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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
05.09.2026 14:00
Whaddon Road
Cheltenham
Match Timeline
Grimsby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
12'
C. McCann · Assist: J. Evans
Cheltenham
🟨
28'
Jonathan Tomkinson
Cheltenham
⚽
41'
A. Weimann
Cheltenham
🔄
46'
C. Doyle ↔ M. Shelton
Grimsby
🔄
46'
C. Vernam ↔ A. Cook
Grimsby
⚽
47'
M. Shelton · Assist: H. Rodgers
Grimsby
🔄
64'
J. Evans ↔ F. Willcox
Cheltenham
🔄
64'
A. Weimann ↔ J. Bickerstaff
Cheltenham
🔄
69'
S. Finch ↔ F. Cartwright
Grimsby
🔄
69'
I. Morgan ↔ R. Reynolds
Grimsby
🔄
72'
J. Shipley ↔ G. Nurse
Cheltenham
🟨
79'
Kieran Green
Grimsby
⚽
82'
K. Green · Assist: J. Sweeney
Grimsby
🔄
86'
J. Tomlinson ↔ J. Wilson
Cheltenham
🔄
86'
S. McWilliams ↔ K. Otchere
Cheltenham

Cheltenham vs Grimsby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
70.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cheltenham Win 29.7%
Draw 21.5%
Grimsby Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cheltenham1.39
Grimsby1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cheltenham Cheltenham
WWDLW
11 GF / 9 GA
Grimsby Grimsby
WLDWL
19 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
4
BTTS Yes
5
5
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cheltenham Cheltenham 6 matches
Grimsby Grimsby 11 matches
Cheltenham Statistic Grimsby
3 Wins 5
1 Draws 6
2 Losses 0
11 Goals For 19
9 Goals Against 8
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
4 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 3
5 Shots On Goal 4.25
10.5 Total Shots 17
4.5 Corners 7
44.5% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 4 times, Grimsby won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:25 from Cheltenham's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.5%)
Predicted formations: Cheltenham 4-1-4-1 / Grimsby 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Cheltenham wins 4, draws 4, Grimsby wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League