Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
86.2%
|
- |
Chelsea
Manchester United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Chelsea
46 matches
Manchester United
33 matches
| Chelsea | Statistic | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 15 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 14 | Losses | 8 |
| 92 | Goals For | 58 |
| 62 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.76 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 40 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 33 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 20 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.35 | Shots On Goal | 5.91 |
| 14.37 | Total Shots | 16.09 |
| 6.09 | Corners | 4.82 |
| 58.9% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Chelsea have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Manchester United. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Chelsea approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 48 points from 32 matches. The overall return of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats with a 53:41 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Joao Pedro (14 goals), C. Palmer (9 goals), E. Fernandez (8 goals), with creative support from Joao Pedro (5 assists), Reece James (5 assists), P. Neto (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with T. Chalobah, L. Colwill, R. James, M. Mudryk unavailable.
Manchester United come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 55 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 15 wins, 10 draws, and 7 losses, while the 56:43 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Mbeumo (9 goals), B. Sesko (9 goals), Bruno Fernandes (8 goals), with creative support from Bruno Fernandes (17 assists), B. Mbeumo (3 assists), Patrick Dorgu (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. de Ligt, P. Dorgu, H. Maguire, L. Martinez unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Chelsea won 3 times, Manchester United won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:21 from Chelsea's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Chelsea
3
1
5
1
13
2
Lineups
Chelsea
Sunderland
Chelsea
Tottenham
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea
Liverpool
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Brighton
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea
Port Vale
Chelsea
Everton
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Newcastle
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Wrexham
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Arsenal
Chelsea
Burnley
Chelsea
Hull City
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Wolves
Manchester United
Rosenborg
Manchester United
Wrexham
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Sunderland
Manchester United
Liverpool
Manchester United
Brentford
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Newcastle
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Everton
Manchester United
West Ham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester United
Fulham
Manchester United
Arsenal
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Burnley
Chelsea
Tottenham
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Manchester City
Chelsea
Port Vale
Chelsea
Paris Saint Germain
Chelsea
Newcastle
Chelsea
Burnley
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
West Ham
Chelsea
Pafos
Chelsea
Brentford
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Everton
Chelsea
Arsenal
Chelsea
Barcelona
Chelsea
Wolves
Chelsea
Sunderland
Manchester United
Rosenborg
Manchester United
Brighton
Manchester United
Sunderland
Manchester United
Bournemouth
Manchester United
Newcastle
Manchester United
Everton
Manchester United
West Ham
Manchester United
Arsenal
Manchester United
Burnley
Manchester United
Leeds
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Manchester United
Wolves
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
Tottenham
Manchester United
Nottingham Forest
Manchester United
Liverpool
Manchester United
Brentford
Manchester United
Manchester City
Manchester United
Fulham
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Manchester United
Away
|
38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Chelsea
Home
|
38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|