloyd ↔ C. Jarvis
Newport County
🟨
90+2'
Isaac Hutchinson
Cheltenham

Cheltenham vs Newport County Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 79.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
79.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Cheltenham Win 64.2%
Draw 9.4%
Newport County Win 26.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cheltenham1.45
Newport County1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cheltenham Cheltenham
WWDLW
57 GF / 72 GA
Newport County Newport County
WLDWL
44 GF / 77 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.98
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
23
BTTS Yes
24
20
Over 2.5
25
2.98
Shots on Goal
3.16

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cheltenham Cheltenham 45 matches
Newport County Newport County 45 matches
Cheltenham Statistic Newport County
15 Wins 10
10 Draws 8
20 Losses 27
57 Goals For 44
72 Goals Against 77
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.98
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
23 BTTS Yes 24
36 Over 1.5 35
20 Over 2.5 25
13 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 7
12 Failed To Score 17
2.98 Shots On Goal 3.16
9.91 Total Shots 10
3.91 Corners 3.8
46.9% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Newport County. Newport County arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Newport County in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Newport County having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cheltenham Analysis

Cheltenham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 49 points from 42 matches. Their record of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 48:67, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Thomas (6 goals), G. Miller (4 goals), J. Martin (4 goals), with creative support from J. Thomas (5 assists), Luke Young (4 assists), Jake Bickerstaff (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Newport County Analysis

With 37 points from 43 games and a place of 22, Newport County still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 26 losses, together with goals at 43:73, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Opoku (6 goals), M. Spellman (5 goals), Cameron Antwi (3 goals), with creative support from Kai Whitmore (4 assists), Sammy Braybrooke (4 assists), B. Kamwa (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 6 times, Newport County won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from Cheltenham's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Cheltenham 4-1-4-1 / Newport County 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cheltenham wins 6, draws 4, Newport County wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
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Relegation