Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
79.3%
|
- |
Cheltenham
Newport County
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cheltenham
45 matches
Newport County
45 matches
| Cheltenham | Statistic | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 10 |
| 10 | Draws | 8 |
| 20 | Losses | 27 |
| 57 | Goals For | 44 |
| 72 | Goals Against | 77 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.98 |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.71 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 36 | Over 1.5 | 35 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 17 |
| 2.98 | Shots On Goal | 3.16 |
| 9.91 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 3.91 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 46.9% | Ball Possession | 46.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Newport County. Newport County arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Newport County in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Newport County having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Cheltenham approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 49 points from 42 matches. Their record of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 48:67, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Thomas (6 goals), G. Miller (4 goals), J. Martin (4 goals), with creative support from J. Thomas (5 assists), Luke Young (4 assists), Jake Bickerstaff (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 7 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 37 points from 43 games and a place of 22, Newport County still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 26 losses, together with goals at 43:73, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Opoku (6 goals), M. Spellman (5 goals), Cameron Antwi (3 goals), with creative support from Kai Whitmore (4 assists), Sammy Braybrooke (4 assists), B. Kamwa (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 6 times, Newport County won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:18 from Cheltenham's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.71 goals per game.
Cheltenham
4
3
3
9
1
5
Lineups
Cheltenham
Colchester
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
Tranmere
Cheltenham
Gillingham
Cheltenham
Walsall
Cheltenham
Cambridge United
Cheltenham
Chesterfield
Cheltenham
Notts County
Cheltenham
Crewe
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
Cheltenham
Barrow
Cheltenham
Harrogate Town
Cheltenham
Salford City
Cheltenham
Bromley
Cheltenham
Barnet
Cheltenham
Milton Keynes Dons
Cheltenham
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
Grimsby
Cheltenham
Oldham
Newport County
Bristol Manor Farm
Newport County
Barrow
Newport County
Oldham
Newport County
Harrogate Town
Newport County
Notts County
Newport County
Crawley Town
Newport County
Shrewsbury
Newport County
Walsall
Newport County
Bromley
Newport County
Barnet
Newport County
Colchester
Newport County
Tranmere
Newport County
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
Cambridge United
Newport County
Salford City
Newport County
Milton Keynes Dons
Newport County
Swindon Town
Newport County
Grimsby
Newport County
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
Accrington ST
Cheltenham
Colchester
Cheltenham
Tranmere
Cheltenham
Gillingham
Cheltenham
Cambridge United
Cheltenham
Crewe
Cheltenham
Barrow
Cheltenham
Salford City
Cheltenham
Milton Keynes Dons
Cheltenham
Grimsby
Cheltenham
Leicester
Cheltenham
Crawley Town
Cheltenham
Swindon Town
Cheltenham
Shrewsbury
Cheltenham
Harrogate Town
Cheltenham
Buxton
Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
Notts County
Cheltenham
Bradford
Cheltenham
Walsall
Cheltenham
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
Bristol Manor Farm
Newport County
Barrow
Newport County
Notts County
Newport County
Walsall
Newport County
Barnet
Newport County
Fleetwood Town
Newport County
Salford City
Newport County
Milton Keynes Dons
Newport County
Swindon Town
Newport County
Bristol Rovers
Newport County
Gillingham
Newport County
Bromley
Newport County
Colchester
Newport County
Crewe
Newport County
Boreham Wood
Newport County
Oldham
Newport County
Shrewsbury
Newport County
Harrogate Town
Newport County
Accrington ST
Newport County
Chesterfield
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Cheltenham
Home
|
46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 |
Newport County
Away
|
46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|