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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
20.10.2026 18:45
Whaddon Road

Cheltenham vs Fleetwood Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.1%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cheltenham Win 67.1%
Draw 5.1%
Fleetwood Town Win 27.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cheltenham1.3
Fleetwood Town1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cheltenham Cheltenham
WWDLW
19 GF / 18 GA
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town
WLDWL
21 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.58
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
8
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
5
3.3
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cheltenham Cheltenham 12 matches
Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 16 matches
Cheltenham Statistic Fleetwood Town
5 Wins 6
3 Draws 6
4 Losses 4
19 Goals For 21
18 Goals Against 14
1.58 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
8 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
3.3 Shots On Goal 3.7
8.8 Total Shots 14.7
4.1 Corners 5
45.3% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cheltenham expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Fleetwood Town in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fleetwood Town having the stronger overall control. Cheltenham arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 15 points compared to Fleetwood Town in 16 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Fleetwood Town arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fleetwood Town. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Cheltenham Analysis

From their first 10 matches, Cheltenham have collected 15 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 16:16 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. McCann (5 goals), A. Weimann (4 goals), R. Broom (2 goals), with creative support from A. Weimann (1 assists), R. Broom (1 assists), J. Tomkinson (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fleetwood Town Analysis

With 11 points from 10 games and a place of 16, Fleetwood Town still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 10:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Coughlan (2 goals), A. Loupalo-Bi (2 goals), W. Davies (2 goals), with creative support from C. Evans (2 assists), R. Coughlan (1 assists), A. Loupalo-Bi (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cheltenham won 5 times, Fleetwood Town won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from Cheltenham's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Cheltenham 4-1-4-1 / Fleetwood Town 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Cheltenham wins 5, draws 4, Fleetwood Town wins 5

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League